Mr. Cinema

Moulin Rouge is also a previous PGA winner. It's going to come down to the Old Farts voting for the same old thing vs everyone else. TSN should easily take DGA and the WGA. Even if it loses the SAG, I'm confident it will win on Oscar night. Maybe the ACE will tell us who the front runner is going in.

PopcornTreeCt

I don't mean mainstream like Star Wars, I mean mainstream like Julia Roberts. Now adults and old people know her name.

gryffinmaster

I don't know, I'm still thinking that Rabbit Hole could take The Town's spot. (Yeah, I enjoyed both, but Rabbit Hole's a freakin' powerhouse).

dino88

Oh, you mean like Anywhere But Here and Where the Heart Is.

DonnachaOne

I liked Rabbit Hole, but I don't see it getting a Best Picture nomination, especially after it's been left out of so many awards so far. It's more of a performances film, and I really appreciated the slow-reveal screenplay, so maybe it'll get some notice there.

DonnachaOne

Well, the nominations are tomorrow, so I'm putting my predictions on the table. I made this for work a week or so ago and I've had it up a while, so while I hope for some surprises, I'd hate to have to redo it!



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Groucho

Nice poster!

hardercore

Seeing as nominations are tomorrow morning, this may help anyone going into Oscar pools, etc:

Picture
1. The Social Network [172] NBR, BSFC, LAFCA, NYFCC, CFCA, NSFC, BFCA, GG, SAG*, PGA*, WGA*, DGA*, ACE*, ASC*, ADG*, CAS*, CDG*, AFI**, WAFCA, NYFCO, INFC, SEFCA, SFFCC, TFCA, LVFCS, DFCS, DFWFCA, HFCA, SLGFC, FFCC, OFCC, KCFC, VFCC, IFCA, BATFA*, UFCA**
2. The King’s Speech [60] PGA, SAG*, DGA*, ACE*, ASC*, ADG*, CDG*, NBR*, BIFA, PFCS, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*, SEFCA***
3. Inception [60] PGA*, WGA*, DGA*, ACE*, ASC*, ADG*, CAS*, VES*, CDG*, MPSE*, AFI**, NBR*, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BATFA*, COFC, INFC***
4. Black Swan [58] SAG*, PGA*, WGA*, DGA*, ACE*, ASC*, ADG*, CAS*, CDG*, MPSE*, AFI**, AFCA, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BATFA*, TFCA***
5. The Fighter [38] SAG*, PGA*, WGA*, DGA*, ACE*, ADG*, CDG*, AFI**, NBR*, BFCA*, GG*
6. True Grit [38] PGA*, WGA*, ASC*, ADG*, CAS*, CDG*, MPSE*, AFI**, NBR*, BFCA*, BAFTA*
7. Toy Story 3 [28] PGA, BSFC***, AFI**, NBR*, BFCA*
8. 127 Hours [24] PGA*, WGA*, ADG*, MPSE*, AFI**, BFCA*, UFCA**
9. The Kids Are All Right [22] SAG*, PGA*, WGA*, ACE*, AFI**, GG*
10. The Town [20] PGA*, WGA*, ADG*, AFI**, NBR*, BFCA*

11. Winter’s Bone [20] AFI**, NBR*, GIFA, SDFCS, BFCA*, CFCA*, NSFC*
12. Alice in Wonderland [10] ADG*, CDG*, GG*
13. Shutter Island [10] ADG*, CAS*, NBR*

Director
1. David Fincher/The Social Network [118] NBR, BSFC, NYFCC, CFCA, NSFC, BFCA, GG, DGA*, LAFCA**, WAFCA, NYFCO, SEFCA, TFCA, LVFCS, DFWFCA, HFCA, SLGFC, FFCC, OFCC, VFCC, IFCA, BATFA*, SFFCC**, UFCA**
2. Christopher Nolan/Inception [34] DGA*, INFC, PFCS, KCFC, COFC, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*, SEFCA***, TFCA***, UFCA**
3. Darren Aronofsky/Black Swan [28] DGA*, BSFC***, SDFCS, AFCA, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*, SFFCC**, TFCA***
4. Tom Hooper/The King’s Speech [12] DGA*, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*
5. Olivier Assayas/Carlos [8] LAFCA**, NSFC**

6. Danny Boyle/127 Hours [8] DFCS, BFCA*, BAFTA*
7. David O. Russell/The Fighter [6] DGA*, GG*
8. Debra Granik/Winter’s Bone [4] CFCA*, INFC***

Actor
1. Colin Firth/The King’s Speech [102] LAFCA, NYFCC, CFCA, BFCA, GG, SAG*, BSFC***, NSFC***, BIFA, WAFCA, SEFCA, SFFCC, DFCS, SLGFC, FFCC, AFCA, PFCS, KCFC, VFCC, IFCA, BAFTA*, TFCA***
2. Jesse Eisenberg/The Social Network [48] NBR, BSFC, NSFC, SAG*, TFCA, HFCA, OFCC, INFC***, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*
3. James Franco/127 Hours [38] SAG*, NYFCO, INFC, LVFCS, DFWFCA, UFCA, COFC, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*, SEFCA***, TFCA***
4. Jeff Bridges/True Grit [10] SAG*, BFCA*, CFCA*, BAFTA*
5. Paul Giamatti/Barney’s Version [8] GG

6. Robert Duvall/Get Low [6] SAG*, BFCA*
7. Ryan Gosling/Blue Valentine [6] BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*
8. Edgar Ramirez/Carlos [6] LAFCA***, NSFC*

Actress
1. Natalie Portman/Black Swan [98] BSFC, CFCA, BFCA, GG, SAG*, NYFCO, INFC, SEFCA, LVFCS, DFWFCA, HFCA, SLGFC, FFCC, AFCA, OFCC, UFCA, PFCS, KCFC, COFC, IFCA, BAFTA*, TFCA***
2. Jennifer Lawrence/Winter’s Bone [38] SAG*, LAFCA***, WAFCA, TFCA, SDFCS, DFCS, VFCC, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, INFC***, SEFCA***
3. Annette Bening/The Kids are All Right [34] NYFCC, GG, SAG*, BSFC***, NSFC***, BFCA*, CFCA*, BAFTA*
4. Lesley Manville/Another Year [12] NBR, CFCA*, NSFC*
5. Michelle Williams/Blue Valentine [12] SFFCC, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, TFCA***

6. Nicole Kidman/Rabbit Hole [8] SAG*, BFCA*, GG*
7. Giovanna Mezzogiorno/Vincere [8] NSFC
7. Kim Hye-ja/Mother [8] LAFCA

Supporting Actor
1. Christian Bale/The Fighter [118] NBR, BSFC, CFCA, GG, BFCA*, SAG*, NSFC***, WAFCA, NYFCO, INFC, LVFCS, DFCS, DFWFCA, HFCA, SLGFC, FFCC, AFCA, OFCC, UFCA, PFCS, KCFC, VFCC, IFCA, SEFCA***, TFCA***, BAFTA*
2. Geoffrey Rush/The King’s Speech [38] NSFC, SAG*, LAFCA***, BIFA, SEFCA, COFC, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, TFCA***, BAFTA*
3. Mark Ruffalo/The Kids Are All Right [18] NYFCC, SAG*, BFCA*, CFCA*, BAFTA*
4. John Hawkes/Winter’s Bone [16] SAG*, SFFCC, SDFCS, CFCA*, INFC***
5. Andrew Garfield/The Social Network [12] BSFC***, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*

6. Jeremy Renner/The Town [10] SAG*, BFCA*, GG*, NSFC*
7. Armie Hammer/The Social Network [4] TFCA
8. Peter Posthelwaite/The Town [2] BAFTA*

Supporting Actress
1. Melissa Leo/The Fighter [70] NYFCC, BFCA, GG, SAG*, BSFC***, WAFCA, NYFCO, DFWFCA, SLGFC, FFCC, PFCS, IFCA, INFC***, CFCA*, NSFC*, SEFCA***, TFCA***
2. Hailee Steinfeld/True Grit [46] CFCA, SAG*, INFC, SEFCA, TFCA, HFCA, AFCA, KCFC, COFC, VFCC, BFCA*
3. Jacki Weaver/Animal Kingdom [32] NBR, LAFCA, SFFCC, UFCA, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, NSFC*
4. Amy Adams/The Fighter [26] SAG*, NSFC***, LVFCA, DFCS, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*, TFCA***
5. Helena Bonham Carter/The King’s Speech [16] SAG*, BIFA, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*

6. Mila Kunis/Black Swan [12] SAG*, OFCC, BFCA*, GG*
7. Olivia Williams/The Ghost Writer [12] NSFC, LAFCA***
8. Juliette Lewis/Conviction [8] BSFC

Screenplay, Adapted
1. Aaron Sorkin/The Social Network [150] NBR, BSFC, LAFCA, NYFCC, CFCA, NSFC, BFCA, GG, WGA*, WAFCA, NYFCO, INFC, SEFCA, SFFCC, TFCA, SDFCS, LVFCS, DFWFCA, HFCA, SLGFC, FFCC, AFCA, OFCC, UFCA, PFCS, KCFC, COFC, VFCC, IFCA, USC*, BAFTA*
2. Joel & Ethan Coen/True Grit [14] WGA*, FCA*, CFCA*, USC*, BAFTA*, TFCA***
3. Simon Beaufoy & Danny Boyle/127 Hours [12] WGA*, BFCA*, GG*, USC*, BAFTA*
4. Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini/Winter’s Bone [8] BFCA*, CFCA*, USC*, SEFCA***
5. Ben Affleck, Steven Craig & Sheldon Turner/The Town [6] WGA*, BFCA*

6. Michael Arndt/Toy Story 3 [6] BFCA*, CFCA*, BAFTA*

Screenplay, Original
1. Christopher Nolan/Inception [46] CFCA, WGA*, WAFCA, FFCC, OFCC, PFCS, KCFC, COFC, INFC***, BFCA*, GG*, BAFTA*, SEFCA***
2. David Seidler/The King’s Speech [40] BFCA, LAFCA***, NSFC***, BIFA, SEFCA, SFFCC, SLGFC, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*, TFCA***
3. Mark Heyman, Andres Heinz & John Mclaughlin/Black Swan [14] WGA*, AFCA, BFCA*, CFCA*, BAFTA*
4. Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg/The Kids Are All Right [12] WGA*, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*
5. Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson/The Fighter [8] WGA*, BFCA*, BAFTA*

6. Nicole Holofcener/Please Give [8] WGA*, BSFC***
7. Chris Sparling/Buried [8] NBR
8. Jesse Armstrong, Sam Bain, Simon Blackwell & Christopher Morris/Four Lions [6] SDFCS, CFCA*

Animated
1. Toy Story 3 [124] PGA, NBR, BSFC, LAFCA, CFCA, BFCA, GG, WAFCA, NYFCO, SEFCA, SFFCC, LVFCS, DFWFCA, HFCA, SLGFC, AFCA, OFCC, UFCA, PFCS, KCFC, COFC, BAFTA*, INFC***, TFCA***
2. The Illusionist [24] NYFCC, BSFC***, LAFCA***, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*
3. How To Train Your Dragon [22] INFC, TFCA, PGA*, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*, SEFCA***

4. Despicable Me [14] PGA*, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*, TFCA***
5. Tangled [6] BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*

Documentary
1. Exit Through the Gift Shop [60] CFCA, LAFCA***, NSFC***, WAFCA, NYFCO, INFC, TFCA, SDFCS, AFCA, OFCC, KCFC, COFC, VFCC, SEFCA***, BFCA*
2. Waiting for Superman [42] PGA, BFCA, NBR, LVFCS, DFWFCA, CFCA*
3. Inside Job [40] NYFCC, NSFC, PGA*, WGA*, BSFC***, SEFCA, NBR*, BFCA*, CFCA*, TFCA***
4. The Tillman Story [24] PGA*, SFFCC, SLGFC, FFCC, NBR*, BFCA*, CFCA*, INFC***
5. Restrepo [14] HFCA, PFCS, NBR*, BFCA*, CFCA*

6. Last Train Home [10] LAFCA, NSFC*
7. Marwencol [10] BSFC, TFCA***

Foreign Film
1. Mexico/Biutiful [22] WAFCA, DFWFCA, PFCS, BFCA*, GG*, CFCA*, INFC***, SEFCA***
2. Denmark/In A Better World [8] GG

Music (Score)
1. Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross/The Social Network [32] BSFC, GG, LAFCA**, LVFCS, SLGFC, BFCA*, CFCA*
2. Hans Zimmer/Inception [28] BFCA, WAFCA, HFCA, PFCS, COFC, GG*, CFCA*, BAFTA*
3. Clint Mansell/Black Swan [22] NYFCC, CFCA, NYFCO, BFCA*
4. Carter Burwell/True Grit [8] BSFC***, BFCA*, CFCA*
5. Alexandre Desplat/The King’s Speech [6] BFCA*, GG*, BAFTA*

6. Alexandre Desplat/The Ghost Writer [4] LAFCA**
7. Danny Elfman/Alice in Wonderland [4] GG*, BAFTA*

Music (Song)
1. You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me Yet/Burlesque [14] GG, PFCS, BFCA*
2. If I Rise/127 Hours [8] BFCA
3. I See The Light/Tangled [8] LVFCS, BFCA*, GG*
4. We Are Sex Bob-Omb!/Scott Pilgrim vs. The World [4] HFCA

5. Shine/Waiting For Superman [2] BFCA*
5. We Belong Together/Toy Story 3 [2] BFCA*
5. Bound To You/Burlesque [2] GG*
5. There’s a Place for Us/The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader [2] GG*
5. Coming Home/Country Strong [2] GG*

Editing
1. Inception [26] BFCA, ACE*, BSFC***, LVFCS, PFCS, BAFTA*
2. Black Swan [16] BSFC, ACE*, BFCA*, BAFTA*
3. The Social Network [8] ACE*, BFCA*, BAFTA*
4. Scott Pilgrim vs. The World [8] ACE*, SDFCS
5. The King’s Speech [6] ACE*, BAFTA*

6. The Fighter [4] ACE*
6. Easy A [4] ACE*
6. Alice in Wonderland [4] ACE*
6. Made in Dagenham [4] ACE*

Sound Mixing
1. Inception [14] BFCA, CAS*, BAFTA*
2. Black Swan [8] CAS*, BFCA*, BAFTA*
3. True Grit [6] CAS*, BAFTA*
4. The Social Network [6] CAS*, BFCA*
5. Shutter Island [4] CAS*

6. 127 Hours [4] BFCA*, BATFA*
7. The King’s Speech [2] BAFTA*
8. Toy Story 3 [2] BFCA*

Sound Editing
1. Inception [14] BFCA, MPSE*, BAFTA*
2. 127 Hours [8] MPSE*, BFCA*, BAFTA*
2. Black Swan [8] MPSE*, BFCA*, BAFTA*
4. True Grit [6] MPSE*, BAFTA*

5. Iron Man 2 [4] MPSE*
5. Salt [4] MPSE*
5. TRON Legacy [4] MPSE*
5. Unstoppable [4] MPSE*

Visual Effects
1. Inception [24] BFCA, VES*, LVFCS, PFCS, SLGFC*
2. Alice in Wonderland [6] VES*,BFCA*
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I [6] VES*, BFCA*
2. Tron: Legacy [6] VES*, BFCA*

5. Iron Man 2 [4] VES*

Cinematography
1. Matthew Libatique/Black Swan [46] LAFCA, NYFCC, ASC*, BSFC***, NSFC***, NYFCO, SFFCC, AFCA, BFCA*, CFCA*, BAFTA*
2. Wally Pfister/Inception [44] CFCA, BFCA, ASC*, WAFCA, SDFCS, LVFCS, HFCA, FFCC, BAFTA*, SEFCA***
3. Roger Deakins/True Grit [42] BSFC, NSFC, ASC*, LAFCA***, SEFCA, SLGFC, PFCS, BFCA*, CFCA*, BAFTA*
4. Anthony Dod Mantle/127 Hours [12] DFWFCA, UFCA, BFCA*, BAFTA*
5. Danny Cohen/The King’s Speech [8] ASC*, BFCA*, BAFTA*

6. Jeff Cronenweth/The Social Network [6] ASC*, CFCA*
7. Harris Savides/Somewhere [2] NSFC*
8. Robert Richardson/Shutter Island [2] CFCA*

Art Direction
1. Inception [30] LAFCA, BFCA, ADG*, WAFCA, FFCC, PFCS, BAFTA*
2. The King’s Speech [12] ADG*, LAFCA***, BFCA*, BAFTA*
3. Black Swan [12] ADG*, LVFCS, BFCA*, BAFTA*
4. Shutter Island [10] ADG*, SDFCS
5. Alice In Wonderland [8] ADG*, BFCA*, BAFTA*
5. True Grit [8] ADG*, BFCA*, BAFTA*

Costume Design
1. Alice in Wonderland [22] BFCA, CDG*, LVFCS, PFCS, BAFTA*
2. Black Swan [8] CDG*, BFCA*, BAFTA*
2. The King’s Speech [8] CDG*, BFCA*, BAFTA*
2. True Grit [8] CDG*, BFCA*, BAFTA*

Makeup
1. Alice in Wonderland [10] BFCA, BAFTA*
2. Black Swan [4] BFCA*, BAFTA*
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I [4] BFCA*, BAFTA*

4. The King’s Speech [2] BAFTA*
4. Made in Dagenham [2] BAFTA*
6. True Grit [2] BFCA*

Draven

Ah, nostalgia. Makes everything seem great, doesn't it?

So many of the things you mention were effective not because they were particularly awesome - they were merely the only thing to watch on TV that night. Movies used to be events, and people dressed up to go to the theater. They rarely saw stars off the screen. And bringing movies stars into the home was still relatively new as well.

Now I can probably find out what Natalie Portman was wearing yesterday with minimal effort. And what she ordered at Starbucks too. It's a different time, which calls for a different show. Hathaway is a pretty actress who has been in some popular movies. Franco was a part of one of the biggest franchises in history and has had several other high-profile projects recently, including a possible Best Picture nominated film. They are both likeable and attractive to a younger demo, which is all that TV ratings are concerned with.

The problem with the Oscars is that it's simply too long, and spends too much time on awards no one actually cares about. Best Foreign Film? We really give a shit about that being part of the telecast? It's just a "feel good" award and signals a time to either get popcorn or turn the channel until they get to the end.

I've said it before - they need to just showcase Best Pic, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress, and maybe Best Score, Best Costumes and Best Visual Effects. Throw in a fun open and a few interesting segments about the movie biz and call it good. 2 hours tops. I've mentioned before but that choir that performed all of the foley stuff a few years ago was cool and the kind of thing people would talk about the next day.

That telecast would get some viewers.

Groucho

I would leave Foreign Film (the telecast has an international audience), but I would drop all the short film awards.

Also, I would award the set and costume awards in a separate ceremony (Art Direction, Costumes, Makeup) but announce them (briefly) in the main telecast. Possible the editing and sound awards too.

RichC2

Face it, the entire ceremony should be done in a separate ceremony.

Draven

I'd argue that most of those international viewers are tuning in to see American movie stars, and not the 10 minutes or so spent on the Foreign Film category. But I have nothing to back that up.

I think some of that technical stuff should be there, because there are some viewers interested in that. Especially Visual Effects and Costumes. But the focus should be on the actors and director awards and best picture.

Groucho

I think people are interested in who won (and by "who" I mean what film) a lot of the more technical awards than watching their acceptance speech -- that's the problem. It seems like the more obscure the individual, the longer their speech. "If you would have told me when I accepted this job two years ago, that it would be one of most challenging assignments of my life, I would have said blah blah blah blah thanks to my wife, Mary and my kids Bob, Jerry and Sue for putting up with me being gone so long -- don't play the music yet! blah blah blah blah the many long hours put in by my assistant Joe blah blah blah God blah blah blah the Academy blah."

RichC2

That's a problem in general - if these winners gave an actual speech instead of just thanking people, it'd probably be worth watching.

Hokeyboy

Good Golly, I sure do hope Aunt Lydia makes another appearance!

hardercore

Personal predictions – Top 8 categories, along with Animated Film, Cinematography, Editing and Score.

Best Picture
127 Hours
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
The Social Network
True Grit
Toy Story 3
Winter's Bone

Directing
Darren Aronofsky
David Fincher
Tom Hooper
Christopher Nolan
David O. Russell

Actor
Jeff Bridges
Jesse Eisenberg
Colin Firth
James Franco
Ryan Gosling

Actress
Annete Bening
Jennifer Lawrence
Lesley Manville
Natalie Portman
Michelle Williams

Supporting Actor
Christian Bale
Andrew Garfield
Jeremy Renner
Mark Ruffalo
Geoffrey Rush

Supporting Actress
Amy Adams
Mila Kunis
Melissa Leo
Hailee Steinfeld
Jacki Weaver

Original Screenplay
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech

Adapted Screenplay
127 Hours
The Social Network
True Grit
Toy Story 3
Winter's Bone

Animated Feature
How To Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist
Toy Story 3

Cinematography
127 Hours
Black Swan
Inception
The Social Network
True Grit

Editing
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The King's Speech
The Social Network

Score
127 Hours
Inception
The King's Speech
Never Let Me Go
The Social Network

The Social Network, The King's Speech, The Fighter, Inception, and Black Swan would be the "real" contenders for the big prize – with Directing, Writing, Editing and (bar Inception) Acting nominations to go with their Best Picture noms.

E. Honda

I for one will be glad when it's all over, and Winter's Bone can crawl away and finally die the horrible death it so deserves.

RichC2

Oscar.com has a livestream of the nominee announcements in 5 minutes, yippee.

10 Best Picture Nominees:
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter's Bone

(Big shock right? )

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter’s Bone

Writing (Original Screenplay)
Another Year
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech

Supporting Actress
Amy Adams
Helena Bonham Carter
Melissa Leo
Hailee Steinfeld
Jacki Weaver

Supporting Actor
Christian Bale
John Hawkes
Jeremy Renner
Mark Ruffalo
Geoffrey Rush

Actress
Anette Benning
Nicole Kidman
Jennifer Lawrence
Natalie Portman
Michelle Williams

Actor
Javier Bardem
Jeff Bridges
Jesse Eisenberg
Colin Firth
James Franco

Director
Darren Aronofsky
David O. Russell
Tom Hooper
David Fincher
Joel and Ethan Coen

So the only single surprise out of all of this was Joel and Ethan Coen getting the nom over Christopher Nolan.

riotinmyskull

you're nuts

Mr. Cinema

HUGE to Winter's Bone getting in over The Town. And Chris Nolan is snubbed again.

Mr. Cinema

The only thing missing from that film is a Lifetime Channel logo in the right hand corner.

Mr. Cinema

The King's Speech leads with 12 nominations.

True Grit got 10. Inception and The Social Network with 8 each.

RichC2

Fixed. I seriously wouldn't be surprised if King's Speech pulled off a Best Picture win.

Doesn't deserve it, but it was a good movie at least.

riotinmyskull

john hawkes

Drexl

I'm really not surprised that Nolan wasn't nominated. It was a summer sci-fi thriller. It's just not the kind of film they nominate for big awards if there aren't 10 spots.

And, to John Hawkes.