Weekend Box Office Thread 5/12/06 - 5/14/06
 

The Summer of a dozen [domestic] flops begins:

1 Mission Impossible 3 7.588 168% -54% 4059 1,869 67.646
2 Poseidon 7.193 NEW NEW 3555 2,023 7.193
3 RV 2.332 249% -19% 3536 660 35.643
4 Just My Luck 1.989 NEW NEW 2541 783 1.989
5 An American Haunting 1.230 237% -39% 1703 722 8.554
6 Stick It 1.130 323% -40% 2009 562 20.086
7 United 93 1.000 111% -33% 1870 535 23.013
8 Silent Hill 0.650 89% -45% 1888 344 42.908
9 Goal 0.635 NEW NEW 1007 631 0.635
10 Ice Age 2 0.625 137% -34% 1879 333 185.000

MI3 should wind up with about 22m, Poseidon about 20m.

at least MI3 is staying number one, just wish it would do more, the movie is fantastic

Wow. Two summer blockbusters that I actually liked and enjoyed are both doing under expectations with one of them being DOA.

I thought M:I-III would have no problem making another $30 million this weekend, especially with the positive word of mouth for the flick. I thought the film was going to have some serious legs until the end of the month, but it'll be just a memory come next weekend.

I thought Poseidon would do numbers similar to Troy and The Perfect Storm's first weekends, basically somewhere around $40 million, but I was wrong. I hope Vegas still gets an IMAX release of the film later down the line. However, I won't be shocked if my city doesn't get it in favor for an August DVD release in a one-last ditch effort to reclaim money off the sinking project.

At least we can all be happy that Just My Luck tanked.

Well....the tracking was right on Poseidon. With The DaVinci Code and X-Men coming out soon, Poseidon is gonna sink really fast and will likely be this year's Summer disaster.

I'm thinking Da Vinci will be the first huge hit of the year, Over the Hedge will be a strong holdover, and X3 will draw a huge crowd. MI3 will hang around for a while (low but not out) and Poseidon will sink.

Yeah, I picked DaVinci Code to be the top grosser for the Summer. Tom Hanks headlining a big budget film usually spells success. I think X-Men will have a huge opening, considering it has the Memorial Day slot, but it'll have steady drops after that. But it will probably end up with a nice take.

I thought DaVinci would do well...but I don't know, will anything do well this year??

Gotta hand it to ya... man I thought for sure this would do better. Too bad, I caught it last night and really liked it. Have not seen MI III so I don't know how that is but everyone seems to be enjoying it.

I thought it was okay. I posted my thoughts in the Poseidon thread. After seeing it, it just didn't feel like a Wolfgang Petersen movie. It seemed more along the lines of something done by a hack like Roland Emmerich. It just felt so empty.

On the poster for Just My Luck, Lindsay Lohan looks like a transvestite version of the guy behind her (especially in a lower resolution image). At first I thought it was about some guy who dressed like a girl.

I'm thinking that Pirates will pull it away from DaVinci Code. It has wider appeal.

DaVINCI CODE has a strong book following, but that's an adult crowd. And with summer being a 13 to 24 movie going crowd don't you think it may bomb?
And keep in mind also that there's church going crowd that's been told to stay away from this movie.

Only $153 million more to break even. ;)

Whoever greenlit that at Warner Bros. is definitely cleaning out his office on Monday, if the locks haven't already been changed.

Summer may be 13 to 24, but adults still make up a large amount of film goers, regardless of when it's released (Hannibal comes to mind). But ignoring that, the "summer being a 13 to 24 movie going crowd" could be true, and they'll come, thanks in large part to what you mentioned: controversy. Nothing makes a teenage boy more amped to do or see something than being told not to, the controversy for this movie will, as it usually does, increase takes in said age group.

I don't think that the catholic church speeches have much of an impact either way. Sure it'll spice it up for those anti-establishment folks and would have a few boycotting it or just turning away from it preaching that it is just a book. But those sides may very well cancel each other out.

Pirates 2 on the other hand has a well established top grosser film following and has a very strong pushing so I wouldn't even question it making cash hand over fist and finishing off on top.

I forgot Pirates 2, people still cheer for that trailer when it comes on.

I'm 23, and i'd say quite a few young adults, around maybe 18-24 are pretty interested in the movie after reading the book.

1 1 Mission: Impossible III Par. $24,514,000 -48.7% 4,059 +5 $6,039 $84,635,000 $150 2
2 N Poseidon WB $20,325,000 - 3,555 - $5,717 $20,325,000 $160 1
3 2 RV Sony $9,500,000 -13.7% 3,536 -115 $2,686 $42,821,000 $50 3
4 N Just My Luck Fox $5,500,000 - 2,541 - $2,164 $5,500,000 - 1
5 3 An American Haunting Free $3,689,000 -36.2% 1,703 +28 $2,166 $10,938,000 $14 2
6 5 United 93 Uni. $3,583,000 -33.0% 1,871 +52 $1,915 $25,630,000 $15 3
7 4 Stick It BV $3,239,000 -40.9% 2,009 -35 $1,612 $22,218,000 - 3
8 6 Ice Age: The Meltdown Fox $2,975,000 -28.5% 1,879 -547 $1,583 $187,395,000 $80 7
9 7 Silent Hill Sony $2,200,000 -45.2% 1,888 -668 $1,165 $44,507,000 $50 4
10 10 Hoot NL $2,125,000 -36.9% 3,018 - $704 $6,213,000 $15 2

I'm still putting my money on Over the Hedge for the top film of this summer.

I still find it hard to believe that RV had a production budget of 50 million, I did not see the movie but what did they spend it on?

When Failure to Launch has a $60m budget, RV can have a $50m one :).

Robin Williams. I bet nearly half that budget is going to the top talent on the film. And most of that is going to Williams.

I don't see where $160M went for Poseidon. Except for a few exterior shots & a couple of larger sets (lobby & ballroom) most of the rest of the movie has small enclosed sets and not realy effects, just water being pumped in. Even the exterior shots and the wave hitting the boat didn' seem like they could cost that much. They were cool but nothing ground breaking.

Isn't Memorial Day the usual time for these Summer Blockbusters to start come out? I think the reason why MI3 and Poseidon are bombing is because most people (and their target audience) aren't ready for summer movies just yet.

That used to be the case, but ever since Twister came out in 1996, they think it's earlier. Some movies have done well in early May, some haven't.