Weekend Box Office June 15-19
06-19-05, 02:49 PM
#51
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Originally Posted by Matthew Chmiel
Michael Bay is guaranteed a $100 million film.
As of now, all his films with the exception of the original Bad Boys have grossed over $100 million.
The Island looks like a dumb hokey sci-fi action thriller, but with little competition, The Island will probably secure itself a $100 million gross with no effort at all.
As of now, all his films with the exception of the original Bad Boys have grossed over $100 million.
The Island looks like a dumb hokey sci-fi action thriller, but with little competition, The Island will probably secure itself a $100 million gross with no effort at all.
06-19-05, 08:11 PM
#52
DVD Talk Special Edition
I cannot see Island making $100 million but the traders over HSX have it making $116 in its first four weeks and $128 million by Labor Day (roughly 6 weeks) with warrant positions.
I have not been impressed with shots I have seen so far. You guys have pushed me into shorting it.
I have not been impressed with shots I have seen so far. You guys have pushed me into shorting it.
06-19-05, 10:05 PM
#53
DVD Talk Hero
Originally Posted by Just Lurking
I cannot see Island making $100 million but the traders over HSX have it making $116 in its first four weeks and $128 million by Labor Day (roughly 6 weeks) with warrant positions.
I have not been impressed with shots I have seen so far. You guys have pushed me into shorting it.
I have not been impressed with shots I have seen so far. You guys have pushed me into shorting it.
06-19-05, 10:12 PM
#54
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HSX usually over shoots it a great deal when it comes to the Summer warrents. Batman's warrent dropped a shit load since the less than steller box office take was released.
06-19-05, 10:44 PM
#57
DVD Talk Platinum Edition
Are people really expecting Fantastic Four to be that much of a box office draw? I really like comic book films, but everything just seems second rate about it... directors, stars, special effects look kind of weak, and even the franchise itself feels second rate - It's quite obvious that it is no Spider-man, and it is no Batman.
I know Spider-man hit so well, because people were itching for a Spider-man movie, and one just hadn't hit. It cashed in on the pent up demand (and the quality of the movie to boot). I just don't feel that Fantastic Four is as popular of a series, and while there might be some demand, it just seems like it has a bomb written all over it.
I know Spider-man hit so well, because people were itching for a Spider-man movie, and one just hadn't hit. It cashed in on the pent up demand (and the quality of the movie to boot). I just don't feel that Fantastic Four is as popular of a series, and while there might be some demand, it just seems like it has a bomb written all over it.
06-19-05, 10:55 PM
#58
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Originally Posted by Wazootyman
Are people really expecting Fantastic Four to be that much of a box office draw?
06-19-05, 11:13 PM
#59
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Originally Posted by devilshalo
I expect Charlie's Angels (not the sequel) type numbers.
ANGELS 1 worldwide: $264,105,545
ANGELS 2 worldwide: $259,175,788
They would probably take the sequel's numbers if they had to.
06-20-05, 05:52 AM
#60
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Great second week numbers for Mr. & Mrs. Smith. It has already made $134 million worldwide.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/...ndmrssmith.htm
I do not expect Fantastic Four to be huge. I don't think it looks very good and I doubt the reviews will be too kind.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/...ndmrssmith.htm
I do not expect Fantastic Four to be huge. I don't think it looks very good and I doubt the reviews will be too kind.
06-20-05, 08:46 AM
#62
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Originally Posted by fryinpan1
I do not expect Fantastic Four to be huge. I don't think it looks very good and I doubt the reviews will be too kind.
06-20-05, 12:59 PM
#64
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Fantastic Four is another summer movie that the studio is hoping for some good numbers. Considering how much they have spent on NBA finals marketing and so forth they are hoping for that. Though for the time being, Smith seems to keep them happy enough.
06-20-05, 01:42 PM
#65
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RE: Fantastic Four
I haven't sensed a pending failure like this since... Catwoman.
It'll make more than Catwoman, but not much more. When the core audience, Comic Book Fans/Geeks show no interest in the film, you are dead.
There's a reason Fox has re-cut the trailer three times, and placed the advance critic screeenings only three days in advanced.
fitprod
I haven't sensed a pending failure like this since... Catwoman.
It'll make more than Catwoman, but not much more. When the core audience, Comic Book Fans/Geeks show no interest in the film, you are dead.
There's a reason Fox has re-cut the trailer three times, and placed the advance critic screeenings only three days in advanced.
fitprod
06-20-05, 01:55 PM
#66
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Originally Posted by fitprod
RE: Fantastic Four
I haven't sensed a pending failure like this since... Catwoman.
It'll make more than Catwoman, but not much more. When the core audience, Comic Book Fans/Geeks show no interest in the film, you are dead.
There's a reason Fox has re-cut the trailer three times, and placed the advance critic screeenings only three days in advanced.
fitprod
I haven't sensed a pending failure like this since... Catwoman.
It'll make more than Catwoman, but not much more. When the core audience, Comic Book Fans/Geeks show no interest in the film, you are dead.
There's a reason Fox has re-cut the trailer three times, and placed the advance critic screeenings only three days in advanced.
fitprod
06-20-05, 02:53 PM
#67
DVD Talk Hero
Weekend Actuals:
1 N Batman Begins WB $48,745,440 - 3,858 - $12,634 $72,896,986 $150 / - 1
2 1 Mr. and Mrs. Smith Fox $26,037,023 -48.3% 3,451 +27 $7,544 $96,697,986 $110 / - 2
3 2 Madagascar DW $10,737,325 -37.5% 3,533 -396 $3,039 $146,831,846 - / - 4
4 3 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith Fox $10,038,498 -32.4% 2,923 -399 $3,434 $348,140,685 $113 / - 5
5 4 The Longest Yard Par. $8,239,853 -40.6% 3,312 -342 $2,487 $132,144,471 $82 / - 4
6 5 The Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl (3D) Dim. $6,692,907 -46.8% 2,655 - $2,520 $24,015,408 - / - 2
7 6 Cinderella Man Uni. $5,572,285 -42.7% 2,610 -210 $2,134 $43,893,695 $88 / - 3
8 N The Perfect Man Uni. $5,300,980 - 2,087 - $2,540 $5,300,980 $10 / - 1
9 7 The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants WB $3,127,232 -45.2% 2,206 -377 $1,417 $30,160,110 $25 / - 3
10 8 The Honeymooners Par. $2,648,330 -52.2% 1,912 - $1,385 $9,551,584 $25 / - 2
Batman Begins actually beat its estimate by nearly $2m, and several sites were reporting that it was a "bloated" estimate... nice!
Also, FX reportedly bought cable-rights for the flick for a hefty $25m.
1 N Batman Begins WB $48,745,440 - 3,858 - $12,634 $72,896,986 $150 / - 1
2 1 Mr. and Mrs. Smith Fox $26,037,023 -48.3% 3,451 +27 $7,544 $96,697,986 $110 / - 2
3 2 Madagascar DW $10,737,325 -37.5% 3,533 -396 $3,039 $146,831,846 - / - 4
4 3 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith Fox $10,038,498 -32.4% 2,923 -399 $3,434 $348,140,685 $113 / - 5
5 4 The Longest Yard Par. $8,239,853 -40.6% 3,312 -342 $2,487 $132,144,471 $82 / - 4
6 5 The Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl (3D) Dim. $6,692,907 -46.8% 2,655 - $2,520 $24,015,408 - / - 2
7 6 Cinderella Man Uni. $5,572,285 -42.7% 2,610 -210 $2,134 $43,893,695 $88 / - 3
8 N The Perfect Man Uni. $5,300,980 - 2,087 - $2,540 $5,300,980 $10 / - 1
9 7 The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants WB $3,127,232 -45.2% 2,206 -377 $1,417 $30,160,110 $25 / - 3
10 8 The Honeymooners Par. $2,648,330 -52.2% 1,912 - $1,385 $9,551,584 $25 / - 2
Batman Begins actually beat its estimate by nearly $2m, and several sites were reporting that it was a "bloated" estimate... nice!
Also, FX reportedly bought cable-rights for the flick for a hefty $25m.
Last edited by RichC2; 06-20-05 at 03:02 PM.
06-20-05, 02:59 PM
#68
DVD Talk Godfather
Originally Posted by fitprod
RE: Fantastic Four
I haven't sensed a pending failure like this since... Catwoman.
It'll make more than Catwoman, but not much more. When the core audience, Comic Book Fans/Geeks show no interest in the film, you are dead.
There's a reason Fox has re-cut the trailer three times, and placed the advance critic screeenings only three days in advanced.
fitprod
I haven't sensed a pending failure like this since... Catwoman.
It'll make more than Catwoman, but not much more. When the core audience, Comic Book Fans/Geeks show no interest in the film, you are dead.
There's a reason Fox has re-cut the trailer three times, and placed the advance critic screeenings only three days in advanced.
fitprod
06-20-05, 03:11 PM
#69
DVD Talk Legend
Well, so far Premiere magazine's predictions (http://www.dvdtalk.com/forum/showthread.php?t=418590) have been really hit or miss.
Imagine that.
Imagine that.
06-20-05, 03:19 PM
#70
DVD Talk Legend
Originally Posted by DRG
Well, so far Premiere magazine's predictions (http://www.dvdtalk.com/forum/showthread.php?t=418590) have been really hit or miss.
Imagine that.
Imagine that.
06-20-05, 03:59 PM
#71
DVD Talk Legend
I think F4 has a chance at $150m with positive buzz. Otherwise it'll top off at $100 or less. I think people have learned their lesson from The Hulk. Not all comic book movies are going to be good. But then again this one has Jessica Alba.
06-20-05, 04:05 PM
#72
DVD Talk Legend
Originally Posted by fitprod
It'll make more than Catwoman, but not much more. When the core audience, Comic Book Fans/Geeks show no interest in the film, you are dead.
06-20-05, 04:32 PM
#73
DVD Talk Legend
Originally Posted by Goat3001
I think F4 has a chance at $150m with positive buzz. Otherwise it'll top off at $100 or less. I think people have learned their lesson from The Hulk. Not all comic book movies are going to be good. But then again this one has Jessica Alba showing off horrible acting skills and delivering terrible dialog.
06-20-05, 04:36 PM
#74
DVD Talk Legend
Actuals...
1. Batman Begins - $48,745,440 | $72,896,986
2. Mr. and Mrs. Smith - $26,037,023 | $96,697,986
3. Madagascar - $10,737,325 | $146,831,846
4. Star Wars: Episode III - $10,038,498 | $348,140,685
5. The Longest Yard - $8,239,853 | $132,144,471
6. The Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl In 3D - $6,692,908 | $24,015,408
7. Cinderella Man - $5,572,285 | $43,893,695
8. The Perfect Man - $5,300,980 | $5,300,980
9. The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants - $3,127,232 | $30,160,110
10. The Honeymooners - $2,648,330 | $9,551,584
Other points:
- Crash should top around $50 million once it's done in theaters (it's currently at $46 million).
- Lords of Dogtown will not pass the $15 million mark.
- High Tension will not pass the $5 million mark.
1. Batman Begins - $48,745,440 | $72,896,986
2. Mr. and Mrs. Smith - $26,037,023 | $96,697,986
3. Madagascar - $10,737,325 | $146,831,846
4. Star Wars: Episode III - $10,038,498 | $348,140,685
5. The Longest Yard - $8,239,853 | $132,144,471
6. The Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl In 3D - $6,692,908 | $24,015,408
7. Cinderella Man - $5,572,285 | $43,893,695
8. The Perfect Man - $5,300,980 | $5,300,980
9. The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants - $3,127,232 | $30,160,110
10. The Honeymooners - $2,648,330 | $9,551,584
Other points:
- Crash should top around $50 million once it's done in theaters (it's currently at $46 million).
- Lords of Dogtown will not pass the $15 million mark.
- High Tension will not pass the $5 million mark.
Last edited by Matthew Chmiel; 06-20-05 at 04:39 PM.
06-20-05, 06:33 PM
#75
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Fixed.