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How much money will 'Fahrenheit 911' make?

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How much money will 'Fahrenheit 911' make?

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Old 06-25-04, 06:38 PM
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Originally posted by Jepthah
There might be some depressed Bush supporters on Monday:
Why?
Old 06-25-04, 07:54 PM
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Not as depressed as they'll be the day after Election Day.
Old 06-25-04, 08:21 PM
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I'm not sure whether San Antonio counts as "middle America" or not, but every show today was sold out.

2-3 minute standing ovation at the end.

I suspect it will do quite well, grossing 80-100 Million.
Old 06-25-04, 09:44 PM
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Could be the first documentry ever to gross 100 million,the whole nation is talking about this movie,the country is very polarized at this time,I work in a factory where most people loathe Bush(we are talking like 120 out 0f 140 people just hate bush,am sure it is diffrent in the management office though but people on the factory floor cannot stand Bush lol)so almost everyone says they are going to see this movie,people that never even ever go to movies are going to see this so its boxoffice take could surprise a lot of people
Old 06-25-04, 09:51 PM
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Originally posted by Jepthah
There might be some depressed Bush supporters on Monday:

(headline from http://www.moviecitynews.com/)
"Fahrenheit 9/11 On Fire In Theaters... Early Numbers On Friday Projecting To A $10m - $12m Day... Sell Outs In Most Major Markets... Could Be A $30m Weekend..."
That is just phenomenal for the number of screens, but I believe it. It is really driving the turnstiles and I'll eat some humble pie on my 9 millon dollar figure before I see a concrete projection. It's a great thing that so many people in this country had such an interest in getting informed, hopefully it will sustain. And hopefully, there will be an inquistiveness to search out the full story, because as even Moore's most strident supporters admit, he works with a bias. Which is fine so long as his word is not gospel. Congrats to him on the weekend though, that's something else if it holds up
Old 06-26-04, 01:43 AM
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Wow, that's amazing. I have to hand it to Moore...I've got no intention of watching the movie, but hell I'm impressed he's gotten a film of this sort to reach such mass saturation. It'll be interesting to see how this performs in the long run. I'd like to say it's a big opening and willl drop fast, but something tells me this things is going to perform quite well in the long run.
Old 06-26-04, 02:03 AM
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I won't predict a dollar amount, but this is certainly going to be one of the highest grossing documentaries ever (almost a given, seeing as it is enjoying the largest release for a documentary ever as well). I had a difficult time finding tickets for a show, numerous theaters I looked at online were near or completely sold out. The number of people waiting outside the theater who already had tickets 45 minutes before the movie started was unreal--I haven't seen a crowd that eager since Episode I came out!

Here's my question--seeing the demand for the film, is it possible that the number of theaters might be expanded even slightly in the next couple of weeks?
Old 06-26-04, 02:14 AM
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At our indie theater today, EVERY DAMN SHOW WAS SOLD OUT, INCLUDING A FREAKING MIDNIGHT SHOW!!!!!!!!!!

So, Fahrenheit 9/11's gonna make a REAL pretty penny or two.
Old 06-26-04, 02:43 AM
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adults who could not get in this weekend will certainly try again next weekend.

spider-man is a summer movie that will show on a billion screens.

this film is important, democrats are pissed, and other as well at Bush, and people want to support the film.

i know i did. and will again
Old 06-26-04, 02:51 AM
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Wow, I can't believe those numbers...that would be shocking if that 10 million estimate from today alone holds up--I simply don't understand how it could be making so much from so few screens.
Old 06-26-04, 02:56 AM
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I went to a 6:30pm show at the local theater, and it was at least 85% packed. The entire theater clapped and cheered once the credits began.

Then we exited the theater, and there was a line that wrapped all around the theater waiting for the next showing on that specific screen (the place I went to had it on two screens).

This film is going to make some serious bank.
Old 06-26-04, 03:21 AM
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so i was wondering. does disney still make any money on this now that they've sold the distribution rights to the two mirimax dudes?

i also think it'll make quite a bit of money, certainly in the high double digits.
Old 06-26-04, 07:18 AM
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I went to see it last night. I'm in Ohio...not exactly a major film market, however of the 5 theaters within a 30 mile radius of me 4 were showing it. I was going to go to the 7:55 showing with my girlfriend, but it was SOLD OUT. We bought tickets for the 10:40 showing. We come back at 10:15 and the freaking line is wrapped around the entire theater just to get in. We were like #475 in line. The theater held 500 and was sold out. We got stuck in the 3rd row on the floor

I'm guessing it'll do about 30 million or so this weekend. It had potential to do more if were on more screens, people were being turned away.
Old 06-26-04, 08:25 AM
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Originally posted by Barings

Moore has pretty much guaranteed a DVD release before the election from what I understand. This seems to pretty much guarantee that it will be out of the theatres by October since a double-dip (theatre sales and DVD sales) won't bear any real fruit.

GREAT. Very much looking forward to it!!

Pro-B
Old 06-26-04, 08:43 AM
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Originally posted by pro-bassoonist
GREAT. Very much looking forward to it!!

Pro-B
Don't look forward to it.

Go see it.
Old 06-26-04, 10:23 AM
  #66  
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Friday....


1 FAHRENHEIT 9/11
$8,200,000

2 WHITE CHICKS
$6,760,000

3 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY
$6,436,000

4 THE NOTEBOOK
$5,220,000

5 THE TERMINAL
$4,138,000

6 HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN
$3,379,000

7 SHREK 2
$3,187,000

8 GARFIELD: THE MOVIE
$2,401,000

9 TWO BROTHERS
$2,070,000

10 THE STEPFORD WIVES
$1,649,000
Old 06-26-04, 10:35 AM
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Could become the highest grossing documentary in history after its first weekend.
Old 06-26-04, 11:16 AM
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holy mother of pearl.
it bested white chicks on friday on 870 screens compared to white chick's 2700.
Old 06-26-04, 11:24 AM
  #69  
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Originally posted by scott shelton

1 FAHRENHEIT 9/11
$8,200,000

2 WHITE CHICKS
$6,760,000

3 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY
$6,436,000

4 THE NOTEBOOK
$5,220,000

If someone had showed me these numbers back in April and said "This will be the top four at the box office on a Friday in late June" I would've laughed at them and called them insane. Yet when I see them now I'm not surprised at all.
Old 06-26-04, 11:42 AM
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Wholly shit. That's pretty ****ing amazing. $8 million on 868 screens. That's $9447 per screen average!
Old 06-26-04, 12:06 PM
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Originally posted by Deftones, Esq
Wholly shit. That's pretty ****ing amazing. $8 million on 868 screens. That's $9447 per screen average!
That just doesn't seem possible....even if you say the avg. theater holds 500 people (which is way high for the avg.) it would equal out to almost $19 a ticket. No way!

I must be sheltered here in Ohio. Evening ticket prices are $7.75 where I went. No more than $8.50 at other places.

Last edited by LostHiWay; 06-26-04 at 12:09 PM.
Old 06-26-04, 12:26 PM
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Those numbers are theater counts, as in the number of theaters at which the film is playing, not counts of the number of prints of the film that have been released (aka the number of actual screens on which the film is showing). If a movie is showing in 2 screens at a theater, it only counts as one on the theater count.

So, if lots of theaters have F9/11 on two screens (as lots in Chicago, NYC, and probably other big cities do), it could actually be on 1500 or more actual screens.

As for ticket prices: $9.00 at most places in the chicago area; $10.25 in NY.
Old 06-26-04, 01:32 PM
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I suspect it is a high estimate that will drop down a bit like some other big openers have once real numbers come in. I would not be surprised to see it drop below 8 million maybe as low as 7.5 million.

Of course it will still end up far higher than I thought. I figure it will hit around 18-19 million range.
Old 06-26-04, 01:52 PM
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Originally posted by angryyoungman
Here's my question--seeing the demand for the film, is it possible that the number of theaters might be expanded even slightly in the next couple of weeks?
Locally, it's playing at a few AMCs and Pacific Theaters. When word about the sellouts started making news, one of our local news reporters asked one of the local AMCs if they planned on expanding the number of screens to accommodate the unexpected turnout. A rep said there were no plans to expand.

Depending on how well the movie does for the whole weekend, I could image other chains might think twice about showing it.
Old 06-26-04, 02:04 PM
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I also think that this movie might be frontloaded in the Harry Potter manner.


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