Go Back  DVD Talk Forum > Entertainment Discussions > Movie Talk
Reload this Page >

Friday Estimates for 04/09/04

Movie Talk A Discussion area for everything movie related including films In The Theaters

Friday Estimates for 04/09/04

Old 04-10-04, 01:20 PM
  #1  
DVD Talk Legend
Thread Starter
 
Matthew Chmiel's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2000
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 13,263
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Friday Estimates for 04/09/04

1. THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST
$6.2 million

2. HELLBOY
$4.0 million

3. THE ALAMO
$3.5 million

4. HOME ON THE RANGE
$3.4 million

5. SCOOBY-DOO 2: MONSTERS UNLEASHED
$3.2 million

6. JOHNSON FAMILY VACATION
$3.1 million

7. WALKING TALL
$3.0 million

8. ELLA ENCHANTED
$2.7 million

9. THE WHOLE TEN YARDS
$2.7 million

10. THE GIRL NEXT DOOR
$2.4 million

11. THE PRINCE AND ME
$2.2 million

12. THE LADYKILLERS
$1.5 million

13. JERSEY GIRL
$1.1 million

Poor The Girl Next Door.

Looks like Passion will make it out on top and it'll be a close call between everything else.

Last edited by Matthew Chmiel; 04-10-04 at 01:22 PM.
Old 04-10-04, 01:32 PM
  #2  
DVD Talk Limited Edition
 
The Antipodean's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2000
Location: Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 6,311
Received 50 Likes on 37 Posts
So it goes for all the pundits who were sure the Passion wouldn't end up #1 again. All the estimate guesses I saw yesterday said Alamo would be #1. There's definitely a disconnect between most of the professional entertainment writers and the people who've made the Passion such a hit -- and I say this as someone who's not seen it and never plans to see it.
Old 04-10-04, 01:33 PM
  #3  
DVD Talk Hero
 
Join Date: May 2001
Posts: 42,042
Received 421 Likes on 334 Posts
Talk about overcrowded.

Impressive for The Passion of the Christ, that has to burn for The Alamo.

The Girl Next Door will be a hit somewhere down the road, even if not in theaters.

Last edited by RichC2; 04-10-04 at 01:35 PM.
Old 04-10-04, 01:39 PM
  #4  
DVD Talk Legend
Thread Starter
 
Matthew Chmiel's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2000
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 13,263
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
So it goes for all the pundits who were sure the Passion wouldn't end up #1 again
Yeah. And in Vegas, most theaters only have the film on one screen. With a $6.2 million gross on Friday, I'm sure all of them have already moved it to their biggest screen.

The Girl Next Door will be a hit somewhere down the road, even if not in theaters.
Yeah, probably DVD which should be coming out in three months similar to FOX's last big flop (Club Dread).
Old 04-10-04, 01:47 PM
  #5  
DVD Talk Godfather
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: City of the lakers.. riots.. and drug dealing cops.. los(t) Angel(e)s. ca.
Posts: 54,199
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Ouch ouch ouch. Good friday seems to be a Good friday for passions. Crowded indeed.
Old 04-10-04, 02:04 PM
  #6  
DVD Talk Godfather
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: City of the lakers.. riots.. and drug dealing cops.. los(t) Angel(e)s. ca.
Posts: 54,199
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Fox does not look like it will have a good weekend.

I'm sure one factor for the failed GRLND is the push back, folks might have been wondering about that as well as no real set target audiance with it looking like another typical teen comedy that is rated R.

ouch ouch ouch.
Old 04-10-04, 02:27 PM
  #7  
DVD Talk Godfather
 
fumanstan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Irvine, CA
Posts: 55,349
Received 20 Likes on 8 Posts
Remember the Alamo! Because movie goers sure wont! Zing!
Old 04-10-04, 02:28 PM
  #8  
DVD Talk Godfather
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: City of the lakers.. riots.. and drug dealing cops.. los(t) Angel(e)s. ca.
Posts: 54,199
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Well the negative buzz on that seems to have been what killed it.. that and the whole knowledge that it was bumped back from christmas.. that and it has billy bob in it.... that and....
Old 04-10-04, 02:45 PM
  #9  
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
 
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Phoenix
Posts: 8,086
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
I hope that Home on the Range will overtake The Alamo for the number 3 spot.
Old 04-10-04, 02:49 PM
  #10  
DVD Talk God
 
Deftones's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 1999
Location: Arizona
Posts: 77,382
Received 461 Likes on 332 Posts
The Alamo would've done better had it been releases last Christmas when it was intended to be.
Old 04-10-04, 02:57 PM
  #11  
DVD Talk Legend
 
matome's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 1999
Location: NY
Posts: 12,304
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Great for Passion. $400 mil is most certainly attainable. Bomb city for Alamo and the Girl Next Door. Elisha will have to do nudity now to get her next starring role.
Old 04-10-04, 03:14 PM
  #12  
Banned by request
 
Supermallet's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Termite Terrace
Posts: 54,150
Likes: 0
Received 4 Likes on 4 Posts
Originally posted by matome
Elisha will have to do nudity now to get her next starring role.
If that truly is the case, then I applaud the whole endeavor!

The LA Times review of The Alamo was entitled, "Forget this Alamo."
Old 04-10-04, 03:23 PM
  #13  
DVD Talk Hero
 
Join Date: May 2001
Posts: 42,042
Received 421 Likes on 334 Posts
Originally posted by Suprmallet
If that truly is the case, then I applaud the whole endeavor!

The LA Times review of The Alamo was entitled, "Forget this Alamo."
http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/TheA...22/reviews.php

seems to be a common-themed-quote
Old 04-10-04, 04:05 PM
  #14  
Needs to contact an admin about multiple accounts
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 2,730
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally posted by Deftones, Esq
The Alamo would've done better had it been releases last Christmas when it was intended to be.

That's not true at all.

There was far more competition last holiday.
Old 04-10-04, 04:14 PM
  #15  
DVD Talk Godfather
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: City of the lakers.. riots.. and drug dealing cops.. los(t) Angel(e)s. ca.
Posts: 54,199
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
By pushing it back it makes the crowd wonder. Atleast if it was tossed out then it would have been fresh. Now it's just yesterdays news.
Old 04-10-04, 04:25 PM
  #16  
Needs to contact an admin about multiple accounts
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 2,730
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally posted by Jackskeleton
By pushing it back it makes the crowd wonder. Atleast if it was tossed out then it would have been fresh. Now it's just yesterdays news.

OK… Fresh, but slaughtered by the stiff competition.

I think you're overestimating the general public's concern with missed released dates.

The media beats the "it's a flop!" drums loudly, but average joe just wants to have a good time at the movie - getting their money's worth.

THE ALAMO just isn't a strong enough film for any season. It just wasn't meant to be.
Old 04-10-04, 04:30 PM
  #17  
DVD Talk Ultimate Edition
 
Join Date: Dec 1999
Posts: 4,551
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally posted by scott shelton
OK… Fresh, but slaughtered by the stiff competition.

I think you're overestimating the general public's concern with missed released dates.

The media beats the "it's a flop!" drums loudly, but average joe just wants to have a good time at the movie - getting their money's worth.

THE ALAMO just isn't a strong enough film for any season. It just wasn't meant to be.
I agree. While the missed release date prolly would've have brought a little more cash (just cause more people have time to go see stuff in the winter), this film was never really that interesting to a lot of people. And I don't really think it ever had a chance of making a lot of money. I know I never intended to watch it. And I watch every big budget movie these days.
Old 04-10-04, 04:31 PM
  #18  
DVD Talk Godfather
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: City of the lakers.. riots.. and drug dealing cops.. los(t) Angel(e)s. ca.
Posts: 54,199
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
The advertisement for the december release play the factor. Much like with Girl Next door, it's been advertised so much since it had such a long time to run that people already believe that it came and went some time ago.

But I will agree that the alamo is just bad over all.
Old 04-10-04, 09:56 PM
  #19  
DVD Talk Gold Edition
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Posts: 2,361
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
I predict that this is another weekend they will have to make a big correction for Sunday numbers when the actuals come out on Monday. They might not miss it by 8 mil like they did the first weekend but look for them to have to correct whatever they estimate for Sunday upward by a couple of mil. I bet Passion ends up pulling in >20 mil for the weekend.

Alamo opens poorly and bad word of mouth will kill it quickly. No Elisha nudity kills Girl Next Door just as quick. Her "fan" base from 24 would only go see this movie if she stripped or got killed.
Old 04-10-04, 10:49 PM
  #20  
Moderator
 
Groucho's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2000
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah
Posts: 71,383
Received 116 Likes on 78 Posts
Looks like I have a meal for myself Monday after the final weekend estimates are in:



Only question left is: how should I prepare it?
Old 04-10-04, 11:16 PM
  #21  
DVD Talk Godfather
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: City of the lakers.. riots.. and drug dealing cops.. los(t) Angel(e)s. ca.
Posts: 54,199
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
save some for me if Passions not only stays in the top five, but is #1

Hollywood box office numbers, they are one unpredictable bitch.
Old 04-11-04, 12:40 AM
  #22  
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Illinois
Posts: 781
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
It's a shame to NOT see Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind anywhere.
Old 04-11-04, 12:45 AM
  #23  
DVD Talk Special Edition
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: vancouver, WA, USA, Earth, Sol, Milkyway
Posts: 1,028
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
who was it that was saying that the alamo was going to take a bite out of the Punisher's opening? LOL!!!!!! Kill Bill might take a small snip-it, but otherwise all is good for the man with the skull on his chest...

j
Old 04-11-04, 12:50 AM
  #24  
Banned by request
 
Supermallet's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Termite Terrace
Posts: 54,150
Likes: 0
Received 4 Likes on 4 Posts
Originally posted by jekbrown
who was it that was saying that the alamo was going to take a bite out of the Punisher's opening? LOL!!!!!! Kill Bill might take a small snip-it, but otherwise all is good for the man with the skull on his chest...

j
I think you're underestimating Kill Bill.
Old 04-11-04, 12:55 AM
  #25  
DVD Talk Legend
 
Charlie Goose's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Sesame Street (the apt. next to Bob's)
Posts: 20,198
Likes: 0
Received 2 Likes on 2 Posts
These numbers do not give the whole story, we need the per-screen averages to determine what is bombing. Is The Alamo in wide release?

Thread Tools
Search this Thread

Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Do Not Sell My Personal Information -

Copyright © 2021 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.