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Box Office Estimates for 1/16-18/04

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Box Office Estimates for 1/16-18/04

Old 01-18-04, 01:48 PM
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Box Office Estimates for 1/16-18/04

Code cut and pasted from BoxOfficeMojo:

TWLWTitle (Click to view daily chart)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count/ChangeAverageTotal GrossCost*Week #
1NAlong Came PollyUni.$27,647,000-2,984-$9,265$27,647,000$42 / $201
22Big FishSony$10,400,000-24.7%2,514+108$4,136$37,950,000$70 / $256
3NTorqueWB$10,265,000-2,463-$4,167$10,265,000- / -1
41The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the KingNL$10,200,000-28.2%3,003-529$3,396$326,793,000$94 / $505
53Cheaper by the DozenFox$8,750,000-25.5%3,025-213$2,892$111,953,000$40 / $304
64Cold MountainMira.$7,003,000-11.1%2,802+500$2,499$65,024,000$78 / $254
75Something's Gotta GiveSony$6,000,000-22.4%2,502-374$2,398$100,961,000$80 / -6
86My Baby's DaddyMira.$3,655,000-51.6%1,448+1$2,524$12,395,000$12 / $102
99The Last SamuraiWB$3,120,000-31.4%1,403-498$2,223$101,996,000$140 / $307
1012Calendar GirlsDis.$3,054,000-18.3%967+10$3,158$17,192,000- / -5
117Chasing LibertyWB$2,765,000-54.5%2,400-$1,152$9,989,000$23 / $152
128PaycheckPar.$2,700,000-47.5%1,984-778$1,360$50,627,000$60 / $254
13NTeacher's PetDis.$2,375,000-2,027-$1,171$2,375,000- / -1

Last edited by Goldberg74; 01-18-04 at 01:54 PM.
Old 01-18-04, 01:51 PM
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That's a pretty big opening for Polly, I was kind of expecting another Stiller bomb like Duplex or Zoolander. Guess people are ready for a comedy.
Old 01-18-04, 02:10 PM
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Polly doesn't surprise me, as every time the trailer played at our theater their were quite a few laughs. I am happily surprised Big Fish is holding on decently. And Last Samurai finally crosses the $100 mil mark, as does Something's Gotta Give.
Old 01-18-04, 02:51 PM
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Originally posted by Sierra Disc
That's a pretty big opening for Polly, I was kind of expecting another Stiller bomb like Duplex or Zoolander. Guess people are ready for a comedy.
No way. Whoever did the trailer hit a comedy goldmine w/ that scene where Stiller is playing basketball and they slow-mo his face rubbing up against that fat hairy guy. I've seen the trailer 3 or 4 times, and I still laugh everytime I see it. That's what sells a movie.
Old 01-18-04, 04:31 PM
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How can the estimates be released so early when there is still a whole day of movie watchin left? I'll never understand it. It always seems pretty shady to me.
Old 01-18-04, 04:39 PM
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It's a formula, they already have the average amount of drop that sunday will have compared to a saturday take. You get an upset every now and then but once you get X and Y you cane guess what Z makes.. if that made any sense.
Old 01-18-04, 06:07 PM
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I wouldn't be suprised if Big Fish and Torque were overestimated and ROTK ends up higher once actuals come out...
Old 01-18-04, 11:36 PM
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Wow!!!
Along Came Ben Stiller made more in its first weekend that Samurai did.

Ahhh, the times we live in. ;(
Old 01-19-04, 01:01 AM
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Polly was great... not surprised.

-NiCK
Old 01-19-04, 01:28 AM
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Originally posted by QuiGonJosh
I wouldn't be suprised if Big Fish and Torque were overestimated and ROTK ends up higher once actuals come out...
Yeah. Big Fish dropped last time also and it was estimated by a larger margin.

I expect ROTK to end up second.
Old 01-19-04, 01:46 AM
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Looking at the box office numbers for Zoolander, it didn't do too bad considering its budget (Made ~45, Cost ~28).
Old 01-20-04, 07:25 PM
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Well mine doesn't look as good as BoxOfficeMojo (though that's where I get my info, too! )














Final Figures for Weekend Jan 16-19, 2004
TW LW Movie Fri - Mon Gross (Millions) Pct. Chg. Total (Millions) Screens Screen Avg. Weeks
1 N Along Came Polly $32.5 n/a $32.5 2,984 $10,874 1
2 1 The Lord of the Rings : The Return of the King $12.4 -12.4% $329.0 3,003 $4,145 5
3 2 Big Fish $12.3 -10.7% $39.9 2,514 $4,907 6
4 3 Cheaper by the Dozen $11.9 1.0% $115.1 3,025 $3,925 4
5 n Torque $11.4 n/a $11.4 2,463 $4,645 1
6 4 Cold Mountain $7.9 0.8% $66.0 2,802 $2,835 4
7 5 Something's Gotta Give $6.7 -13.0% $101.7 2,502 $2,686 6
8 6 My Baby's Daddy $4.4 -41.3% $13.2 1,448 $3,062 2
9 12 Calendar Girls $3.9 3.4% $18.0 967 $3,995 5
10 9 The Last Samurai $3.7 -18.5% $102.6 1,403 $2,642 7



Chris
Old 01-20-04, 09:29 PM
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The estimates sure seem to have been awfully far off from the reality lately (Big Fish's #1, no it's not thing, then this week several switched places). Is this a trend or am I just noticing it lately?
Old 01-20-04, 09:33 PM
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Originally posted by Sierra Disc
The estimates sure seem to have been awfully far off from the reality lately (Big Fish's #1, no it's not thing, then this week several switched places). Is this a trend or am I just noticing it lately?
Actually this time the estimates seem to be pretty on target. The second updated numbers are for friday through monday and include the holiday. Anyone have the official three day numbers?
Old 01-20-04, 11:08 PM
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Originally posted by jaeufraser
Anyone have the official three day numbers?
Here's the Top 5...

TWLWTitle (Click to view daily chart)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count/ChangeAverageTotal GrossCost*Week #
1NAlong Came PollyUni.$27,721,185-2,984-$9,289$27,721,185$42 / $251
22Big FishSony$10,306,947-25.4%2,514+108$4,099$37,858,198$70 / $256
31The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the KingNL$10,219,470-28.1%3,003-529$3,403$326,812,102$94 / $505
4NTorqueWB$9,970,557-2,463-$4,048$9,970,557- / -1
53Cheaper by the DozenFox$9,001,374-23.4%3,025-213$2,975$112,203,507$40 / $304

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