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Your Oscar Predictions?

Old 02-16-03, 06:39 PM
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Your Oscar Predictions?

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Comments to start off:

Okay. You knew this was coming. Might as well come from me. And please if you have comments about the Oscars (das monkey ) other than your picks, keep them to yourself or start another thread. I chose to start a new thread, because the other thread was huge and cluttered. While the other Oscar threads have nothing to do with predicting a winner. If the mods want to close this thread, they can.

I only put the "main" categories, feel free to add others if you want.

You can add comments, but please, let them be significantly about your predictions. I know how these threads get.

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Question:

What are your preditions for winners:

(Who do you think should win? and/or Who will win?)


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Nominations:

Best Picture

Chicago
Gangs of New York
The Hours
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
The Pianist

Best Director

Pedro Almodovar - Talk to Her
Stephen Daldry - The Hours
Rob Marshall - Chicago
Roman Polanski - The Pianist
Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York

Best Actor

Adrien Brody - The Pianist
Nicolas Cage - Adaptation
Michael Caine - The Quiet American
Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs of New York
Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt

Best Actress

Salma Hayek - Frida
Nicole Kidman - The Hours
Diane Lane - Unfaithful
Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven
Renee Zellweger - Chicago

Best Supporting Actor

Chris Cooper - Adaptation
Ed Harris - The Hours
Paul Newman - Road to Perdition
John C. Reilly - Chicago
Chirstopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can

Best Supporting Actress

Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
Julianne Moore - The Hours
Queen Latifah - Chicago
Meryl Streep - Adaptation
Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago

Best Original Screenplay

Far From Heaven
Gangs of New York
My Big Fat Greek Wedding
Talk to Her
Y Tu Mama Tambien

Best Adapted Screenplay

About A Boy
Adaptation
Chicago
The Hours
The Pianist

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My predictions:


Best Picture

The Pianist

Best Director

Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York

Best Actor

Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt

Best Actress

Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven

Best Supporting Actor

Chris Cooper - Adaptation

Best Supporting Actress

Meryl Streep - Adaptation

Best Original Screenplay

Y Tu Mama Tambien

Best Adapted Screenplay

Adaptation
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Old 02-16-03, 06:59 PM
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Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Director Martin Scorsese

Those are the only two that matter to me!!!!
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Old 02-16-03, 07:15 PM
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I can predict who WILL win, but I'd like to see a few more films (Gangs of New York and Adaptation at least) before I predict who SHOULD win.

Best Picture - Chicago
Best Director - Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York
Best Actor - Adrien Brody - The Pianist (come on, it's a Holocaust film)
Best Actress - Nicole Kidman - The Hours
Best Supporting Actor - Paul Newman - Road to Perdition
Best Supporting Actress - Julianne Moore - The Hours
Best Original Screenplay - Tough to call
Best Adapted Screenplay - Adaptation

and the only other category I care about:
Best Animated Feature - Spirited Away (though I think Lilo & Stitch should win, but SA is good too)

And frankly, I think Tom Hanks deserved to be nominated for The Road to Perdition, and maybe even a supporting nomination for Catch Me If You Can. The only reason this guy isn't getting nominated (and didn't win for Cast Away) is because he won back-to-back statues last decade. I think the Academy should award the best performance, not what will break down color barriers, make up for a past injustice, or finally give an award to someone who's been nominated and lost several times in the past.

But these are the Oscars, what should I expect?
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Old 02-16-03, 07:17 PM
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Re: Your Oscar Predictions?

Nominations:


Best Picture

MY Favorite: The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers

Will Probably Win: Chicago


Best Director

MY Favorite: Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York

Will Probably Win: Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York


Best Actor

MY Favorite: Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs of New York

Will Probably Win: Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt


Best Actress

MY Favorite: Renee Zellweger - Chicago

Will Probably Win: Nicole Kidman - The Hours


Best Supporting Actor

MY Favorite: Chirstopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can

Will Probably Win: Chris Cooper - Adaptation


Best Supporting Actress

MY Favorite: Julianne Moore - The Hours

Will Probably Win: Meryl Streep - Adaptation


Best Original Screenplay

MY Favorite: Y Tu Mama Tambien

Will Probably Win: Far From Heaven


Best Adapted Screenplay

MY Favorite: Adaptation

Will Probably Win: Adaptation
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Old 02-16-03, 07:30 PM
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Who will win:


Pic: The Hours
Director: Martin Scorsese
Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
Actress: Nicole Kidman
Sup. Actor: Chris Cooper
Sup. Actress: Meryl Streep
"Original" Screenplay: Talk to her
"Adapted" Screenplay: Adaptation


My personal picks out of the nominees:

Pic: Chicago
Director: Scorsese
Actor: Jack nicholson
Actress: Julianne moore
Sup. Actor: Christopher walken
Sup. Actress: Julianne moore
"Original" Screenplay: Far from heaven
"Adapted" Screenplay: Chicago

And if I could have my way:

Pic: About Schmidt or Far from heaven
Director: Todd haynes, far from heaven
Actor: Campbell scott, roger doger
Actress: Julianne moore, in anything she does
Sup. Actor: Alan arkin, 13 conversations about one thing
Sup. Actress: Julianne moore, in anything she does
Original Screenplay: Punch-drunk love
Adapted Screenplay: Secretary

Last edited by Sunday Morning; 02-16-03 at 07:35 PM.
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Old 02-16-03, 08:25 PM
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What I wish:

Best picture: Gangs of New York
Director: Scorsese
Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
Actress: Julianne Moore
Supporting actor: Chris Walken
Supporting actress: Meryl Streep
Original screenplay: Y Tu Mama Tambien
Adapted screenplay: The pianist

What will probably happen:

Best picture: Chicago
Director: Scorsese YEAH !!
Actor: Jack Nicholson
Actress: Nicole Kidman (the nose did it)
Supporting actor: Chris Cooper
Supporting actress: Meryl Streep
Original screenplay: Far from Heaven
Adapted screenplay: Adaptation (appropriately enough )

And why do sci-fi or fantasy movies ALWAYS get the shaft come Oscar time (except in sound mixing or effects or whatever) .Peter Jackson should have been there as best director: TTT was a visual splendor. Ok I feel better now !
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Old 02-16-03, 08:30 PM
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Remember that the Oscar always goes to the person that the Academy feels SHOULD win, not the most deserving winner.

Having said that, I would bet good money that at least 70% of this ballot will be accurate on Oscar night:

Best Picture: CHICAGO
Best Director: Rob Marshall, CHICAGO
Best Actor: Jack Nicholson, ABOUT SCHMIDT *
Best Actress: Nicole Kidman, THE HOURS *
Best Supoorting Actor, Christopher Walker, CATCH ME IF YOU CAN *
Best Supporting Actress, Catherine Zeta-Jones, CHICAGO
Best Original Screenplay, MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING
Best Adapted Screenplay, ADAPTATION

* locks
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Old 02-16-03, 08:51 PM
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Who Should Win:

Best Picture:Gangs of New York
Director: -Martin Scorsese-Gangs of New York
Actor: -Daniel Day Lewis-Gangs of New York
Actress: Julianne Moore-Far From Heaven
Supporting Actor: Chris Cooper-Adaptation
Supporting Actress: Catherine Zeta-Jones-Chicago
Orginal Screenplay: Far From Heaven
Adapted Screenplay: Adaptation

Who Will Probably Win:

Best Picture: Chicago
Director: Martin Scorsese-Gangs of New York
Actor: Jack Nicholson-About Schmidt
Actress:Nicole Kidman-The Hours
Supporting Actor: John C. Reily-Chicago
Supporting Actress: Meryl Streep-Adaptation
Orginal Screenplay: Y Tu Mama Tambien
Adapted Screenplay: The Hours
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Old 02-16-03, 10:19 PM
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Best Picture - Chicago
Best Director - Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York
Best Actor - Dainel Day Lewis - Gangs of New York
Best Actress - Nicole Kidman - The Hours
Best Supporting Actor - Paul Newman - Road to Perdition
Best Supporting Actress - Julianne Moore - The Hours
Best Original Screenplay - Gangs of New York
Best Adapted Screenplay - Adaptation
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Old 02-16-03, 11:33 PM
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this will be the oscars where nicole kidman wins best actress to justify chicago's dominance. i suspect the academy is warmed up to the musical thanks in no small part to nicole. a shame. moulin is the far better musical. baz is god.

honestly, its up in the air for best pic, adapt screen between hours & chicago

pic: chicago
actor: daniel day
actress: nicole kiddy
sup actor: ed harris (oh, we love the frail...)
sup actress: catty zeta jones
orig screen: uh, hmm. gangs? heaven? anything really. if only big fat greek wedding werent a big fat greek comedy. then, the academy might care.
adapt screen: chicago
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Old 02-17-03, 01:50 AM
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I can pretty much narrow down most of these to 2 people, with one clear favorite. I don't expect many surprises, but you never know

Best Picture - Chicago
If It's not Chicago, the only other movie I think has a chance in hell is Gangs of New York

Best Director - Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York
I doubt this one will be even close

Best Actor - Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt
Of the big categories, I'm most split on this one. Daniel Day-Lewis will also be a big factor. But I'll give the edge to the Academy favorite

Best Actress - Nicole Kidman - The Hours
If nothing else, it's the "make-up" for last year. Julianne Moore would be next in the line

Best Supporting Actor - Paul Newman - Road to Perdition
Chris Cooper is getting some buzz, and the supporting categories often seem to be unpredictable, but I'll go with the flow with Newan

Best Supporting Actress - Julianne Moore - The Hours
Another "make-up" deal, instead of getting the best actress votes, I think she will get the consolation of this award. Only competition seems to be Meryl Streep

Best Original Screenplay - No clue really. The academy seems to shun foriegn/independent films whenever it can. But it will probably want to recognize MBFGW since it's been so popular. So I guess I'd expect that to win, with Gangs of New York the only real threat in my book

Best Adapted Screenplay - Adaptation looks good to me. If not, it will fall to The Hours (or maybe Chicago) I guess
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Old 02-17-03, 02:05 AM
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Best Picture - Chicago
Best Director - Martin Scorsese
Best Actor - Jack Nicholson
Best Actress - Nicole Kidman
Best Supporting Actor - Chris Cooper -
Best Supporting Actress - Julianne Moore
Best Original Screenplay - Far From Heaven
Best Adapted Screenplay - Adaptation
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Old 02-17-03, 12:37 PM
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Best Picture - Chicago (Though I wish My Big Fat Greek Wedding or LOTR would win)
Best Director - Martin Scorsese
Best Actor - Jack Nicholson
Best Actress - Nicole Kidman
Best Supporting Actor - Paul Newman
Best Supporting Actress - Catherine Zeta-Jones
Best Original Screenplay - My Big Fat Greek Wedding (This is the only one I care about)
Best Adapted Screenplay - Chicago


It seems to me that most people do not care to much about the Oscars this year. Chicago, TLOTR and My Big Fat Greek Wedding are the only movies I saw that have been nominated. My wife went to see The Hours and hated it (so did the other 2 people I know who saw it).
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Old 02-17-03, 03:15 PM
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IMHO....

Best Picture: The Pianist
Director: Roman Polanski for The Pianist
Actor: Nicolas Cage for Adaptation.
Actress: Nicole Kidman for The Hours
Supporting Actor: Chris Cooper for Adaptation.
Supporting Actress: Julianne Moore for The Hours
Orginal Screenplay: Y tu mamá también - Alfonso Cuarón, Carlos Cuarón
Adapted Screenplay: Adaptation. - Charlie Kaufman, Donald Kaufman
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Old 02-17-03, 04:08 PM
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Originally posted by LBPound

And frankly, I think Tom Hanks deserved to be nominated for The Road to Perdition, and maybe even a supporting nomination for Catch Me If You Can. The only reason this guy isn't getting nominated (and didn't win for Cast Away) is because he won back-to-back statues last decade. I think the Academy should award the best performance, not what will break down color barriers, make up for a past injustice, or finally give an award to someone who's been nominated and lost several times in the past.

But these are the Oscars, what should I expect?
I totally agree with you. I think Tom Hanks should atleast have a got a nod for Road to Perdition or Catch Me If You Can
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Old 02-17-03, 04:22 PM
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Movie of the year-Chicago
Actor of the Year-Daniel Day Lewis
Director of the year-Martin Scorsese
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Old 02-17-03, 04:39 PM
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I am just gonna do who will win
Best Picture Chicago
Best Actor Jack Nicholson
Best Actress Jullian Moore or Renee Zelwigger
Best Director Martin Scorsessie
supporting actor Paul Newman
supporting actress Catherine Zeta-Jones
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Old 02-17-03, 04:42 PM
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Re: Your Oscar Predictions?

[QUOTE]Originally posted by conscience
--------------------------


Best Picture

Chicago Will win
Gangs of New York Should Win
The Hours
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
The Pianist

Best Director

Pedro Almodovar - Talk to Her
Stephen Daldry - The Hours
Rob Marshall - Chicago
Roman Polanski - The Pianist
Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York Will and Should Win

Best Actor

Adrien Brody - The Pianist
Nicolas Cage - Adaptation
Michael Caine - The Quiet American
Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs of New York Will and Should win
Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt

Best Actress

Salma Hayek - Frida
Nicole Kidman - The Hours Will and should
Diane Lane - Unfaithful
Julianne Moore - Far From Heaven
Renee Zellweger - Chicago

Best Supporting Actor

Chris Cooper - Adaptation Should
Ed Harris - The Hours
Paul Newman - Road to Perdition Will
John C. Reilly - Chicago
Chirstopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can

Best Supporting Actress

Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
Julianne Moore - The Hours
Queen Latifah - Chicago
Meryl Streep - Adaptation Will
Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago Should

Best Original Screenplay

Far From Heaven Will
Gangs of New York
My Big Fat Greek Wedding
Talk to Her
Y Tu Mama Tambien

Best Adapted Screenplay

About A Boy
Adaptation Should
Chicago Will
The Hours
The Pianist

--------------------------

--------------------------
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Old 02-17-03, 07:11 PM
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My picks for who will win:
Best Picture: Chicago
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Actress: Nicole Kidman
Best Supporting Actor: Chris Cooper
Best Supporting Actress: Julianne Moore
Best Director: Martin Scorsese
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Old 02-17-03, 07:33 PM
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Re: Your Oscar Predictions?

I haven't seen The Hours, and won't see Frida, so I can't judge these two movies. I think I've seen all the rest of these.
Also, I think when it gets closer (because really, it's too early to predict yet) I think we should do polls for the main categories (what WILL win) to see how good we are as a group.


Chicago Will and Should
Gangs of New York
The Hours
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
The Pianist

Best Director

Pedro Almodovar - Talk to Her
Stephen Daldry - The Hours
Rob Marshall - Chicago
Roman Polanski - The Pianist Should
Martin Scorsese - Gangs of New York Will

I like MS overall, but thought GoNY was kind of a mess--still good, but kind of a mess.

Best Actor

Adrien Brody - The Pianist My second choice
Nicolas Cage - Adaptation My other 2nd choice
Michael Caine - The Quiet American
Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs of New York Will and Should
Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt

Any of these except Jack Nicholson would be ok with me, so he may win just out of spite.

Best Actress

Salma Hayek - Frida
Nicole Kidman - The Hours Will
Diane Lane - Unfaithful My sentimental choice
Julianne Moore - Far From HeavenShould and May
Renee Zellweger - Chicago

Best Supporting Actor

Chris Cooper - AdaptationShould
Ed Harris - The Hours
Paul Newman - Road to PerditionWill
John C. Reilly - Chicago
Chirstopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can

Another category where my least favorite choice (PN) has a pretty good shot.

Best Supporting Actress

Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
Julianne Moore - The HoursWill
Queen Latifah - Chicago
Meryl Streep - Adaptation
Catherine Zeta-Jones - ChicagoShould

Best Original Screenplay

Far From HeavenWill and Should
Gangs of New York
My Big Fat Greek Wedding
Talk to HerMy second choice
Y Tu Mama Tambien

Best Adapted Screenplay

About A Boy
AdaptationWill and Should
Chicago
The Hours
The Pianist

Any of the nominees for Adapted Screenplay would be ok with me. Also, the only chance for my second favorite of last year (About a Boy) to win something.

Last edited by Ginwen; 02-17-03 at 10:52 PM.
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Old 02-17-03, 09:17 PM
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All the people and movies that should've won last year.
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Old 02-17-03, 10:26 PM
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What, no Austin Powers?
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Old 02-18-03, 01:36 PM
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Originally posted by LBPound

And frankly, I think Tom Hanks deserved to be nominated for The Road to Perdition, and maybe even a supporting nomination for Catch Me If You Can. The only reason this guy isn't getting nominated (and didn't win for Cast Away) is because he won back-to-back statues last decade. I think the Academy should award the best performance, not what will break down color barriers, make up for a past injustice, or finally give an award to someone who's been nominated and lost several times in the past.

But these are the Oscars, what should I expect?
You have spoken the truth, but Hollywood does not like the truth. It really deals with fiction and lives in a fiction land.

Tom was robbed by not getting best actor for Castaway and how could he not be nominated for RtP.
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Old 02-18-03, 09:01 PM
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Best Picture: Chicago*
Best Director: Martin Scorsese
Best Actor: Adrian Brody
Best Supporting Actor: Paul Newman
Best Actress: Diane Lane
Best Supporting Actress: Kathy Bates

*LOTR The Two Towers should win.
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Old 02-24-03, 07:18 PM
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I'm really hoping that Chicago doesn't win any of the acting awards or best picture. I'm sorry but a broadway musical put to film still isn't a film. I've seen all of the best picture nominees and this is definitely the least deserving.

The Pianist has my vote......
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