HD DVD is near death... All articles, rumors, etc. HERE
#301
Senior Member
Originally Posted by Deftones
Guys, nobody answered my question from a few pages ago. Will Toshiba still fulfill the pending HD-DVD MIR flicks? I can't imagine they wouldn't, but I'd be terribly pissed if they didn't deliver.
If they don't honor rebates up until the stated date, they are really pissing in the faces of their customers...We all know we could potentially be screwed as early adopters...but I think this is different.
#302
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Originally Posted by Deftones
Guys, nobody answered my question from a few pages ago. Will Toshiba still fulfill the pending HD-DVD MIR flicks? I can't imagine they wouldn't, but I'd be terribly pissed if they didn't deliver.
Just like the speculation going on here whether the OVERALL COST of owning BluRay will be higher or lower this year. It's all speculation.
#303
Originally Posted by nmr1723
I can't wait to see the back and forth for the next 3 pages...
yay!
Seriously, prices may have gone up now because of the lack of bogo's and free titles...but how many consumers (other than us) really paid attention to these sales.
If Best Buy is the leading HDM retailer, I'm thinking most consumer's were already paying close to MSRP.
yay!
Seriously, prices may have gone up now because of the lack of bogo's and free titles...but how many consumers (other than us) really paid attention to these sales.
If Best Buy is the leading HDM retailer, I'm thinking most consumer's were already paying close to MSRP.
BD software sales alone have exceeded 1.5 million units so far in 2008, a mark that hadn’t been hit until July last year, according to studio sources. Also, BD sales through mid-February are five times greater than at the same time last year.
#304
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Some of you guys can sit here and complain about lack of BOGO and MSRPs but you need to realize that hi-def is a premium product and is not meant for everyone or for price slashing sales.
Chanster in another thread made a great analogy to vehicles and used Toyota and Lexus. When was the last time you saw Lexus slash their prices? It's a luxury item and not everyone is able to afford it and it caters to a different audience just like BD caters to the HT enthusiasts that wants more than what standard dvd can offer and of course have no problem paying a little more.
Prices will eventually come down but to sit here and complain about BOGO sales or the lack of at this point is just silly.
Chanster in another thread made a great analogy to vehicles and used Toyota and Lexus. When was the last time you saw Lexus slash their prices? It's a luxury item and not everyone is able to afford it and it caters to a different audience just like BD caters to the HT enthusiasts that wants more than what standard dvd can offer and of course have no problem paying a little more.
Prices will eventually come down but to sit here and complain about BOGO sales or the lack of at this point is just silly.
Last edited by tonymontana313; 02-18-08 at 04:38 PM.
#305
DVD Talk God
Originally Posted by Bob330i
No one is answering because we don't work for either Toshiba or the fullfillment house. Obviously, I'm hoping they will since I haven't received my movies yet
Why don't you work for them? Then I would have my answer.
#306
DVD Talk Limited Edition
Originally Posted by tonymontana313
Some of you guys can sit here and complain about lack of BOGO and MSRPs but you need to realize that hi-def is a premium product and is not meant for everyone or for price slashing sales.
Chanster in another thread made a great analogy to vehicles and used Toyota and Lexus. When was the last time you saw Lexus slash their prices? It's a luxury item and not everyone is able to afford it and it caters to a different audience just like BD caters to the HT enthusiasts that wants more than what standard dvd can offer and of course have no problem paying a little more.
Prices will eventually come down but to sit here and complain about BOGO sales or the lack of at this point is just silly.
Chanster in another thread made a great analogy to vehicles and used Toyota and Lexus. When was the last time you saw Lexus slash their prices? It's a luxury item and not everyone is able to afford it and it caters to a different audience just like BD caters to the HT enthusiasts that wants more than what standard dvd can offer and of course have no problem paying a little more.
Prices will eventually come down but to sit here and complain about BOGO sales or the lack of at this point is just silly.
I'm going to pay double the price because I get 6-8X better resolution and (if I'm lucky) some extras?
No thanks. I'll stick with the BOGOs, Sales and Used HDM
#307
DVD Talk Legend
Originally Posted by tonymontana313
Some of you guys can sit here and complain about lack of BOGO and MSRPs but you need to realize that hi-def is a premium product and is not meant for everyone or for price slashing sales.
Chanster in another thread made a great analogy to vehicles and used Toyota and Lexus. When was the last time you saw Lexus slash their prices? It's a luxury item and not everyone is able to afford it and it caters to a different audience just like BD caters to the HT enthusiasts that wants more than what standard dvd can offer and of course have no problem paying a little more.
Prices will eventually come down but to sit here and complain about BOGO sales or the lack of at this point is just silly.
Chanster in another thread made a great analogy to vehicles and used Toyota and Lexus. When was the last time you saw Lexus slash their prices? It's a luxury item and not everyone is able to afford it and it caters to a different audience just like BD caters to the HT enthusiasts that wants more than what standard dvd can offer and of course have no problem paying a little more.
Prices will eventually come down but to sit here and complain about BOGO sales or the lack of at this point is just silly.
That said, this is electronics we're talking about. How long has BD been around? 2 or 3 years? We're an impatient society (look at credit card debts for people buying items they cannot afford- not to mention the housing market) and we want results now, not tomorrow. Just like any "new" electronic technology, it's going to take time for prices to come down for the regular folks. The fact you can get a solid BD player for $400 is kind of amazing.
Personally, I'm glad for the high prices as it'll keep me away from BD until all the kinks are worked out of the players/discs...
#308
DVD Talk Legend
Originally Posted by GizmoDVD
As of 1/4/2008, there was no need for a Blu-ray BOGO. They won. HD DVD could not come back unless they bought up exclusive studios. No need to run a BOGO when you won. Before that, dating back to April/May of 2007, there were nearly weekly Blu-ray BOGOs going on at numerous stores. A quick search of this forum or DVD Bargains would show this to be true. The only BOGOs we have seen since 1/4/2008 have been on the HD DVD side (aside from Amazon, who usually runs BOGOs or sales of some sort for both formats at the same time)
As for the 5 free, HD DVD group has been doing that since...March (?) of 2007, and Blu-ray quickly jumped on board as well shortly after. If Warner was still neutral I would expect the 5 free to still be going on for Blu-ray. But at this point, being the winner, why? If people want HD movies, they will have to buy Blu-ray.
As Ive said before shortly after Warner went Blu, the BDA needs to really see DVD as a threat if they want to succeed. They need the 5 free NOW. Why spend $300+ on a Blu-ray player when you can get an $50 up-converting player with 100k+ movies available from all studios? Those 5 free help push Blu-ray SA sales. Its a great way to go "Well honey, lets get the Blu-ray player because we get 5 free movies by mail, and look, they have POTC!". Its an added value. The BDA better start getting cooking on tons of catalog announcements, feature packed day and dates, BOGOs, and whatever else to help woo people into buying a Blu-ray VS. up-converter.
As for the 5 free, HD DVD group has been doing that since...March (?) of 2007, and Blu-ray quickly jumped on board as well shortly after. If Warner was still neutral I would expect the 5 free to still be going on for Blu-ray. But at this point, being the winner, why? If people want HD movies, they will have to buy Blu-ray.
As Ive said before shortly after Warner went Blu, the BDA needs to really see DVD as a threat if they want to succeed. They need the 5 free NOW. Why spend $300+ on a Blu-ray player when you can get an $50 up-converting player with 100k+ movies available from all studios? Those 5 free help push Blu-ray SA sales. Its a great way to go "Well honey, lets get the Blu-ray player because we get 5 free movies by mail, and look, they have POTC!". Its an added value. The BDA better start getting cooking on tons of catalog announcements, feature packed day and dates, BOGOs, and whatever else to help woo people into buying a Blu-ray VS. up-converter.
If you're going to compare prices in 2007 to 2008, you have to wait until the end of 2008 when the holiday deals roll around. And no one knows what those will be right now.
I do know that Blu-Ray started their 5 Free disc promotion in the summer, I believe July of 2007. HD DVD had started the 5 free discer well before that (maybe March as you said), and did have a free 3 discer before that. But Blu-Ray had been out a year before going with the five disc promo.
I just don't think these promotions and deals were as widespread as they're made out to be.
#309
DVD Talk Legend
Sorry if I'm late to the party here, but some thoughts.
The assumption that *MANY* have here -- that without HD-DVD, Blu-Ray will not offer competitive pricing, price cuts, promotions, etc -- is absolutely ludicrous and pretty much ignorant of how an organization should position itself when launching new products in a competitive environment.
Competing formats that enter the marketplace simultaneously and immediately engage in a PRICE WAR results in absolute disaster for both parties involved (or, like Vicksburg, a battle of attrition that neither side's shareholders would allow them to win). What Sony IMO failed to do -- and would have ended this idiotic "format war" sooner -- is if they stabilized and/or enhanced the Blu-Ray platform earlier and hyped their product as the "superior" product due to storage capacity, innovations, capabilities, anything that would have made BD seem like it was *worth* the extra $$. Simply cutting costs to "keep up" with Toshiba's poison-pill maneuverings would not have made for smart business, but not making empirical cases for "more bang for the buck" is almost as weak.
But with HD-DVD out of the picture, now's the time to bring in further adopters by cutting costs on hardware, software, and promoting the holy hell out of the format. Sony has made a lot of bonheaded moves in the past, but anyone with about 3 seconds of business school -- even at an *American* university -- would consider the act of NOT making the price point of Blu-Ray adoption more competitive in response to the defeat of HD-DVD to be akin to eating your own face to spite your nose.
Sony did half the right thing; they DIDN'T engage in a price war. However, they screwed up royally by not positioning themselves as the "beau monde" product of choice. You can't have it both ways. But now the game has changed, and as such so must their strategy.
And those are my thoughts. More to come at 6:30, but right now here's Herb Dunlap with the weather...
The assumption that *MANY* have here -- that without HD-DVD, Blu-Ray will not offer competitive pricing, price cuts, promotions, etc -- is absolutely ludicrous and pretty much ignorant of how an organization should position itself when launching new products in a competitive environment.
Competing formats that enter the marketplace simultaneously and immediately engage in a PRICE WAR results in absolute disaster for both parties involved (or, like Vicksburg, a battle of attrition that neither side's shareholders would allow them to win). What Sony IMO failed to do -- and would have ended this idiotic "format war" sooner -- is if they stabilized and/or enhanced the Blu-Ray platform earlier and hyped their product as the "superior" product due to storage capacity, innovations, capabilities, anything that would have made BD seem like it was *worth* the extra $$. Simply cutting costs to "keep up" with Toshiba's poison-pill maneuverings would not have made for smart business, but not making empirical cases for "more bang for the buck" is almost as weak.
But with HD-DVD out of the picture, now's the time to bring in further adopters by cutting costs on hardware, software, and promoting the holy hell out of the format. Sony has made a lot of bonheaded moves in the past, but anyone with about 3 seconds of business school -- even at an *American* university -- would consider the act of NOT making the price point of Blu-Ray adoption more competitive in response to the defeat of HD-DVD to be akin to eating your own face to spite your nose.
Sony did half the right thing; they DIDN'T engage in a price war. However, they screwed up royally by not positioning themselves as the "beau monde" product of choice. You can't have it both ways. But now the game has changed, and as such so must their strategy.
And those are my thoughts. More to come at 6:30, but right now here's Herb Dunlap with the weather...
#310
DVD Talk Hero
Originally Posted by matome
Exactly. Even without the "format lifeline" BOGO's, BD has sold more discs in the first six weeks of 2008, than the first seven MONTHS of 2007.
Again, I don't see Sony being that greedy or that stupid. I fully expect prices to be lower in June '08. But then, I've been wrong many times before.
#311
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Originally Posted by namja
Again, I don't see Sony being that greedy or that stupid. I fully expect prices to be lower in June '08. But then, I've been wrong many times before.
#312
DVD Talk Hall of Fame
Blu-ray = Sony
Sony = Blu-ray
Right or wrong, that is how it is perceived, whether that is/was Sony's intent (which if we are talking about competition among the BDA, then it would have to be) or not.
Sony = Blu-ray
Right or wrong, that is how it is perceived, whether that is/was Sony's intent (which if we are talking about competition among the BDA, then it would have to be) or not.
#313
Suspended
Originally Posted by RoboDad
And once again, why is there this assumption that Sony controls everything here? Don't you think that Matsushita, Sharp, Warner, Disney, Fox, et al, have a say?
#314
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Originally Posted by Matt Millheiser
Sony did half the right thing; they DIDN'T engage in a price war. However, they screwed up royally by not positioning themselves as the "beau monde" product of choice. You can't have it both ways.
Where is my obligatory punch?
Pro-B
#315
Suspended
Originally Posted by Jericho
That seems like an exageration of the BOGOs. I've been a Blu-Ray owner since May of 2007. I certainly don't recall that many BOGOs (if so I would have bought more) and certainly not that far back. I haven't searched the archives, and my memory may be erroneous, but I think you're remembering it better than it was. If there were that many BOGOs back then, it was probably of the same 20 Sony titles in all these BOGOs. Most of the real deals didn't come until Q4 of 2007 (or the holiday shopping times).
If you're going to compare prices in 2007 to 2008, you have to wait until the end of 2008 when the holiday deals roll around. And no one knows what those will be right now.
I do know that Blu-Ray started their 5 Free disc promotion in the summer, I believe July of 2007. HD DVD had started the 5 free discer well before that (maybe March as you said), and did have a free 3 discer before that. But Blu-Ray had been out a year before going with the five disc promo.
I just don't think these promotions and deals were as widespread as they're made out to be.
If you're going to compare prices in 2007 to 2008, you have to wait until the end of 2008 when the holiday deals roll around. And no one knows what those will be right now.
I do know that Blu-Ray started their 5 Free disc promotion in the summer, I believe July of 2007. HD DVD had started the 5 free discer well before that (maybe March as you said), and did have a free 3 discer before that. But Blu-Ray had been out a year before going with the five disc promo.
I just don't think these promotions and deals were as widespread as they're made out to be.
#316
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Originally Posted by GizmoDVD
If it wasn't for the fact I just moved, I could show you dozens of receipts from Frys and Best Buy from Blu-ray BOGOs. Most of the time they were 20 old titles with 3-4 new ones added in, and then the next week removed 3-4 older titles and put 3-4 newer ones in. Sure, its not like they had the whole 400+ movie collection on BOGO, but a good chunk. Fry's even had a month long Fox BOGO with 30 or so titles. EVERY studio in 2007 on the Blu-ray side had a BOGO with the exception of Warner, until the last week of December for both formats on Amazon. That includes Sony, Fox/MGM, Disney and IIRC, LionsGates once or twice.
I don't remember many until after the price cut in July for the PS3.
#317
Suspended
Originally Posted by Matt Millheiser
Sorry if I'm late to the party here, but some thoughts.
The assumption that *MANY* have here -- that without HD-DVD, Blu-Ray will not offer competitive pricing, price cuts, promotions, etc -- is absolutely ludicrous and pretty much ignorant of how an organization should position itself when launching new products in a competitive environment.
Competing formats that enter the marketplace simultaneously and immediately engage in a PRICE WAR results in absolute disaster for both parties involved (or, like Vicksburg, a battle of attrition that neither side's shareholders would allow them to win). What Sony IMO failed to do -- and would have ended this idiotic "format war" sooner -- is if they stabilized and/or enhanced the Blu-Ray platform earlier and hyped their product as the "superior" product due to storage capacity, innovations, capabilities, anything that would have made BD seem like it was *worth* the extra $$. Simply cutting costs to "keep up" with Toshiba's poison-pill maneuverings would not have made for smart business, but not making empirical cases for "more bang for the buck" is almost as weak.
But with HD-DVD out of the picture, now's the time to bring in further adopters by cutting costs on hardware, software, and promoting the holy hell out of the format. Sony has made a lot of bonheaded moves in the past, but anyone with about 3 seconds of business school -- even at an *American* university -- would consider the act of NOT making the price point of Blu-Ray adoption more competitive in response to the defeat of HD-DVD to be akin to eating your own face to spite your nose.
Sony did half the right thing; they DIDN'T engage in a price war. However, they screwed up royally by not positioning themselves as the "beau monde" product of choice. You can't have it both ways. But now the game has changed, and as such so must their strategy.
And those are my thoughts. More to come at 6:30, but right now here's Herb Dunlap with the weather...
The assumption that *MANY* have here -- that without HD-DVD, Blu-Ray will not offer competitive pricing, price cuts, promotions, etc -- is absolutely ludicrous and pretty much ignorant of how an organization should position itself when launching new products in a competitive environment.
Competing formats that enter the marketplace simultaneously and immediately engage in a PRICE WAR results in absolute disaster for both parties involved (or, like Vicksburg, a battle of attrition that neither side's shareholders would allow them to win). What Sony IMO failed to do -- and would have ended this idiotic "format war" sooner -- is if they stabilized and/or enhanced the Blu-Ray platform earlier and hyped their product as the "superior" product due to storage capacity, innovations, capabilities, anything that would have made BD seem like it was *worth* the extra $$. Simply cutting costs to "keep up" with Toshiba's poison-pill maneuverings would not have made for smart business, but not making empirical cases for "more bang for the buck" is almost as weak.
But with HD-DVD out of the picture, now's the time to bring in further adopters by cutting costs on hardware, software, and promoting the holy hell out of the format. Sony has made a lot of bonheaded moves in the past, but anyone with about 3 seconds of business school -- even at an *American* university -- would consider the act of NOT making the price point of Blu-Ray adoption more competitive in response to the defeat of HD-DVD to be akin to eating your own face to spite your nose.
Sony did half the right thing; they DIDN'T engage in a price war. However, they screwed up royally by not positioning themselves as the "beau monde" product of choice. You can't have it both ways. But now the game has changed, and as such so must their strategy.
And those are my thoughts. More to come at 6:30, but right now here's Herb Dunlap with the weather...
If it was not for HD DVD, the Samsung 1000 would have launched with a $1,200 (!) MSRP, vs. the $1,000 it did. We might have never gotten BD50 discs so soon (December of 06 IIRC with Click on Blu-ray), and there would be little to no reason for any Blu-ray CE to ever make a Profile 1.1/2.0 player at the moment since PiP wouldn't really be needed as it was a huge talking point of "look what I can do!" on HD DVD. PS3 may or may not have ever had a price cut.
Do I expect prices of Blu-ray SA to be more in June of 08 then right now? No. I expect them to be pretty much the same. I expect to see Profile 1.0 players dropping to $299-$399 levels while the 1.1 players replace them in the same price category ($399-$499). As long as they have cheaper SA for the un-informed people, they will continue to sell the higher priced "Bonus View" 1.1 players at a premium.
#318
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Originally Posted by GizmoDVD
Look through this thread. How many of these "HD DVD is dead" articles clearly say "Sonys Blu-ray" or "Sony" in them? The public perceives Blu-ray as Sony. Sony, the only and only. Thats how people see it.
#319
Suspended
Originally Posted by jiggawhat
Most of the BOGOs were during the holiday season right? How many were there before then?
I don't remember many until after the price cut in July for the PS3.
I don't remember many until after the price cut in July for the PS3.
#320
Suspended
Originally Posted by RoboDad
So, are you saying that you DO believe that Sony sets the prices charged by all of the Blu-ray vendors? If not, then what was your point,again? I don't care at all about "public perception". Maybe that's how uninformed people see it, but not me.
Walk into a Best Buy or Circuit City, asks who makes Blu-ray. 4/5 will say Sony. 4/5 will also tell customers Sony. Who sold the most Blu-ray stand alones? Sony. Who makes and sell the PS3, the major (maybe only) reason Blu-ray even made it past December of 2006, Sony. Read all the HD DVD death articles, all call it Sony's Blu-ray.
Its essentially useless for us to argue about this, because we know its not just Sony, but many other backers as well. But were clearly not the norm.
#321
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Originally Posted by jiggawhat
Most of the BOGOs were during the holiday season right? How many were there before then?
I don't remember many until after the price cut in July for the PS3.
I don't remember many until after the price cut in July for the PS3.
I think the jury is out on price increases, but I agree with Namja that I doubt Sony et all would be foolish do do something like that, and that they are not foolish.
#322
Suspended
Originally Posted by Qui Gon Jim
Coincidentally, that coincides with the exact time frame that Matome referenced in his post.
I think the jury is out on price increases, but I agree with Namja that I doubtSony BDA et all would be foolish do do something like that, and that they are not foolish.
I think the jury is out on price increases, but I agree with Namja that I doubt
I just want a really good, reliable, $299 or so Profile 2.0 player not made by Sony. C'mon Panasonic or Sharp (or Toshiba!)! I want to get rid of the PS3.
#323
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The difference this time is that Sony is throwing money at the studios to go their way, it isn't about choice.. they are buying the war. and winning. sadly.
I didn't want Blu to win because I don't think it is good for one company to control the spec. They can change it when they want to and not an industry choice.
I didn't want Blu to win because I don't think it is good for one company to control the spec. They can change it when they want to and not an industry choice.
#324
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Originally Posted by GizmoDVD
Without HD DVD (and we will go with the same studios only supporting Blu-ray, lets exclude Universal from the whole thing), we right now would be looking at $600+ Profile 1.0 players, no free movies, little to no BOGOs, and 25GB discs.
If it was not for HD DVD, the Samsung 1000 would have launched with a $1,200 (!) MSRP, vs. the $1,000 it did. We might have never gotten BD50 discs so soon (December of 06 IIRC with Click on Blu-ray), and there would be little to no reason for any Blu-ray CE to ever make a Profile 1.1/2.0 player at the moment since PiP wouldn't really be needed as it was a huge talking point of "look what I can do!" on HD DVD. PS3 may or may not have ever had a price cut.
Do I expect prices of Blu-ray SA to be more in June of 08 then right now? No. I expect them to be pretty much the same. I expect to see Profile 1.0 players dropping to $299-$399 levels while the 1.1 players replace them in the same price category ($399-$499). As long as they have cheaper SA for the un-informed people, they will continue to sell the higher priced "Bonus View" 1.1 players at a premium.
If it was not for HD DVD, the Samsung 1000 would have launched with a $1,200 (!) MSRP, vs. the $1,000 it did. We might have never gotten BD50 discs so soon (December of 06 IIRC with Click on Blu-ray), and there would be little to no reason for any Blu-ray CE to ever make a Profile 1.1/2.0 player at the moment since PiP wouldn't really be needed as it was a huge talking point of "look what I can do!" on HD DVD. PS3 may or may not have ever had a price cut.
Do I expect prices of Blu-ray SA to be more in June of 08 then right now? No. I expect them to be pretty much the same. I expect to see Profile 1.0 players dropping to $299-$399 levels while the 1.1 players replace them in the same price category ($399-$499). As long as they have cheaper SA for the un-informed people, they will continue to sell the higher priced "Bonus View" 1.1 players at a premium.
#325
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Originally Posted by GizmoDVD
It really does not matter if you care or not if the public perceives Sony as Blu-ray. They do. Sony = Betamax to many people. The same Beta Max that failed. Regardless if it means anything today, people may not stand behind something that failed 20 years ago, especially something that sound very close to the name.
Its essentially useless for us to argue about this, because we know its not just Sony, but many other backers as well. But were clearly not the norm.
Its essentially useless for us to argue about this, because we know its not just Sony, but many other backers as well. But were clearly not the norm.