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-   -   HD-DVD vs. Blu-Ray vs. everything else free-for-all: Round two (https://forum.dvdtalk.com/hd-talk/473978-hd-dvd-vs-blu-ray-vs-everything-else-free-all-round-two.html)

RockStrongo 08-31-06 10:36 AM


Originally Posted by awmurray
Here's why the PS3 won't be considered a "real" BD player.

Check out the interface:

http://www.highdefdigest.com/images/.../original.jpeg

http://www.highdefdigest.com/images/.../original.jpeg

Yeah, I saw that yesterday. That sucks.

So, does anyone know if it can be controlled by a harmony remote? I have my 360 controlled by it and I watch the few PAL discs that I have on it. It works ok, but isnt as good quality as the A1 when playing sd dvds.

digitalfreaknyc 08-31-06 10:43 AM


Originally Posted by awmurray
Here's why the PS3 won't be considered a "real" BD player.

Check out the interface:

http://www.highdefdigest.com/images/.../original.jpeg

This is supposed to be the big picture that BD actually works on PS3. All I see are a TV and some hands on a controller. I see no PS3.

darkside 08-31-06 11:12 AM

This reminds me of just how awful my PS2 was to watch movies on.

Jay G. 08-31-06 11:21 AM


Originally Posted by digitalfreaknyc
This is supposed to be the big picture that BD actually works on PS3. All I see are a TV and some hands on a controller. I see no PS3.

Here's the original japanese articles about Blu-Ray on PS3 all the other sites are quoting:

http://www.famitsu.com/game/news/200...59151,0,0.html

http://plusd.itmedia.co.jp/lifestyle...9/news059.html

The second link has a pic that shows the PS3 next to the TV.

digitalfreaknyc 08-31-06 11:29 AM


Originally Posted by Jay G.
Here's the original japanese articles about Blu-Ray on PS3 all the other sites are quoting:

http://www.famitsu.com/game/news/200...59151,0,0.html

http://plusd.itmedia.co.jp/lifestyle...9/news059.html

The second link has a pic that shows the PS3 next to the TV.

That's cute but...doesn't mean that the picture is originating from it. We've seen this trick before.

Sorry. I don't trust SHIT about Sony until I see it for myself.

Burnt Thru 08-31-06 11:32 AM


Originally Posted by RockStrongo
My point is that TL45 is possible for the future (Amir confirms this). Hardcore BD supports act like the limitation of HD-DVD being 30gb is unchangeable. When in fact, TL45 is an option and is possibly being explored soon.

Anything is possible, it's just a question of how likely it is. Right now we have a seemingly similar situation between HD DVD45 and BD100/200. Frankly I doubt we'll ever see either used for pre-recorded discs.

RockStrongo 08-31-06 11:37 AM


Originally Posted by Burnt Thru
Frankly I doubt we'll ever see either used for pre-recorded discs.

That statement I agree with. BUT, I bet we will see TL45 for storage and so on some time next year. According to Amir, he believes that production of the TL45 discs will be easier than BD50.

IF HD-DVD needs to use TL45, then they will make the advances to do so, but I just dont think its gonna be necessary (due to the reasons I mentioned earlier).

Spiky 08-31-06 11:46 AM


Originally Posted by Jay G.
http://www.theesa.com/facts/gamer_data.php

For Computer Gamers...


* Forty-four percent of most frequent game players are over 35 years old.

Probably includes Solitaire and Freecell players.

Giles 08-31-06 12:29 PM

just a FYI

I noticed in the latest Widescreen Review the 'Experience Blu' two page ad now has pics of 'Superman Returns' and 'Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire'

Blitz6Speed 08-31-06 12:46 PM


Originally Posted by Giles
just a FYI

I noticed in the latest Widescreen Review the 'Experience Blu' two page ad now has pics of 'Superman Returns' and 'Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire'

[HD-DVD Fanatic]THE SKY IS FALLING!!![/HD-DVD Fanatic]

The Bus 08-31-06 12:48 PM


Originally Posted by Blitz6Speed
[HD-DVD Fanatic]THE SKY IS FALLING!!![/HD-DVD Fanatic]

Um... every HD-DVD that's been out so far is better than its Blu-Ray counterpart. And they sell better.

RockStrongo 08-31-06 12:59 PM


Originally Posted by Blitz6Speed
[HD-DVD Fanatic]THE SKY IS FALLING!!![/HD-DVD Fanatic]

Hmm....why is that?? Both of these are coming to HD-DVD and will probably have Dolby TruHD 5.1 and IME.

bboisvert 08-31-06 01:12 PM

I'm still trying to figure it out. Seems like an obscure Chicken Little reference to me. 'cuz we all know that is the BD killer app that everyone is waiting for...

The Bus 08-31-06 01:25 PM

Wait that's right, Chicken Little is a bigger deal than Batman Begins.

The Wild is also the biggest movie of 2006. It's true, look it up.

Burnt Thru 08-31-06 04:03 PM


Originally Posted by RockStrongo
That statement I agree with. BUT, I bet we will see TL45 for storage and so on some time next year. According to Amir, he believes that production of the TL45 discs will be easier than BD50.

I'm not sure about recordables. Both sides have been playing their cards close to their chests on this one, and the Toshiba recorder was... interesting. Apparently it doesn't record in a format recognisable by the current HD DVD players, which is somewhat troubling. I'm not sure if they launched it in the end. While the BD recorders haven't been heard from in some time.

BTW how does Talledega Nights compare to Anchorman?

Burnt Thru 08-31-06 04:06 PM


Originally Posted by The Bus
Wait that's right, Chicken Little is a bigger deal than Batman Begins.

The Wild is also the biggest movie of 2006. It's true, look it up.

Batman Begins - $371,853,783*
Chicken Little - $314,432,665*

Very little difference between them, though the Chicken flick doesn't interest me personally...

*Worldwide Gross from DVD Mojo

Qui Gon Jim 08-31-06 04:24 PM


Originally Posted by Jay G.
http://www.theesa.com/facts/gamer_data.php

For Computer Gamers...

* Thirty percent of most frequent game players are under eighteen years old.
* Twenty-six percent of most frequent game players are between 18 and 35 years old.
* Forty-four percent of most frequent game players are over 35 years old.

For Console Gamers...

* Forty percent of most frequent game players are under eighteen years old.
* Thirty-five percent of most frequent game players are between 18 and 35 years old.
* Twenty-five percent of most frequent game players are over 35 years old.

Again, this means nothing becasue of the "most frequent gamers" part. What does that mean exactly? The test group totally skews the results.

Qui Gon Jim 08-31-06 04:27 PM


Originally Posted by Burnt Thru
The article certainly undermines what Amir's been saying for some time now. As to the NEC PDF, that's just marketing copy. I'll take an engineers word over advertising any day of the week. Or does anyone on here really believe the drive plays 90Gb HD DVDs that haven't even been created yet?

I will tell you one thing: This definitely gives me pause if thinking about buying a A1, and even 2nd gen HD-DVD hardware unless it is explicitly stated it will play TL.

kvrdave 08-31-06 04:48 PM


Originally Posted by Qui Gon Jim
I will tell you one thing: This definitely gives me pause if thinking about buying a A1, and even 2nd gen HD-DVD hardware unless it is explicitly stated it will play TL.

I'm not sure why it would give you pause, but then, I don't mind swapping discs on long movies. Are there movies currently that would not fit on DL30? I think the main reason many won't fit on BD is because they use MPEG-2, correct?

Coral 08-31-06 05:00 PM


Originally Posted by Burnt Thru
Batman Begins - $371,853,783*
Chicken Little - $314,432,665*

Very little difference between them, though the Chicken flick doesn't interest me personally...

*Worldwide Gross from DVD Mojo

Boxoffice gross doesn't always mean it translates to the same success on DVD. If it did then Titanic would be the biggest selling DVD (I'm not even sure it's in the top 20). A movie's success/failure at the boxoffice can depend a fair amount on whatelse is playing at that time.

RockStrongo 08-31-06 05:13 PM


Originally Posted by kvrdave
I'm not sure why it would give you pause, but then, I don't mind swapping discs on long movies. Are there movies currently that would not fit on DL30? I think the main reason many won't fit on BD is because they use MPEG-2, correct?

I think Spartacus will be the longest movie in HD-DVD in Oct.

Also, isnt Harry Potter 2.5 hours? It will have TruHD 5.1 AND IME. So, it seems that a 2.5 hour movie can easily fit with those options.

Also, encoding technology will get better over time and space will probably be reduced.

RockStrongo 08-31-06 05:14 PM


Originally Posted by Burnt Thru
Batman Begins - $371,853,783*
Chicken Little - $314,432,665*

Very little difference between them, though the Chicken flick doesn't interest me personally...

*Worldwide Gross from DVD Mojo

I think easily Batman Begins is a bigger deal to early adopters than Chicken Little. Hands down. Undeniable.

Those animated movies do well due to families and kiddos. I think Batman Begins will sell HD-DVD players by itself where Chicken Little will not be a huge draw (on its own) for BD players.

Qui Gon Jim 08-31-06 05:17 PM


Originally Posted by kvrdave
I'm not sure why it would give you pause, but then, I don't mind swapping discs on long movies. Are there movies currently that would not fit on DL30? I think the main reason many won't fit on BD is because they use MPEG-2, correct?

Who wants to be stuck with a player that potentially won't play a disc?

This part of the article was interesting:

Jim Armour, Toshiba: It's more resistant, and more physically reliable. But, the Blu-ray guys [...] they haven't coated the lens with an ultra-hard material, so if the ultra-hard material hits the glass lens, you're going to scratch the lens - then you won't be able to read anything.
This means a few things to me. First, those PS3s better be on a very stable surface, and not be kostled while they are being used. Second, the idea of a portable player is complicated greatly by this potential to be damaged.

It will be interesting to see the "failure" rate (in quotes because if properly cared for, there should be no problems, but we know how people are) of the PS3.

RockStrongo 08-31-06 05:20 PM


Originally Posted by Qui Gon Jim
Who wants to be stuck with a player that potentially won't play a disc?

Ebay is your friend. I always upgrade and sell my old players on ebay. I usually do pretty well on selling and make most of my money back since I shop for discounts/coupons. Im sure ill do that when a quality second gen hd-dvd comes out (as long as the upscaling of sd is as good).

Honestly, in this war, software/media is more important in the long run. I dont want to have to rebuy movies (like I would have to for MANY of the BD releases due to pic quality/special features had I taken the plunge)

Jay G. 08-31-06 05:33 PM


Originally Posted by Qui Gon Jim
Again, this means nothing becasue of the "most frequent gamers" part. What does that mean exactly?

It means gamers who play games most frequently.


The test group totally skews the results.
Ah, but which way does it skew? Most people here are assuming that younger players play games much more frequently than older gamers. So if the survey sample was expanded from "most frequent gamers" to "all" gamers, the restults would skew even older.

RockStrongo 08-31-06 06:00 PM

Again, that research is done by an association that is pushing business for the video game industry.

There are way too many variables that go into it.

Is a 64 year old grandma who plays solitaire on the computer in the target market for the PS3? Probably according to this group she is.

That grandma is only in their market if she is buying it for her grandkids not for herself.

I do not know ANY people over the age of 35 who frequently play console games. They only play computer games. They have consoles, but they are for their kiddos. Logically, this makes sense to me over some marketing surveys.

kvrdave 08-31-06 06:15 PM


Originally Posted by Qui Gon Jim
Who wants to be stuck with a player that potentially won't play a disc?

It would matter less to me currently if there are no movies that really need TL45. If we are talking about something for extras, I really don't care if extras are on another disc.

I don't know...when we get to talking about TL45, it seems like about the same as talking about BD100. It's just too far out in the future to bother me at this point. Especially at $363 for the Toshiba player. :shrug:

If there were a number of movies that needed TL45, it would be different.

Qui Gon Jim 08-31-06 06:58 PM


Originally Posted by kvrdave
It would matter less to me currently if there are no movies that really need TL45. If we are talking about something for extras, I really don't care if extras are on another disc.

I don't know...when we get to talking about TL45, it seems like about the same as talking about BD100. It's just too far out in the future to bother me at this point. Especially at $363 for the Toshiba player. :shrug:

If there were a number of movies that needed TL45, it would be different.

I'm saying this from the perspective of someone who has not purchased a player yet. If I had bought a player at launch a few months ago, and had enjoyed it from then till now until, I probably wouldn't care. But I am looking at getting a player of one format or the other probably around the new year, so the fact that the next generation may play TL discs would influence me to wait if that was the case. Those that have enjoyed their decks will definitely have gotten their money's worth by then.

It is rumored that TL could come next year. That's not too far off and it is different than the BD100s because BD 100 is in the BD spec. Let me make clear that I think that current hardware will play TL so all this may be a non-issue.

The Bus 08-31-06 07:43 PM

BD-100 is in the spec? Interesting.

The likelihood of me getting an HD-DVD drive for data storage is close to nil. If BD-50s work now, we may get BD-75s or BD-100s. I won't be getting one for at least a year anyway so I'm not terribly concerned. If HD-DVD came out with a triple layer burner and it was half the price, then I'd jump on it. But right now there's no advantage on the data side. HD- and BD drives are all the same price. Any problems either will have with HDMCP or movie playback are bound to get figured out. But if they are the same price, I see no advantage on the data side for HD-DVD.

But -- those two things are completely separate. I can see a world where consumer electronics are 80/20 HD/BR and data storage is 20/80 BR/HD. That wouldn't bother me.

Qui Gon Jim 08-31-06 08:38 PM


Originally Posted by The Bus
BD-100 is in the spec? Interesting.

You got me wondering so I went to check and this is what I found:


1.5 How much data can you fit on a Blu-ray disc?

A single-layer disc can hold 25GB.
A dual-layer disc can hold 50GB.

To ensure that the Blu-ray Disc format is easily extendable (future-proof) it also includes support for multi-layer discs, which should allow the storage capacity to be increased to 100GB-200GB (25GB per layer) in the future simply by adding more layers to the discs.
To me this can be read two ways. Either the media designs are "future proof" by be ing able to add additional layers, or the players AND the media are future proof.

Time will tell I guess.

I also agree completely that BD will probably find a home as a computer storage standard. I think the only way HD-DVD-R has any headway is if HD-DVD really takes off and the ability to play home-authored discs in players exists. There are rumors that the decks won't play burned discs. Again, time will tell.

DthRdrX 08-31-06 08:40 PM


Originally Posted by The Bus
BD-100 is in the spec? Interesting.


But -- those two things are completely separate. I can see a world where consumer electronics are 80/20 HD/BR and data storage is 20/80 BR/HD. That wouldn't bother me.

I can't find if anything beyond BD50 is in the Blu-Ray spec. The BDA official site doesn't have much to say about the subject. We will all know soon enough, I assume, as the PS3 is likely to be the final say so on what is and is not in the spec.

I agree with your thoughts on the CE industry vs PC industry and how different the applications can be for these discs. I think SL Blu-Ray would be perfect for optical storage and a welcome upgrade from burning on dvds. PS3 games released on BD25 should be enough to drive down the costs of recordable discs.

The problem with DL Blu-Ray, or possibly TL Hd-dvd for that matter, is that with a PC burner the media may always be pretty expensive compared to single layer. Consider how much of a premium recordable DL-dvd is to this day. Now imagine how much more expensive those DL discs would be if the studios never switched over to using them for movies, which resulted in increased yields and lowered costs all around. That can very well be the case with DL and Blu-Ray if the studios stick to SL discs for the majority of their releases.

Jay G. 08-31-06 08:42 PM


Originally Posted by RockStrongo
Is a 64 year old grandma who plays solitaire on the computer in the target market for the PS3? Probably according to this group she is.

No, because the survey differentiates between console and PC gamers.


That grandma is only in their market if she is buying it for her grandkids not for herself.
Thus she'd be covered under the category for console buyers, and lo, the ages skew higher for that.


I do not know ANY people over the age of 35 who frequently play console games. They only play computer games. They have consoles, but they are for their kiddos. Logically, this makes sense to me over some marketing surveys.
Actually, anecdotal evidence is the least logical type of information to base conclusions on. Surveys try to be as random as possible to remove any possible bias or irregularities in the sample, to get as representative a sample of the overall population as possible. "People you know" is the least representative of the population as a whole, and is the most prone to bias or irregularities.

If you can find another survey that has different numbers, you can argue against the survey. Saying that it doesn't seem right to you isn't really a strong counter though. If people behaved exactly the way we thought people should behave, we wouldn't need surveys.

Qui Gon Jim 08-31-06 08:44 PM


Originally Posted by DthRdrX
the PS3 is likely to be the final say so on what is and is not in the spec.

Excellent point.

Jay G. 08-31-06 08:45 PM


Originally Posted by RockStrongo
Ebay is your friend. I always upgrade and sell my old players on ebay.

Yeah, but how much resale value does a player have if it can't play all the discs of a particular format?

It'd be like those early DVD players that had problems player certain DVDs; nobody wanted to keep those, and certainly nobody wanted to buy those.

If current HD-DVD players either cannot play or cannot be upgraded to play TL HD-DVDs, then introducing them could cause quite a hiccup to HD-DVD's sales.

Drexl 08-31-06 09:15 PM


Originally Posted by The Bus
The likelihood of me getting an HD-DVD drive for data storage is close to nil. If BD-50s work now, we may get BD-75s or BD-100s. I won't be getting one for at least a year anyway so I'm not terribly concerned. If HD-DVD came out with a triple layer burner and it was half the price, then I'd jump on it. But right now there's no advantage on the data side. HD- and BD drives are all the same price. Any problems either will have with HDMCP or movie playback are bound to get figured out. But if they are the same price, I see no advantage on the data side for HD-DVD.

Yeah, but you also have to consider the cost of the media. Even though dual-layer DVDs have been out for a couple of years, they still aren't worth using because they're still too expensive compared to single-layer discs. Unless you have a specific need for DL (hint, hint), it's not worth spending $2 or $3 for a blank DL disc when you can get a SL disc for under 50 cents.

We don't know what the media will cost yet (that $50 BD shouldn't be an indicator of what the eventual, sane price will be), so until then, we can't really say which will be better for storage.

Supermallet 09-01-06 12:09 AM


Originally Posted by Qui Gon Jim
This means a few things to me. First, those PS3s better be on a very stable surface, and not be jostled while they are being used. Second, the idea of a portable player is complicated greatly by this potential to be damaged.

It will be interesting to see the "failure" rate (in quotes because if properly cared for, there should be no problems, but we know how people are) of the PS3.

I promise you the failure rate will be higher among PS3 owners who sit their system up vertically.

Burnt Thru 09-01-06 02:08 AM


Originally Posted by DthRdrX
the PS3 is likely to be the final say so on what is and is not in the spec.

If it's any sort of success the HD DVD add-on drive for the 360 could well hold a similar position for that format. If it can't read TL does that mean it won't be used for movie discs?

Supermallet 09-01-06 03:18 AM

I don't know about that. The HD-A1 has really set the gold standard for what HD DVD can do. I don't think the add-on is going to have that kind of impact.

digitalfreaknyc 09-01-06 03:44 AM


Originally Posted by Burnt Thru
If it's any sort of success the HD DVD add-on drive for the 360 could well hold a similar position for that format. If it can't read TL does that mean it won't be used for movie discs?

It's very different. The ps3 will actually have games on BD discs whereas the 360 add-on will just be for movies.

Burnt Thru 09-01-06 04:39 AM

It's not a question of games or quality of drives, simply numbers of users. If the add-on is to be a success set against the PS3 then it will represent the bulk of HD DVD users for quite a while. So any disc will have to play on that drive.


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