Weekend Box Office -- July 24th through July 26th
07-26-15, 10:16 PM
#1
DVD Talk God
Thread Starter
Weekend Box Office -- July 24th through July 26th
The top 10 films per studio estimates for the weekend of July 24-26:
1). Ant-Man (DIS), 3,868 theaters (+12) / $7.2M Fri./$9.85M Sat (+37%)/$7.7M Sun (-22%)/ 3-day cume: $24.77M (-57%)/Total cume: $106.1M/Wk 2
Industry 3-day estimate: $24.66M, $106M total cume
2). Pixels (SONY), 3,723 theaters / $9.15M Fri.* /$8.4M Sat (-8%)/$6.4M Sun (-24%)/ 3-day cume: $24M / Wk 1
*includes previews of $1.5M
Industry 3-day estimate: $23.7M
3). Minions (UNI), 4,066 theaters (-245)/ $6.8M Fri./$8.96M Sat (+32%)/$6.29M Sun (-30%)/ 3-day cume: $22.05M (-55%)/Total Cume: $261.6M / Wk 3
Industry 3-day estimate: $22.2M, $261.7M total cume
4). Trainwreck (UNI), 3,171 theaters (+13)/ $5.3M Fri./$6.8M Sat (+28%)/$5M Sun (-26%)/ 3-day cume: $17.1M (-43%)/Total cume: $61.5M/ Wk 2
Industry 3-day estimate: $17.3M, $61.6M total cume
5). Southpaw (TWC), 2,772 theaters / $6.2M Fri. */ $5.7M (-8%)/$4.6M (-20%)/3-day cume: $16.5M / Wk 1
*includes Thursday previews of $1.15M
Industry 3-day estimate: $16.2M
6). Paper Towns (FOX), 3,031 theaters / $6.3M Fri.* /$3.5M (-45%) Sat./$2.68M Sun (-24%)/ 3-day cume: $12.5M / Wk 1
*includes $2M Thursday previews
Industry 3-day estimate: $12.4M
7). Inside Out (DIS), 2,717 theaters (-546)/ $2.19M Fri./$2.95M Sat (+35%)/$2.2M Sun (-25%)/ 3-day cume: $7.36M (-36%) /Total cume: $320.2M/ Wk 6
Industry 3-day estimate: $7.1M, $320M total cume
8). Jurassic World (UNI), 2,645theaters (-472) / $2.05M Fri./$2.9M Sat (+42%)/$1.9 Sun (-34%)/ 3-day cume: $6.85M (-40%) /Total cume: $623.75M/ Wk 7
Industry 3-day estimate: $6.9M, total cume of $623.8M
9). Mr. Holmes (RSA/Miramax), 686 theaters (+325) / $774K Fri. (+20%) /$1.19M Sat (+53%)/$832K Sun (-30%)/ 3-day cume: $2.8M (+15%)/ Total cume: $6.4/Wk 2
Industry 3-day estimate: $2.8M, $6.39M total cume
10). Terminator: Genisys (PAR), 1,702 theaters (-1,112) / $673K Fri./$978K (+45%)/$749K Sun (-23%)/ 3-day cume: $2.4M (-56%) / Total cume: $85.66M/ Wk 4
Industry 3-day estimate: $2.36M, total cume $85.6M
1). Ant-Man (DIS), 3,868 theaters (+12) / $7.2M Fri./$9.85M Sat (+37%)/$7.7M Sun (-22%)/ 3-day cume: $24.77M (-57%)/Total cume: $106.1M/Wk 2
Industry 3-day estimate: $24.66M, $106M total cume
2). Pixels (SONY), 3,723 theaters / $9.15M Fri.* /$8.4M Sat (-8%)/$6.4M Sun (-24%)/ 3-day cume: $24M / Wk 1
*includes previews of $1.5M
Industry 3-day estimate: $23.7M
3). Minions (UNI), 4,066 theaters (-245)/ $6.8M Fri./$8.96M Sat (+32%)/$6.29M Sun (-30%)/ 3-day cume: $22.05M (-55%)/Total Cume: $261.6M / Wk 3
Industry 3-day estimate: $22.2M, $261.7M total cume
4). Trainwreck (UNI), 3,171 theaters (+13)/ $5.3M Fri./$6.8M Sat (+28%)/$5M Sun (-26%)/ 3-day cume: $17.1M (-43%)/Total cume: $61.5M/ Wk 2
Industry 3-day estimate: $17.3M, $61.6M total cume
5). Southpaw (TWC), 2,772 theaters / $6.2M Fri. */ $5.7M (-8%)/$4.6M (-20%)/3-day cume: $16.5M / Wk 1
*includes Thursday previews of $1.15M
Industry 3-day estimate: $16.2M
6). Paper Towns (FOX), 3,031 theaters / $6.3M Fri.* /$3.5M (-45%) Sat./$2.68M Sun (-24%)/ 3-day cume: $12.5M / Wk 1
*includes $2M Thursday previews
Industry 3-day estimate: $12.4M
7). Inside Out (DIS), 2,717 theaters (-546)/ $2.19M Fri./$2.95M Sat (+35%)/$2.2M Sun (-25%)/ 3-day cume: $7.36M (-36%) /Total cume: $320.2M/ Wk 6
Industry 3-day estimate: $7.1M, $320M total cume
8). Jurassic World (UNI), 2,645theaters (-472) / $2.05M Fri./$2.9M Sat (+42%)/$1.9 Sun (-34%)/ 3-day cume: $6.85M (-40%) /Total cume: $623.75M/ Wk 7
Industry 3-day estimate: $6.9M, total cume of $623.8M
9). Mr. Holmes (RSA/Miramax), 686 theaters (+325) / $774K Fri. (+20%) /$1.19M Sat (+53%)/$832K Sun (-30%)/ 3-day cume: $2.8M (+15%)/ Total cume: $6.4/Wk 2
Industry 3-day estimate: $2.8M, $6.39M total cume
10). Terminator: Genisys (PAR), 1,702 theaters (-1,112) / $673K Fri./$978K (+45%)/$749K Sun (-23%)/ 3-day cume: $2.4M (-56%) / Total cume: $85.66M/ Wk 4
Industry 3-day estimate: $2.36M, total cume $85.6M
I saw Southpaw during the AMC free screening on Tuesday night for the Stub Hub members. I wonder how much potential box office money was lost because of those free showings.
The $16.5M seems a decent number for a movie that didn't have a tremendous amount of buzz. I think it will pull in about $30-35M when it wraps up it's domestic run. Don't know if it has any potentially decent international numbers in it.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/...inator2015.htm
For anyone curious, Terminator Genisys is now at $305M total box office. It's international legs saved it from being a flat out bust. Don't know if that's enough cash for the Ellisons and Paramount to officially greenlight the next movie in their planned trilogy.
07-26-15, 10:20 PM
#2
DVD Talk Legend
Re: Weekend Box Office -- July 24th through July 26th
Only a 2.1 multiplier for Southpaw? That's horror genre levels. I'm thinking at least $40M. Reviews at least were so-so (58% on RT) and it got an "A" grade from audiences.
07-26-15, 10:24 PM
#3
Moderator
07-26-15, 10:28 PM
#5
DVD Talk God
Thread Starter
Re: Weekend Box Office -- July 24th through July 26th
With Mission Impossible and Vacation opening up this week, it's going to drop at least 50%. I think it's going to drop to $7-8M next week. I don't know if it has enough legs to reach $40M with 2 more big high profile summer movies coming out this week. Most movie goers will probably see them over anything else next weekend.
07-26-15, 10:47 PM
#6
DVD Talk Legend
Re: Weekend Box Office -- July 24th through July 26th
With Mission Impossible and Vacation opening up this week, it's going to drop at least 50%. I think it's going to drop to $7-8M next week. I don't know if it has enough legs to reach $40M with 2 more big high profile summer movies coming out this week. Most movie goers will probably see them over anything else next weekend.
07-26-15, 10:52 PM
#7
Re: Weekend Box Office -- July 24th through July 26th
Either Vacation or Mission Impossible will be a bust. I'm think MI, though it could be Vacation with how hot Trainwreck is going.
Studio is very happy for Southpaw as it beat expectations for the weekend. I'm actually really shocked it didn't do more as all the shows I watched have promoted the film. Nightcrawler had #32 million, so I think Southpaw should be able to rank in $40 by the end of it as Nightcrawler opened at $10.
Studio is very happy for Southpaw as it beat expectations for the weekend. I'm actually really shocked it didn't do more as all the shows I watched have promoted the film. Nightcrawler had #32 million, so I think Southpaw should be able to rank in $40 by the end of it as Nightcrawler opened at $10.
07-26-15, 10:57 PM
#8
DVD Talk God
Thread Starter
Re: Weekend Box Office -- July 24th through July 26th
Either Vacation or Mission Impossible will be a bust. I'm think MI, though it could be Vacation with how hot Trainwreck is going.
Studio is very happy for Southpaw as it beat expectations for the weekend. I'm actually really shocked it didn't do more as all the shows I watched have promoted the film. Nightcrawler had #32 million, so I think Southpaw should be able to rank in $40 by the end of it as Nightcrawler opened at $10.
Studio is very happy for Southpaw as it beat expectations for the weekend. I'm actually really shocked it didn't do more as all the shows I watched have promoted the film. Nightcrawler had #32 million, so I think Southpaw should be able to rank in $40 by the end of it as Nightcrawler opened at $10.
I think Vacation will open at #2 next weekend. There are those who would rather see a comedy than a big budget action movie and the Vacation name along with Helms should get eyes on it.
07-26-15, 11:03 PM
#9
DVD Talk God
Thread Starter
Re: Weekend Box Office -- July 24th through July 26th
Not saying it won't have a 50% drop, in fact I wouldn't be surprised if it's closer to 55%, so using that number it's at $24M by the end of weekend #2, not including the weekdays (if it averages $1M/day between Mon to Thurs then that takes its total to $28M). If it had toxic WOM then I'd agree, I just don't see it getting that low of a multiplier even with the competition. Any examples of similar movies performing that poorly?
I liked the movie and would have paid money to see it if I wasn't offered the free screening, but I can see how it's not a huge draw for many. Sports movies, especially boxing can be very formulaic and predictable.
