foofighters7

Might have been referenced in another thread but not sure.

It seems very probable that 2012 could produce the largest grosses of all time in film.

The Hunger Games
The Avengers
Dark Knight Rises
Battleship
MIB 3
Brave
GI JOE
Amazing Spider Man
Ice Age
Bourne Legacy
Expendables 2
Paranormal Activity 4
Skyfall
Twilight
The Hobbit

Just to name some of the larger ones.

Seeing that The Avengers is close to 1 Billion right now Internationally, this could be a gigantic year.
Could it perhaps be too grand a year? Have the regular movie going audience already chose their blockbuster to attach themselves too? Will the amount of 'big' movies actually hurt the potential box office revenue, or will people just keep plunking down the cash for blockbuster film after film?

Matthew Chmiel

The Hunger Games has a solid shot of doing $400 million domestically if Lionsgate does (another) theatrical rerelease towards the end of the summer. If not, it'll end just shy of the mark.

The Avengers will end its total run in North America over $550 million based upon how its trending. I also do think its got a solid shot of breaking the worldwide $1.4 billion barrier to top Harry Potter (as I don't think any film is going to come close to Titanic and Avatar's record for a long time).

The Dark Knight Rises is guaranteed $400 million plus domestically based upon the box office performance and video sales and rentals of the last film alone.

2009 is still the highest year on record with:

1 film at $750 million+ (Avatar).
1 film at $400 million+ (Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen).
1 film at $300 million+ (Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince).
7 films at $200 million +.
22 films at $100 million +.

All in all, 32 films that eclipsed the elusive $100 million barrier.

Right now? 2012 has a rousing 7 films that have eclipsed the elusive $100 million barrier and we're nearly at the half way mark.

Battleship, The Bourne Legacy, The Expendables 2, and Paranormal Activity 4 are four films on your list that most are questioning will even get to the $100 million mark based upon poor tracking or past entry performance. Men in Black 3, The Amazing Spider-man, and Ice Age are tracking to perform decently, but not as well as past franchise entries.

We could still have some surprise hits pop out, but yes, based upon the fact this year has some of the most anticipated films of all time, this may be the year to top 2009.

Dr Mabuse

Impossible.

Piracy is killing the film industry, haven't you heard?

JaxComet

I'm thinking Battleship and the Expendables 2 will be dogs.....

foofighters7

Yeah 09' was a huge year.

I actually forgot about a few that came out that year.

Still COULD happen for this year.

12' could end up having more over 100mil.

Possible 100+ers-
Snow White and Huntsman
Rock of Ages
Abraham Lincoln Vampire Hunter
Prometheus
Total Recall
Resident Evil
Taken 2
Rise of the Guardians
Lincoln
Django Unchained

It could be close.

Rypro 525

^unless Lincolin ends up being like an arthouse 100 million (see Black Swan/Slumdog Millionaire) i doubt it

foofighters7

It's very possible.

it's not an arthouse film. It's Steven Spielbergo and it about one of, if not the most liked Presidents. Could bring the people out. Shoot, his terrible Horse movie made 80mil in the U.S. Alone.

Matthew Chmiel

War Horse did $80 million and I doubt Lincoln will do any better. I love Spielberg and Daniel Day Lewis, but look at all the fucks I give on seeing a film about Lincoln's time in office.

Resident Evil will not do over $100 million considering none of them have grossed over $60 million domestically.

The rest? All up in the air.

foofighters7

Yes, Resident Evil was a stretch but Lincoln is certainly not.

Matthew Chmiel

Spielberg's non-tentpole pictures don't tend to do well at the box office as they're more vanity projects than anything else. Not saying that's a bad thing as some of them are quite excellent, but they don't attract interest from audiences.

The Color Purple. Empire of the Sun. Always. Schindler's List. Amistad. A.I. Artificial Intelligence. The Terminal. Munich. The Adventures of Tintin. War Horse. All did under $100 million domestically despite being some of the best films he's ever put out. Hell, Spielberg would be the one of the greatest directors to ever lived if his output was more like Empire of the Sun and less like Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull (which is his third highest grossing film to date ).

PenguinJoe

I don't know about Battleship, its not something i would pay to see.

Also, I had no clue the were doing another Bourne Identity movie. I thought Damon was done after Ultimatum.

Drexl

I'm pretty sure Tintin was NOT a vanity project.

What about Les Miserables? I think it has a chance to crack $100m, but it's really hard to predict the box office take of a musical.

Defiant1

Damon's not in it. Jeremy Renner headlines the latest installment as another Treadstone or Blackbriar agent.

2012 is looking quite promising for box office though. Although we won't have an Avatar-sized hit, we are looking at possibly 5 or 6 titles in the $350M+ range.

foofighters7

Battleship looks moronic on every level, therefore it will be a sure hit!

The Bourne movie won't have Damon but the Bourneyness of it should still push it well over 100mil.

As for Lincoln, we shall see. I see it pulling in about 109mil in the U.S. but it's certainly possible to come in under 100. I can see a variety of people wanting to see it and push it which makes me think 100+.

GuessWho

I don't think Batman will do as well as the last one. A lot of people went specifically to see Heath Ledger's highly-touted and final performance. The new one just seems like another great superhero movie but it doesn't have that added factor.

davidh777

Good question. The target audience is the folks who've seen it a dozen times on stage, but that will depend on how good the movie is. Then if it can reach out to non-musical fans like Chicago did, all the better.

bdshort

Yeah, I'm still wondering how much of a factor Ledger was in The Dark Knight's success. TDKR looks fantastic and is my #1 most anticipated movie this summer, but I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't quite match TDK.

Nick Danger

Bigger and bigger years are inevitable. As the standard of living continues to go up around the world, there will be ever greater number of people who buy movie tickets. Also, the US dollar inflates a few percent each year. After enough years, the $700 million earned by Star Wars, an amount that was off the charts in 1977, comes within reach of ordinary tentpole films.

The Bus

Film revenues generally increase year over year. I know there was a down year recently (2009? 2010?) but "the highest grossing year of all time" is usually the year we are living in.

Once China gets fully cinema'd up, and more movies (like Iron Man 3) are Chinese co-productions, the share of box office gross that the US does will shrink steadily. Most of us will see $5bn+ films in our lifetime.

PenguinJoe

Snow White and The Huntsman looks good.

Taken 2? How many daughters does Liam Neeson's character have?

Obi-Wanma

Almost every year is the highest grossing year of all time.

RichC2

As I mentioned in another thread, I think a bigger issue is the fact it was The Joker. That's sort of one of the legendary bad guys in comic book history. Bane? Popular, but drastically less so.


Yup, as prices go up the gross gets bigger despite the argument that piracy is killing the industry. 2009 was the first year to break $10b domestic, 2010 and 2011 also broke $10b but were both below 2009 (and 2011 was below 2010). It's considered a failed year if the current year doesn't beat the previous year and exhibitors start freaking out. Good luck 2013, it's going to be hell beating this year.

Deftones

Mondo Kane

I agree about Joker's status, but I think one of the main selling points is that more people are starting to become aware that this will be the last Batman movie for some time (Almost giving it a Deathly Hollows Part 2 kind-of push)

foofighters7

just a bump.

we've had some surprises this year. I don't think too many people would have guessed 'Ted' would have made over 200 mil.

Several films went over 100 mil that I was shocked over.

Taken 2 was a bit of a shock. 21 Jumpstreet shocked we somewhat. Magic Mike and Argo going over 100 is noteworthy.

I think 'Lincoln' will go over the 100 mil mark as well.

Without looking at specifics It seems this year will be stronger than last year, but yeah it's not topping the 09' Avatard year.