Jericho

I was thinking, most in the know would probably rate Chicago as the odds on favorite for Best Picture this year. And it has 13 nominations. But how many awards will it actual win?

If you look at the remaining 12 nominations, six are in the major categories (acting/directing/writing) and 6 in the others. But of the major categories, will they win any?

1. Director - Rob Marshall (I see no way he wins this, it's probably a shoo in for Scorsese)
2. Actress - Renee Zellweger (It's probably Nicole Kidman's to lose, and Juliane Moore is a factor. A longshot)
3. Supporting Actor - John C. Reilly (a more unpredictable categorey, but Newman or cooper would be the favorites)
4. Supporting Actress - Queen Latifah (let's just say I doubt it)
5. Supporting Actress - Catherine Zeta-Jones (possible, but how do you beat Moore or Streep?)
6. Writing - Adapted Screenplay (A possibility, but I'd rate Adaptation as the favorite)

So it could very easily lose all six

Which leaves:
7. Art Direction
8. Cinematography
9. Costume Design
10. Editing
11. Best song
12. Sound

Granted they should win some of these, like Art Direction which seems like a shoo-in. But it could end up with only maybe 3 wins in 12 nominations, hardly a ringing endorsement for Best Picture. Maybe it can set a record for most Oscar losses?

So how many do you think it will win? And will it win Best picture?

conscience

I don't think it will sweep any of the major awards (maybe Best Picture in a make up for Moulin Rouge)

But none of my personal picks for Best Picture were nominated.

but the acting will be blocked by better performances.

They might be a shoo-in for Costumes, Sound, Art Direction.