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Old 12-19-15, 02:58 PM   #51
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Reposting from the Star Wars thread -

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4133&p=.htm

Quote:
Star Wars: The Force Awakens has already put its stamp on the record books, kicking off its domestic release with an estimated $120.5 million Friday opening. That opening number includes a record-breaking $57 million from Thursday night "previews" and makes this the first film to gross more than $100 million in a "single" day, but the records don't stop there.

The $120.5 million opening day for Star Wars marks the largest Friday, opening day and single day records previously held by Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 at $91 million. In just its opening day, the film has also broken the previous December opening weekend and single day records, both of which were held by The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey.

The Hobbit's previous December opening weekend record was $84.62 million and the single day record was a paltry $37.13 million, which puts into context just how big this opening really is. Now the question comes down to the film's legs to determine just how high it will go. The overall opening weekend record of $208.8 million, set by Jurassic World earlier this year, will obviously be broken, but by how much?

Industry estimates currently range anywhere from $225-240 million for the weekend.
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Old 12-22-15, 10:26 PM   #52
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

$40m Monday for TFA.
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Old 12-24-15, 02:47 PM   #53
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I was on vacation last week, but didn't want to leave out what turned out to be (as expected) a historic weekend for movie going.


<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $247,966,675 - 4,134 - $59,982 $247,966,675 - 1
2 N Alvin and the Chipmunks The Road Chip Fox $14,287,159 - 3,653 - $3,911 $14,287,159 - 1
3 N Sisters Uni. $13,922,855 - 2,962 - $4,700 $13,922,855 $30 1
4 1 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 LGF $5,892,683 -48.4% 2,653 -998 $2,221 $254,481,457 $160 5
5 4 Creed WB (NL) $5,013,055 -50.5% 2,433 -1,069 $2,060 $87,828,128 $35 4
6 3 The Good Dinosaur BV $4,350,285 -57.8% 2,755 -851 $1,579 $96,664,353 - 4
7 5 Krampus Uni. $4,114,805 -51.1% 2,371 -548 $1,735 $35,145,460 $15 3
8 2 In the Heart of the Sea WB $3,484,270 -68.5% 3,103 - $1,123 $18,619,365 - 2
9 N Dilwale UTV $1,920,074 - 268 - $7,164 $2,029,194 - 1
10 N Bajirao Mastani Eros $1,741,037 - 304 - $5,727 $1,741,037 - 1
11 7 Spectre Sony $1,433,957 -64.6% 1,225 -1,415 $1,171 $193,910,089 $245 7
12 9 Spotlight ORF $1,425,193 -43.2% 825 -264 $1,728 $22,803,219 - 7
13 10 Brooklyn FoxS $1,176,593 -41.0% 614 -333 $1,916 $16,495,006 - 7
14 6 The Night Before Sony $1,152,034 -72.1% 1,235 -1,439 $933 $41,462,098 $25 5
15 22 The Danish Girl Focus $547,434 +108.0% 81 +57 $6,758 $1,335,067 - 4
16 8 The Peanuts Movie Fox $538,447 -80.0% 771 -1,882 $698 $126,323,036 $99 7
17 11 The Martian Fox $450,010 -69.1% 493 -548 $913 $223,879,433 $108 12
18 14 Trumbo (2015) BST $411,895 -50.7% 273 -281 $1,509 $6,270,123 - 7
19 15 The Big Short Par. $378,285 -46.4% 8 - $47,286 $1,319,689 $28 2


As of Wednesday:
1. The Force Awakens: $363,460,329
2. Alvin/Chipmunks: $24,679,441
3. Sisters: $21,831,360
4. The Big Short: $3,777,455 (went wide on Wednesday)
5. The Hunger Games: MockingJay Part 2 - $258.4m
6. The Good Dinosaur: $100,655,155
7. Creed: $90.9m
8. Krampus: $37.8m
9. In the Heart of the Sea: $20.8m
10. Spectre: $195.1m

Last edited by RichC2; 12-24-15 at 02:52 PM.
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Old 12-26-15, 08:50 AM   #54
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

The star Wars has broken the record of Harry Potter 2...
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Old 12-27-15, 01:58 PM   #55
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Another historic weekend. Don't know how to do the boxofficemojo image like Rich, but TFA has the second largest 2nd weekend of all time. Avatar's domestic could be broken before or right after New Year weekend. Simply amazing. Is a billion out of the question domestically? Will be interesting to see where it goes after the holidays, but I'm thinking it will still be doing well but maybe with more traditional blockbuster drops, but many might still be waiting until after the holiday crowds are gone.

Love the movie, want to see it again. Need to change my Avatar vs TFA vote in that inane thread (just ribbing you OldBoy).
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Old 12-28-15, 03:35 PM   #56
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Weekend Numbers for December 25th - 27th, 2015:

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $149,202,860 -39.8% 4,134 - $36,092 $540,058,914 - 2
2 N Daddy's Home Par. $38,740,203 - 3,271 - $11,844 $38,740,203 - 1
3 N Joy Fox $17,015,168 - 2,896 - $5,875 $17,015,168 $60 1
4 3 Sisters Uni. $14,189,455 +1.9% 2,962 - $4,790 $37,455,995 $30 2
5 2 Alvin and the Chipmunks The Road Chip Fox $13,143,329 -8.0% 3,705 +52 $3,547 $39,848,982 - 2
6 19 The Big Short Par. $10,531,026 +2,683.9% 1,585 +1,577 $6,644 $16,022,474 $28 3
7 N Concussion (2015) Sony $10,500,000 - 2,841 - $3,696 $10,500,000 $35 1
8 N Point Break (2015) WB $9,805,000 - 2,910 - $3,369 $9,805,000 - 1
9 4 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 LGF $5,300,000 -10.1% 1,813 -840 $2,923 $264,603,061 $160 6
10 N The Hateful Eight Wein. $4,610,676 - 100 - $46,107 $4,610,676 $44 1
11 5 Creed WB (NL) $4,425,000 -11.7% 1,518 -915 $2,915 $96,141,653 $35 5
12 6 The Good Dinosaur BV $3,783,746 -13.0% 2,134 -621 $1,773 $105,350,933 - 5
13 7 Krampus Uni. $2,189,595 -46.8% 1,168 -1,203 $1,875 $40,458,690 $15 4
14 15 The Danish Girl Focus $1,536,275 +180.6% 440 +359 $3,492 $3,236,367 - 5
15 10 Bajirao Mastani Eros $1,331,388 -23.7% 304 - $4,380 $4,300,678 - 2
16 23 Carol Wein. $1,093,571 +373.1% 180 +164 $6,075 $2,877,882 - 6
17 12 Spotlight ORF $1,083,976 -23.9% 480 -345 $2,258 $24,899,059 - 8
18 13 Brooklyn FoxS $1,070,674 -9.0% 300 -314 $3,569 $18,407,589 - 8
19 8 In the Heart of the Sea WB $1,000,000 -71.3% 685 -2,418 $1,460 $22,340,171 - 3
20 9 Dilwale UTV $915,795 -52.3% 227 -41 $4,034 $3,962,523 - 2
21 11 Spectre Sony $890,000 -37.9% 372 -853 $2,392 $196,274,955 $245 8
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Old 12-31-15, 03:03 PM   #57
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Mid-week Update:

Star Wars: The Force Awakens had a strong week and is now up to $629m domestically. That places it in 4th place overall in the current All Time - Unadjusted charts and is now Disney's highest grossing movie to date. It likely will surpass Titanic and Jurassic World today.

Daddy's Home had a remarkably strong week as well, on top of its $38m weekend, it has grossed another $20m Monday - Wednesday, it should be at around $85m by the end of the weekend.

Sisters is quietly doing well and approaching $50m, currently at $46.8m. Joy is fairing pretty well for a movie about a mop, crossing $25m since opening last Friday. The Big Short is sitting at around $22m and has a pretty strong per theater average ($1,200, making it 3rd in the top 10.) Concussion is getting knocked around and is crawling forward from at around $15.7m.

Point Break is also suffering a slow demise in another painfully poor release for Warner Brothers. It's currently at $14.4m. Warners last release (In the Heart of the Sea) suffered a similar fate and is sitting at $22.3m. Prior to that, The 33, Our Brand is Crisis, and Pan had similar issues. At least they have Creed, which should cross $100m this weekend.

Hateful Eight scored $3.5m on its first day of wide release (roughly 2000 theaters, up from 100 (it pulled $993k on Tuesday)) and is currently sitting at $10.2m.

Last edited by RichC2; 12-31-15 at 03:09 PM.
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Old 12-31-15, 03:09 PM   #58
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Star Wars will almost certainly be the #2 domestic film of all time come Monday morning...and pass Avatar's domestic record before mid-January...if it even takes that long. This film is going to make a billion in domestic grosses.
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Old 12-31-15, 03:13 PM   #59
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

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Originally Posted by Shannon Nutt View Post
Star Wars will almost certainly be the #2 domestic film of all time come Monday morning...and pass Avatar's domestic record before mid-January...if it even takes that long. This film is going to make a billion in domestic grosses.
If it sticks to its current pattern, it should have Avatar beat by the 5th at the latest. But with schools going back in, and schedules normalizing, it's tough to say how it'll do on the 4th and 5th.

Opening weekend had the benefit of a massive Thursday night preview which grossed $57m, if you take that out of the $248m overall, it was only a 21.9% drop from Weekend 1 ($191m) to Weekend 2 ($149m). The midweek performance suggests it'll have a 20 - 25% drop this weekend, so a $120m third weekend isn't out of the question -- in which case, it will have Avatar beat by Sunday.

Last edited by RichC2; 12-31-15 at 03:21 PM.
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Old 12-31-15, 05:46 PM   #60
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by RichC2 View Post
If it sticks to its current pattern, it should have Avatar beat by the 5th at the latest. But with schools going back in, and schedules normalizing, it's tough to say how it'll do on the 4th and 5th.

Opening weekend had the benefit of a massive Thursday night preview which grossed $57m, if you take that out of the $248m overall, it was only a 21.9% drop from Weekend 1 ($191m) to Weekend 2 ($149m). The midweek performance suggests it'll have a 20 - 25% drop this weekend, so a $120m third weekend isn't out of the question -- in which case, it will have Avatar beat by Sunday.
It should beat Avatar by Monday at the latest. Really the only "questionable" days will be today (NYE) and Sunday. If it beats $760M on Sunday or Monday, its still one hell of a fucking feat.

Based upon how the grosses have been trending, a $100M+ third weekend should be a given. However, with Sunday being the final day before kids go back to school, I wouldn't be surprised with a third weekend in the high $90s.
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Old 12-31-15, 06:28 PM   #61
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

It will also still have the weather working for it here in the NE. I can't remember ever having mid to high 60s in late December/Early January.
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Old 12-31-15, 07:09 PM   #62
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

I think it should just beat out Avatar by Sunday. It's just a hair over $130 million short, and it seems like it's been taking in just under $30 mill every weekday this week. Despite being NYE today, I think it'll still be around that number, and I don't think it'll be a huge problem for it to make a bit over $100 million this weekend. The things I'm most interested in seeing are:
1) Will it make $1 billion domestic? I think this is almost a certainty at this point.
2) Can it beat Avatar for the worldwide BO crown? This probably all depends on China? I hear Avatar was huge there, and Star Wars isn't as popular there as elsewhere, so who knows.
3) Where will it fall on the adjusted for inflation list? If it can crack $1 billion domestic, that should put it into the top 10, which would make it the only movie from this century to make it there. A quick google search shows an average ticket price of $8.61... which seems kind of low to me, but I'm used to paying $11 for a regular 2D movie ticket.
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Old 01-05-16, 03:29 PM   #63
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Overall a pretty poor opening for a Tarantino flick (15 million or so). Wonder if it will have any legs.
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Old 01-05-16, 09:06 PM   #64
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

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Originally Posted by d2cheer View Post
Overall a pretty poor opening for a Tarantino flick (15 million or so). Wonder if it will have any legs.
It was a weak opening, but when you get right down to it, the TV ads are vague as hell and is basing everything on "It's a Tarantino flick."

But the movie has already made $30m domestically, and only had a $44m budget.
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Old 01-06-16, 10:32 AM   #65
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

The top 10 domestic is a pretty exclusive club:

2 for Cameron
2 for Lucas
2 for Nolan
2 for Whedon
2 for the guys taking over Star Wars (1 Abrams / 1 Trevorrow)
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Old 01-06-16, 12:09 PM   #66
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

That list will change soon. It won't be long before movies grossing $400m+ are deemed disappointments.

Oh wait, that already kind of happened with Age of Ultron.
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Old 02-08-16, 07:56 PM   #67
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Weekend Actuals 2/5/2016 - 2/7/2016:


<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 1 Kung Fu Panda 3 Fox $21,242,181 -48.5% 3,987 +32 $5,328 $69,293,138 - 2
2 N Hail, Caesar! Uni. $11,355,225 - 2,232 - $5,087 $11,355,225 $22 1
3 3 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $6,973,316 -37.3% 2,262 -294 $3,083 $906,044,785 $200 8
4 2 The Revenant Fox $6,939,795 -45.7% 3,018 -312 $2,299 $149,543,198 $135 7
5 N The Choice LGF $6,050,443 - 2,631 - $2,300 $6,050,443 - 1
6 N Pride and Prejudice and Zombies SGem $5,324,240 - 2,931 - $1,817 $5,324,240 $28 1
7 4 The Finest Hours BV $4,826,239 -53.1% 3,143 - $1,536 $18,491,899 - 2
8 5 Ride Along 2 Uni. $4,560,715 -45.9% 2,172 -240 $2,100 $77,247,545 $40 4
9 7 The Boy (2016) STX $4,083,822 -45.9% 2,214 -457 $1,845 $26,881,506 $10 3
10 6 Dirty Grandpa LGF $4,040,023 -46.8% 2,567 -345 $1,574 $29,379,776 - 3
11 8 The 5th Wave Sony $3,773,788 -47.2% 2,346 -562 $1,609 $25,738,988 $38 3
12 9 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi Par. $2,850,304 -54.6% 2,059 -744 $1,384 $47,742,896 $50 4
13 10 Fifty Shades of Black ORF $2,080,924 -64.7% 2,075 - $1,003 $9,371,544 - 2
14 11 The Big Short Par. $1,710,205 -44.2% 860 -123 $1,989 $63,660,681 $28 9
15 12 Daddy's Home Par. $1,477,840 -51.6% 1,018 -700 $1,452 $145,237,796 - 7
16 13 Brooklyn FoxS $1,179,319 -33.0% 703 -45 $1,678 $32,380,262 - 14
17 15 Spotlight ORF $835,514 -30.4% 668 -47 $1,251 $36,104,348 - 14
18 14 Room A24 $731,117 -40.9% 631 -164 $1,159 $11,201,500 - 17
19 23 45 Years IFC $475,908 +0.5% 154 +61 $3,090 $1,986,820 - 7
20 21 2016 Oscar Nominated Short Films Shrts. $427,455 -23.6% 170 +47 $2,514 $1,213,854 - 2
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Old 02-10-16, 07:35 AM   #68
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

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Old 02-13-16, 01:16 PM   #69
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Quote:
Deadpool just scored the single-biggest day ever for an R-rated movie, and it’s (probably) about to snag the first $100 million+ R-rated opening weekend.
47.5M on Friday
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Old 02-14-16, 12:26 PM   #70
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Deadpool makes history with $150 million holiday weekend:

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...history-865143

You are officially on notice, Star Wars: The Force Awakens.
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Old 02-14-16, 12:29 PM   #71
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomStranger View Post
Deadpool makes history with $150 million holiday weekend:

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...history-865143

You are officially on notice, Star Wars: The Force Awakens.
nicce! i hope to be adding to that tomorrow!!
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Old 02-14-16, 12:30 PM   #72
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Weekend Estimates for 2/12/2016 - 2/14/2016, 4 Day Estimates later.

<<Last Weekend <Last YearView Index: By Year | By Weekend 
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1 N Deadpool Fox $135,050,000 - 3,558 - $37,957 $135,050,000 $58 1
2 1 Kung Fu Panda 3 Fox $19,650,000 -7.5% 3,844 -143 $5,112 $93,912,387 - 3
3 N How to Be Single WB $18,750,000 - 3,343 - $5,609 $18,750,000 $38 1
4 N Zoolander 2 Par. $15,650,000 - 3,394 - $4,611 $15,650,000 - 1
5 4 The Revenant Fox $6,900,000 -0.6% 2,266 -752 $3,045 $159,164,599 $135 8
6 2 Hail, Caesar! Uni. $6,590,000 -42.0% 2,248 +16 $2,931 $21,354,970 $22 2
7 3 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $6,194,000 -11.2% 1,810 -452 $3,422 $914,838,964 $200 9
8 5 The Choice LGF $5,250,000 -13.2% 2,631 - $1,995 $13,259,551 - 2
9 8 Ride Along 2 Uni. $4,130,000 -9.4% 1,564 -608 $2,641 $82,661,235 $40 5
10 9 The Boy (2016) STX $2,913,000 -28.7% 1,450 -764 $2,009 $30,778,587 $10 4
11 7 The Finest Hours BV $2,850,000 -40.9% 1,794 -1,349 $1,589 $23,377,846 - 3
12 11 The 5th Wave Sony $2,700,000 -28.5% 1,444 -902 $1,870 $29,519,370 $38 4
13 6 Pride and Prejudice and Zombies SGem $2,500,000 -53.0% 2,931 - $853 $9,391,197 $28 2
14 10 Dirty Grandpa LGF $2,150,000 -46.8% 1,612 -955 $1,334 $33,040,920 - 4
15 12 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi Par. $1,620,000 -43.2% 932 -1,127 $1,738 $50,567,015 $50 5
16 14 The Big Short Par. $1,370,000 -19.9% 535 -325 $2,561 $65,701,837 $28 10
17 16 Brooklyn FoxS $1,120,000 -5.0% 495 -208 $2,263 $34,076,253 - 15
18 N Where to Invade Next IMG $1,032,630 - 308 - $3,353 $1,032,630 - 1
19 15 Daddy's Home Par. $980,000 -33.7% 532 -486 $1,842 $146,645,624 - 8
20 17 Spotlight ORF $750,665 -10.2% 455 -213 $1,650 $37,256,577 - 15


Honestly, I think they may be overshooting on Sunday's estimate a little. Still this should clear $125m with no problem. This also made an estimated $125m overseas this weekend for $250m - $260m opening weekend. It still has Japan, South Korea and Italy to open in.

I started playing around on the stock market again recently and have a single call option (worth 100 shares) on Fox stock, I'm authentically curious to see how it reacts to this news.

Last edited by RichC2; 02-14-16 at 12:53 PM.
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Old 02-14-16, 12:31 PM   #73
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

holy fuck!! way to go RR, way to go R rated superhero flicks!!
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Old 02-14-16, 07:29 PM   #74
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

That sound you hear is Ryan Reynolds exhaling in relief as his career is resuscitated. This is a bigger opening weekend than any of the X-Men/Wolverine movies.
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Old 02-14-16, 07:46 PM   #75
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread

Crazy that it's even the biggest opening weekend for Fox.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/...er=DESC&p=.htm
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