The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
#626
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
For Monday it looks like DM3 will land another $14.5m, $86.9m 4-day cume. It's actual for the weekend was lower than estimated, around $72m.
Baby Driver, which had an actual of $29.5m, is looking at another $4.5 - $5m on Monday, or roughly $34m cume.
Baby Driver, which had an actual of $29.5m, is looking at another $4.5 - $5m on Monday, or roughly $34m cume.
#627
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Dunkirk is currently tracking at $35m opening weekend
Valerian is currently tracking at $20m opening weekend
Valerian is currently tracking at $20m opening weekend
#628
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Spider-Man: Homecoming tracking between $90-120M+; Sony saying $80M (reminds me of Warner's $65M for Wonder Woman ).
#629
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
‘Spider-Man: Homecoming’ Catching Around $10M+ In Thursday Night Previews
http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-m...ng-1202124834/
http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-m...ng-1202124834/
#630
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Now $13m+
#631
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Probably looking at a $110-120M OW is my guess.
#632
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
It wound up pulling $15.4m.
Spider-man is starting to look like Jurassic World from a couple years ago. That one was expected to make about $115m opening weekend and wound up with $208.8m.
Despicable Me 3 has pulled $107m so far (thru Wednesday)
Baby Driver has pulled $41.7m so far (thru Wednesday)
Wonder Woman has pulled $356.7m (thru Wednesday) and has a real shot of beating Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 at this point. (Guardians has made $28m more than Wonder Woman so far, WW still has some legs)
Spider-man is starting to look like Jurassic World from a couple years ago. That one was expected to make about $115m opening weekend and wound up with $208.8m.
Despicable Me 3 has pulled $107m so far (thru Wednesday)
Baby Driver has pulled $41.7m so far (thru Wednesday)
Wonder Woman has pulled $356.7m (thru Wednesday) and has a real shot of beating Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 at this point. (Guardians has made $28m more than Wonder Woman so far, WW still has some legs)
Last edited by RichC2; 07-07-17 at 10:44 AM.
#633
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
‘Spider-Man: Homecoming’ Swinging Toward $105M-$112M+ Weekend Opening
http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-m...ng-1202124834/
http://deadline.com/2017/07/spider-m...ng-1202124834/
#634
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
It wound up pulling $15.4m.
Spider-man is starting to look like Jurassic World from a couple years ago. That one was expected to make about $115m opening weekend and wound up with $208.8m.
Spider-man is starting to look like Jurassic World from a couple years ago. That one was expected to make about $115m opening weekend and wound up with $208.8m.
Someone over at HSX posted these multipliers:
CAPA3 7.2x, $111M | SUICD 6.5x, $100M | DRSTR 9.0x, $138M | GOTG2 8.6x, $132M | WONDR 9.4x $145M
CAPA3 = Captain America: Civil War
Oh, and in studio funny numbers, Sony is seeing $99M
What is it with these studios? This and then Warner's $65M OW for Wonder Woman...
#635
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Deadline:
6th Update writethru Saturday AM following Friday 11PM post: Spider-Man: Homecoming is poised to become the second-highest domestic opening ever for Sony with a three-day that’s between $125-$127M per industry estimates as of this morning at 4,348 theaters.
#636
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Using the same multiplier as JW (11.6x from Thursday showings; and that's an insane multiplier) takes Spider-Man to around $171M. Ain't getting close to that IMO.
Someone over at HSX posted these multipliers:
CAPA3 7.2x, $111M | SUICD 6.5x, $100M | DRSTR 9.0x, $138M | GOTG2 8.6x, $132M | WONDR 9.4x $145M
CAPA3 = Captain America: Civil War
Oh, and in studio funny numbers, Sony is seeing $99M
What is it with these studios? This and then Warner's $65M OW for Wonder Woman...
Someone over at HSX posted these multipliers:
CAPA3 7.2x, $111M | SUICD 6.5x, $100M | DRSTR 9.0x, $138M | GOTG2 8.6x, $132M | WONDR 9.4x $145M
CAPA3 = Captain America: Civil War
Oh, and in studio funny numbers, Sony is seeing $99M
What is it with these studios? This and then Warner's $65M OW for Wonder Woman...
Most estimates deal in initial interest only, strong reviews and WOM are more important these days when it comes to getting people over 13 into theaters.
#637
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Tracking simply ain't what it used to be. And I didn't necessarily mean it'd be 1:1, it's just always funny seeing them adjust their estimates up repeatedly.
Most estimates deal in initial interest only, strong reviews and WOM are more important these days when it comes to getting people over 13 into theaters.
Most estimates deal in initial interest only, strong reviews and WOM are more important these days when it comes to getting people over 13 into theaters.
I understand why studios underestimate, but it is getting ridiculous when they are so far off. Even going off of Sony's most recent projection ($99M), will likely be off by $35-40M. Warner was off of Wonder Woman by $38M (I don't recall if they ever upped it at all).
Still, quite the year for these superhero movies which will finish 2, 3 and 4 in 2017 (#1 being Star Wars).
Seems right now, Wonder Woman might just squeak past $400M (or Warner will make sure of it), Guardians 2 around $390M and Spider-Man has a good chance of getting to $400M since competition is rather weak (wouldn't surprise me if SM is again #1 next weekend if Apes under-performs), unless it acts like Captain America: Civil War which had bad legs (only a 2.28x) despite great reviews.
#638
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Official estimates from the studio still need to come in, but Deadline is saying $116-118M.
#639
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
TW | LW | Title (click to view) | Studio | Weekend Gross | % Change | Theater Count / Change | Average | Total Gross | Budget* | Week # | |
1 | N | Spider-Man: Homecoming | Sony | $117,015,000 | - | 4,348 | - | $26,912 | $117,015,000 | $175 | 1 |
2 | 1 | Despicable Me 3 | Uni. | $33,998,875 | -53.1% | 4,535 | +6 | $7,497 | $149,189,535 | $80 | 2 |
3 | 2 | Baby Driver | TriS | $12,750,000 | -38.0% | 3,226 | - | $3,952 | $56,883,072 | $34 | 2 |
4 | 4 | Wonder Woman | WB | $10,135,000 | -35.5% | 3,091 | -313 | $3,279 | $368,786,191 | $149 | 6 |
5 | 3 | Transformers: The Last Knight | Par. | $6,300,000 | -62.7% | 3,241 | -891 | $1,944 | $118,916,760 | $217 | 3 |
6 | 5 | Cars 3 | BV | $5,636,000 | -41.8% | 2,702 | -874 | $2,086 | $133,733,412 | - | 4 |
7 | 6 | The House | WB (NL) | $4,815,000 | -44.8% | 3,134 | - | $1,536 | $18,630,678 | $40 | 2 |
8 | 12 | The Big Sick | LGF | $3,650,000 | +120.9% | 326 | +255 | $11,196 | $6,920,323 | - | 3 |
9 | 7 | 47 Meters Down | ENTMP | $2,768,400 | -38.7% | 1,740 | -510 | $1,591 | $38,462,047 | - | 4 |
10 | 8 | The Beguiled (2017) | Focus | $2,086,225 | -34.1% | 941 | +267 | $2,217 | $7,435,559 | - | 3 |
11 | 10 | Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales | BV | $1,200,000 | -52.5% | 1,039 | -635 | $1,155 | $168,825,297 | $230 | 7 |
12 | 9 | The Mummy (2017) | Uni. | $1,164,135 | -61.4% | 1,045 | -715 | $1,114 | $77,974,405 | $125 | 5 |
13 | 13 | Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 | BV | $846,000 | -45.0% | 660 | -306 | $1,282 | $385,546,006 | $200 | 10 |
14 | 17 | The Hero | Orch. | $651,330 | -22.4% | 447 | +46 | $1,457 | $2,810,325 | - | 5 |
15 | 11 | All Eyez on Me | LG/S | $610,000 | -66.6% | 599 | -659 | $1,018 | $44,320,039 | $40 | 4 |
#641
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Probably has a good shot at $400M. I thought for sure it'd fall 45%+ with Spider-Man opening.
#642
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Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
so did SM:H break a record of any kind? i mean, how does this break down as reboots go or Marvel movies or whoever?
#643
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
You can see how it compares to this year opposite Wonder Woman and Guardians 2.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdow...7superhero.htm
#644
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Right now it's inching out Man of Steel for biggest reboot opening weekend (I'm not counting Jurassic World here), but that may change tomorrow. But really that's just grasping for straws.
It did very well, but it isn't the highest grossing Spider-man (Spider-man 3 wins that) or Sony movie (Spider-man 3 wins that) or Marvel movie (Avengers wins that).
It did very well, but it isn't the highest grossing Spider-man (Spider-man 3 wins that) or Sony movie (Spider-man 3 wins that) or Marvel movie (Avengers wins that).
#646
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
TW | LW | Title (click to view) | Studio | Weekend Gross | % Change | Theater Count / Change | Average | Total Gross | Budget* | Week # | |
1 | N | Spider-Man: Homecoming | Sony | $117,027,503 | - | 4,348 | - | $26,915 | $117,027,503 | $175 | 1 |
2 | 1 | Despicable Me 3 | Uni. | $33,580,425 | -53.6% | 4,535 | +6 | $7,405 | $148,771,085 | $80 | 2 |
3 | 2 | Baby Driver | TriS | $13,002,721 | -36.7% | 3,226 | - | $4,031 | $57,135,793 | $34 | 2 |
4 | 4 | Wonder Woman | WB | $9,822,105 | -37.5% | 3,091 | -313 | $3,178 | $368,473,296 | $149 | 6 |
5 | 3 | Transformers: The Last Knight | Par. | $6,376,578 | -62.2% | 3,241 | -891 | $1,967 | $118,993,338 | $217 | 3 |
6 | 5 | Cars 3 | BV | $5,382,248 | -44.5% | 2,702 | -874 | $1,992 | $133,479,660 | - | 4 |
7 | 6 | The House | WB (NL) | $4,778,272 | -45.2% | 3,134 | - | $1,525 | $18,593,950 | $40 | 2 |
8 | 12 | The Big Sick | LGF | $3,576,646 | +116.5% | 326 | +255 | $10,971 | $6,846,969 | - | 3 |
9 | 7 | 47 Meters Down | ENTMP | $2,714,172 | -39.9% | 1,740 | -510 | $1,560 | $38,407,820 | - | 4 |
10 | 8 | The Beguiled (2017) | Focus | $2,062,675 | -34.8% | 941 | +267 | $2,192 | $7,412,009 | - | 3 |
11 | 10 | Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales | BV | $1,187,170 | -53.0% | 1,039 | -635 | $1,143 | $168,812,467 | $230 | 7 |
12 | 9 | The Mummy (2017) | Uni. | $1,185,925 | -60.6% | 1,045 | -715 | $1,135 | $77,996,195 | $125 | 5 |
13 | 13 | Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 | BV | $860,020 | -44.1% | 660 | -306 | $1,303 | $385,560,026 | $200 | 10 |
14 | 11 | All Eyez on Me | LG/S | $606,390 | -66.8% | 599 | -659 | $1,012 | $44,316,429 | $40 | 4 |
15 | 17 | The Hero | Orch. | $594,066 | -29.2% | 447 | +46 | $1,329 | $2,753,061 | - | 5 |
#647
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
So, this is a case where Wonder Woman's numbers went fairly significantly down from the estimates.
#648
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
Originally Posted by Deadline
The 20th Century Fox threequel is off to solid start earning $5M at 3,251 locations, which is 22% higher than the $4.1M earned by 2014’s Dawn of the Planet of the Apes. War for the Planet of the Apes also beat the $3.7M accumulated by Warner Bros./Legendary’s Kong: Skull Island on its Thursday night preview.
#649
DVD Talk Legend
Re: The Official Box Office Discussion Thread
One caveat, when did previews for Dawn start? Was it 7pm like it's today or 10pm?
#650
DVD Talk Hero
Thread Starter