DVD Josh

That is interesting. Lego Batman was tracking much higher than 50 Shades. Never underestimate porn for women I guess.

E Unit

So Fiddy Shades is going to make bank again? That sucks.

Obi-Wanma

It's a kids movie. Kids movies don't do big business on Thursday night when kids are still in school.

stingermck

Yeah Lego should do well tomorrow, as it was a great movie. Wick is good counter programming.

My wife wants to skip Darker, since she didnt like the original. (but did like the books)

RichC2

LEGO Batman is expected to win the 3 day weekend by a lot, Fifty Shades basically has a 5 day weekend due to Tuesday being Valentine's.

TheMovieman

Still, I doubt 50 Shades will cross $100M domestically. After Tuesday it'll fall off a cliff.

DVD Josh

Tell that the parents at my local theater.

Obi-Wanma

I'm sure there's some, I'm just saying that I wouldn't expect a kids movie to open nearly as big on a Thursday night in February as it might on a Thursday night in July.

Also, I'm sure you get a lot of kids at 7 or 8 PM, but these Thursday openings often run late into the night, so I'm sure it's a lot easier to get Adult women in the theater for 9PM or later screenings on Thursday night than it is to get kids

RichC2

50 Shades of Grey opened when Valentine's was on a Saturday in 2015 and on President's Day weekend. It had an opening weekend of $85m and then dropped 73.9% the following weekend.

In otherwords, I agree it won't crack $100m.

RichC2

Based off manatees:

LEGO Batman: $65m weekend, $17m Friday
Fifty Shades: $40m+ weekend, about $18m - $20m Friday
John Wick Dos: High $20m - low $30m weekend, about $11m - $12m Friday

The LEGO Batman movie hooking $65M for the weekend with $17M today. There are some who think LEGO Batman can even do much higher as this weekend clicks along

Universal’s Fifty Shades Darker looks to file an estimated $18M-$20M on its way to a low $40M weekend. How frontloaded Friday is, is the question as the sequel lacks Valentine’s Day on Saturday, but will make up for it on Tuesday when advance ticket sales kick in.

Lionsgate/Summit’s John Wick: Chapter 2 is all fired up, with an estimated $11M-$12M Friday for a high $20M weekend, possibly cracking $30M.

OldBoy

Since when did underwater mammals start predicting box office results? That's some Minority Report shit right there...

TheMovieman

RichC2

It was in their contract negotiations with Family Guy.

PhantomStranger

I think LEGO Batman ends up doing better than expected business. Kid movies always outperform when it's watchable for adults as well.

RichC2

Some estimates had it as high as $75m for the weekend, it pulled $55m.

The original LEGO Movie opened to $69m en route to $257.8m / $469m WW // Change: -19.4%
The original Fifty Shades opened to $85.2m en route to $166m / $571m WW (Opened on Presidents Day weekend (Monday Holiday) and Valentine's was on Saturday that year) // Change: -45%
The original John Wick opened to $14.4m en route to $43m / $86m WW // Change: +108%

Weekend Estimates for 2/10 - 2/12/2017

<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 N The LEGO Batman Movie WB $55,635,000 - 4,088 - $13,609 $55,635,000 $80 1 2 N Fifty Shades Darker Uni. $46,797,825 - 3,710 - $12,614 $46,797,825 $55 1 3 N John Wick: Chapter Two LG/S $30,015,000 - 3,113 - $9,642 $30,015,000 - 1 4 1 Split Uni. $9,321,110 -35.4% 2,961 -412 $3,148 $112,293,380 $9 4 5 4 Hidden Figures Fox $8,000,000 -21.5% 2,667 -734 $3,000 $131,452,250 $25 8 6 3 A Dog's Purpose Uni. $7,365,335 -29.9% 3,025 -153 $2,435 $42,595,010 $22 3 7 2 Rings Par. $5,820,000 -55.2% 2,931 - $1,986 $21,492,286 $25 2 8 5 La La Land LG/S $5,000,000 -32.2% 2,065 -1,171 $2,421 $126,010,345 $30 10 9 10 Lion Wein. $4,083,000 +8.6% 1,337 -68 $3,054 $30,368,722 - 12 10 9 The Space Between Us STX $1,760,000 -53.4% 2,758 -54 $638 $6,595,158 $30 2 11 7 Sing Uni. $1,632,750 -59.7% 1,479 -814 $1,104 $265,337,745 $75 8 12 11 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story BV $1,516,000 -48.1% 929 -684 $1,632 $527,182,968 $200 9 13 8 xXx: The Return of Xander Cage Par. $1,465,000 -62.2% 1,178 -1,300 $1,244 $43,077,048 $85 4 14 6 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter SGem $1,350,000 -71.3% 1,213 -1,891 $1,113 $25,215,430 $40 3 15 24 I am Not Your Negro Magn. $830,000 +20.9% 115 +72 $7,217 $1,839,040 - 2 16 N Jolly Llb 2 FIP $780,000 - 173 - $4,509 $780,000 - 1 17 13 The Founder Wein. $750,000 -47.7% 454 -482 $1,652 $11,231,245 - 4 18 15 Moana BV $726,000 -45.7% 461 -386 $1,575 $243,180,866 - 12 19 17 Fences Par. $720,000 -41.7% 454 -494 $1,586 $53,940,727 $24 9 20 N The Oscar Nominated Short Films 2017 Magn. $660,000 - 184 - $3,587 $660,000 - 1 21 12 Monster Trucks Par. $620,000 -71.4% 842 -1,059 $736 $32,195,927 - 5 22 19 Moonlight (2016) A24 $592,839 -40.8% 351 -491 $1,689 $20,426,600 - 17

Also worth mentioning again is just how well Split, Hidden Figures and La La Land are doing.

TheMovieman

50 Shades did better than expected, but I do wonder if it's overestimated.

RichC2

Weekend Actuals 2/10 - 2/12/2017:

<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 N The LEGO Batman Movie WB $53,003,468 - 4,088 - $12,966 $53,003,468 $80 1 2 N Fifty Shades Darker Uni. $46,607,250 - 3,710 - $12,563 $46,607,250 $55 1 3 N John Wick: Chapter Two LG/S $30,436,123 - 3,113 - $9,777 $30,436,123 - 1 4 1 Split Uni. $9,525,935 -34.0% 2,961 -412 $3,217 $112,498,205 $9 4 5 4 Hidden Figures Fox $8,002,670 -21.5% 2,667 -734 $3,001 $131,454,920 $25 8 6 3 A Dog's Purpose Uni. $7,271,430 -30.8% 3,025 -153 $2,404 $42,501,105 $22 3 7 2 Rings Par. $5,649,575 -56.6% 2,931 - $1,928 $21,321,861 $25 2 8 5 La La Land LG/S $4,943,811 -32.9% 2,065 -1,171 $2,394 $125,954,156 $30 10 9 10 Lion Wein. $3,950,610 +5.1% 1,337 -68 $2,955 $30,236,332 - 12 10 7 Sing Uni. $1,703,625 -58.0% 1,479 -814 $1,152 $265,408,620 $75 8 11 9 The Space Between Us STX $1,686,364 -55.3% 2,758 -54 $611 $6,511,522 $30 2 12 8 xXx: The Return of Xander Cage Par. $1,514,592 -60.9% 1,178 -1,300 $1,286 $43,126,640 $85 4 13 11 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story BV $1,495,988 -48.8% 929 -684 $1,610 $527,162,956 $200 9 14 6 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter SGem $1,386,438 -70.5% 1,213 -1,891 $1,143 $25,251,868 $40 3 15 24 I am Not Your Negro Magn. $820,831 +19.6% 115 +72 $7,138 $1,839,871 - 2 16 N Jolly Llb 2 FIP $774,355 - 173 - $4,476 $774,355 - 1 17 15 Moana BV $734,927 -45.1% 461 -386 $1,594 $243,189,793 - 12 18 13 The Founder Wein. $723,998 -49.5% 454 -482 $1,595 $11,205,243 - 4 19 17 Fences Par. $723,054 -41.4% 454 -494 $1,593 $53,943,781 $24 9 20 16 Manchester by the Sea RAtt. $702,053 -47.1% 454 -520 $1,546 $45,102,041 - 13

DJariya

That's a nice take for the top 3 movies.

Hopefully I'll get to see John Wick on Wednesday on my day off.

I'm also interested in Lego Batman, that looks fun.

I did see Fifty Shades of Grey and I guess I'll see Darker too, but probably not right away.

OldBoy

Very nice for Split and HF. John Wick wasn't to too bad. What was the production budget on it?

RichC2

Wick did excellent, up more than 100% than John Wick opening weekend.

DJariya

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=xxx3.htm

xXx: The Return of Xander Cage has made over $230M worldwide.

While it was a stateside dud, it probably made enough money for another sequel. It's done really well in China apparently. I'm guessing if another movie gets made, the Chinese would help finance it.

http://deadline.com/2017/02/xxx-retu...ce-1201912386/

RichC2

Earliest estimates based on 7:00 pm + matinees:

The Lego Batman Movie $6m Friday, $31M FSS, $39.5M 4-day
Fifty Shades Darker $4.5m FRiday, $16M+ FSS, $19.5M 4-day
The Great Wall $5.5m Friday., $15.6m FSS, $18.2m 4-Day
Fist Fight $4.25m Friday, $13.2m FSS, $15m 4-day
John Wick $3.25m Friday, $11m FSS, $13.5m FSSM
A Cure for Wellness $2.25M Friday, $9M for the 4 day

John Wick seems low to me considering its mid-week performance, but we'll see. At this point last week they had Wick pulling low $20s instead of $30m. Other sites are estimating closer to $17m.

mattysemo247

It's already at $91m as of today, so it will easily hit that. I absolutely hate when people support this type of garbage.

RichC2

Current estimates for the weekend thru 2/26:

Get Out - $30.9m
Lego Batman - $19.1m
John Wick 2 - $9.35m (that's a 42% drop)

RichC2

Weekend Box Office 2/24 - 2/26/17:

>

<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2017&wknd=07&p=.htm"><<Last Weekend <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2016&wknd=08&p=.htm"><Last Year	View Index: <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/?yr=2017&p=.htm">By Year | <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/?view=wknd&wknd=08&p=.htm">By Weekend
<a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=rank&order=ASC&p=.htm">TW <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=ranklw&order=ASC&p=.htm">LW <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=title&order=ASC&p=.htm">Title (click to view) <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=studio&order=ASC&p=.htm">Studio <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=gross&order=ASC&p=.htm">Weekend Gross <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=change&order=DESC&p=.htm">% Change <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=theaters&order=DESC&p=.htm">Theater Count / <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=theaterchange&order=ASC&p=.htm">Change <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=avg&order=DESC&p=.htm">Average <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=totalgross&order=DESC&p=.htm">Total Gross <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=budget_production&order=DESC&p=.htm">Budget* <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2017&wknd=08&sort=wknum&order=ASC&p=.htm">Week # 1 N <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=blumhouse2.htm">Get Out <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=universal.htm">Uni. $30,524,435 - 2,781 - $10,976 $30,524,435 $4.5 1 2 1 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=lego2.htm">The LEGO Batman Movie <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=warnerbros.htm">WB $19,000,000 -41.8% 4,057 -31 $4,683 $133,006,578 $80 3 3 4 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=johnwick2.htm">John Wick: Chapter Two <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=lionsgatesummit.htm">LG/S $9,000,000 -44.5% 2,954 -159 $3,047 $74,412,700 - 3 4 3 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=greatwall.htm">The Great Wall <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=universal.htm">Uni. $8,700,000 -52.9% 3,328 +2 $2,614 $34,424,800 $150 2 5 2 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=fiftyshadesdarker.htm">Fifty Shades Darker <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=universal.htm">Uni. $7,700,400 -62.0% 3,216 -498 $2,394 $103,635,615 $55 3 6 5 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=fistfight.htm">Fist Fight <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=wb-newline.htm">WB (NL) $6,380,000 -47.7% 3,185 - $2,003 $23,254,827 - 2 7 6 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=hiddenfigures.htm">Hidden Figures <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=fox.htm">Fox $5,875,000 -18.6% 2,022 -195 $2,906 $152,815,804 $25 10 8 9 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=lalaland.htm">La La Land <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=lionsgatesummit.htm">LG/S $4,600,000 +0.2% 1,733 +146 $2,654 $140,860,065 $30 12 9 7 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=split2017.htm">Split <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=universal.htm">Uni. $4,118,460 -42.5% 1,901 -544 $2,166 $130,843,355 $9 6 10 11 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=lion.htm">Lion <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=weinsteincompany.htm">Wein. $3,807,000 -9.4% 1,802 +260 $2,113 $42,815,337 - 14 11 N <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=rockdog.htm">Rock Dog <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=lionsgatesummit.htm">LG/S $3,700,000 - 2,077 - $1,781 $3,700,000 - 1 12 8 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=adogspurpose.htm">A Dog's Purpose <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=universal.htm">Uni. $3,561,730 -37.7% 2,089 -311 $1,705 $57,570,335 $22 5 13 N <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=autobahn.htm">Collide <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=openroads.htm">ORF $1,539,590 - 2,045 - $753 $1,539,590 - 1 14 10 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=acureforwellness.htm">A Cure for Wellness <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=fox.htm">Fox $1,375,000 -68.4% 2,704 - $509 $7,470,250 $40 2 15 13 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=disney1116.htm">Moana <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=buenavista.htm">BV $840,000 -21.4% 378 -46 $2,222 $246,039,922 - 14 16 20 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=moonlight2016.htm">Moonlight (2016) <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=a24.htm">A24 $765,908 +41.6% 585 +130 $1,309 $22,286,234 - 19 17 16 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=fences.htm">Fences <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=paramount.htm">Par. $755,000 -9.6% 597 +37 $1,265 $56,531,288 $24 11 18 12 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=rings.htm">Rings <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=paramount.htm">Par. $680,000 -71.0% 719 -841 $946 $27,289,474 $25 4 19 31 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=aunitedkingdom.htm">A United Kingdom <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=foxsearchlight.htm">FoxS $548,000 +105.1% 145 +100 $3,779 $1,027,500 - 3 20 21 <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=manchesterbythesea.htm">Manchester by the Sea <a href=“http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=calendar&yr=2017&studio=roadsideattractions.htm">RAtt. $487,500 -7.3% 442 +49 $1,103 $46,881,913 - 15

Excellent performances by Get Out, The Batman Lego Movie, John Wick, Hidden Figures, La La Land, Split, Lion, A Dog's Purpose, Fences and Manchester by the Sea. Fifty Shades Darker is doing much better than I expected.

I'm actually kind of impressed at how well The Great Wall is doing as well. Arrival cracked $100m last week, and it looks like Passengers will end just shy of that (~$99.5m-ish). Fist Fight also had a respectable hold.