View Poll Results: How much will Avengers: Age of Ultron make domestically by Sunday, May 3rd?
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Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Poll
05-02-15, 03:29 PM
#51
DVD Talk Hero
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
I went to the very first IMAX 3D showing of the day and it was pretty packed, which is unusual here. There was applause when it was over, so people were happy.
05-02-15, 05:25 PM
#53
DVD Talk Hero
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
05-02-15, 05:31 PM
#55
05-02-15, 06:11 PM
#56
DVD Talk Legend
Thread Starter
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
Either way, right now this weekend looks anywhere in the ballpark between $185M - $215M based upon history.
If the film follows the same trajectory as the first film:
Day 1: $84M / Day 2: $72M / Day 3: $59M; Total: $215M
If the film follows the same trajectory as say Furious 7:
Day 1: $84M / Day 2: $59M / Day 3: $42M; Total: $185M
05-03-15, 01:50 AM
#57
DVD Talk Legend
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
It looks like its shaping up to be around $191M.
05-03-15, 01:53 AM
#58
DVD Talk Godfather
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
Probably a lot of excuses can be made if the opening is less then $200 million though... the dip in ratings showed it wasn't as amazing as the first which might have cooled the hype a little, plus it's been a pretty big weekend in sports with not only the Mayweather/Pacquiao fight, but the NFL Draft, Kentucky Derby and NBA playoffs as well. The drop in interest in 3D that was mentioned earlier probably accounts for a big chunk too.
Last edited by fumanstan; 05-03-15 at 02:00 AM.
05-03-15, 07:58 AM
#59
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
Only 191 million? Sad to see a Marvel movie flop. I can only assume phase 3 will be massively reworked. Maybe a bit more dark and grittiness to match DC.
05-03-15, 08:57 AM
#60
DVD Talk Hero
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
Oh no! Not just under $200m! 
I think their Sunday estimates are a little low.
I think their Sunday estimates are a little low.
05-03-15, 10:08 AM
#61
DVD Talk Legend
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
05-03-15, 10:32 AM
#63
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Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
The sad thing is it'll be seen internally as a disappointment, at least for OW.
Final tally guesses? I'm thinking $435mm.
Final tally guesses? I'm thinking $435mm.
05-03-15, 10:51 AM
#64
DVD Talk Legend
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
What's really sad is that both this and Star Wars are being released by the Mouse, and no matter which movie does better, he gets all of the profits. No real worrying to be done for the studio.
I will say I am amused at how drastically they changed the day to day tallies for this movie. Most day by day estimates get lowered by about $4 to $5 million, this one had a day that was lowered by $10 million and a weekend with estimates lowered by about $15 million. They must be a bit over zealous in their initial reports.
I will say I am amused at how drastically they changed the day to day tallies for this movie. Most day by day estimates get lowered by about $4 to $5 million, this one had a day that was lowered by $10 million and a weekend with estimates lowered by about $15 million. They must be a bit over zealous in their initial reports.
05-03-15, 10:57 AM
#65
DVD Talk Hero
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
I think it'll be adjusted up, they don't have good projections for when another event takes away from standard gross.
However, the Domestic total will likely be under $500m which is what I expected a while back.
The initial reports are done by speculative companies, the weekend estimates (today) are done by Disney and other studios, finals are what really count.
However, the Domestic total will likely be under $500m which is what I expected a while back.
The initial reports are done by speculative companies, the weekend estimates (today) are done by Disney and other studios, finals are what really count.
05-03-15, 11:41 AM
#66
DVD Talk Legend
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
I'm in the theater right now about a half hour before the movie starts and it's about 2/3 full and all the good seats are taken.
05-03-15, 12:56 PM
#67
DVD Talk Legend
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
I'm sure the fight cut into some of the opening, but if that's a factor they could also make the argument that this past Saturday was allegedly the "Best Sports Day Ever" with the NFL Draft, NBA playoffs, NHL playoffs, PGA stuff, the KY Derby and the fight on top of that. Granted, a lot of people who are into that are likely not going out of their way to see AoU in the first place, but a factor is a factor. Hell, say it was Free Comic Book day and all of your core audience was out shopping. 
05-03-15, 01:36 PM
#68
DVD Talk Legend
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
But there is always a comic movie opening the weekend of free comic book day.
I wonder if Marvel fatigue is starting to set in. Ant-Man will be a real test now.
I wonder if Marvel fatigue is starting to set in. Ant-Man will be a real test now.
05-03-15, 01:43 PM
#69
DVD Talk Legend
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
People said the same about Guardians of the Galaxy as well. It actually seems that the more fresh/new material is going over better than the outings with established characters.
05-03-15, 02:07 PM
#70
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
I think super hero fatigue is definitely settling in, AND Avengers 2 is just not a good movie. It will drop pretty hard I think.
05-03-15, 02:07 PM
#71
DVD Talk Hero
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
Yeah but Guardians looked fun to me in the trailers, Ant-man just looks thoroughly 2nd rate.
05-03-15, 02:16 PM
#72
DVD Talk Hero
Re: Avenged Weekend Box Office Thread (5/1/15 - 5/3/15) with Bonus Pre-Discussion Pol
Disney has to be disappointed it didn't cross $200 million. They wanted the box office record and it's not apparent any of their movies until Avengers 3 has a chance at breaking it. For what it's worth, I didn't think much of the Ultron trailers.
05-03-15, 02:34 PM
#73
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05-03-15, 02:35 PM
#74
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