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FRIDAY 9:30 PM, 3RD UPDATE: There’s dissension among my sources over just how big Lionsgate’s holdover The Hunger Games will be this weekend despite two major releases opening against it. It’s another huge weekend for the North American box office. Here are results for the Top Five with numbers continuing to refine later tonight:

1. The Hunger Games (Lionsgate) Week 2 [4,137 Theaters]
Est Friday $24M , Est Weekend $75M

2. Wrath Of The Titans (Warner Bros) NEW [3,545 Theaters]
Est Friday $11.2M, Est Weekend $29M

3. Mirror Mirror (Relativity) NEW [3,603 Theaters]
Est Friday $6.4M, Est Weekend $22.0M

4. 21 Jump Street (Sony) Week 3 [3,148 Theaters]
Est Friday $4.4M, Est Weekend $11M

5. Dr Seuss’ The Lorax (Universal) Week 5 [3,264 Theaters]
Est Friday $2.1M, Est Weekend $8.5M



Well THG is about to set some records if this holds true

Biggest 2nd Friday and a good chance at beating Spider Man 1 decade long record for biggest 2nd Saturday and also perhaps biggest 2nd weekend.

From world of kj

Matthew Chmiel

Actually, Avatar has the second biggest weekend with $75.6 million (less than a 2% drop from the previous weekend). Spider-man had a $71.4 million second weekend (which was a 38% drop from the previous weekend).

What's interesting is that maybe three-to-four hours ago, they were reporting The Hunger Games to have a $59-60 million weekend (putting it at a 60% drop from last weekend). I wonder if they think tomorrow will gain traction unlike last weekend.

I do love how Wrath of the Titans's estimate keeps going down. $1 million plus at midnight showings, but only a $29 million weekend (if that). I wouldn't be surprised if it makes a killing overseas.

I'm actually shocked Mirror Mirror is going to do $22 million. I guess that happens when there's no other family film out at the moment. However, I don't see the other Snow White film coming out this summer faring much better.

Rypro 525

Holy Shit. I'm guessing everyone who said last week "oh i'll see it next weekend and avoid the hardcore crowds" all thought the same thing

islandclaws

Updated #s from Deadline:

1. The Hunger Games (Lionsgate) Week 2 [4,137 Theaters] PG13-Rated
Est Friday $19M (-72%), Est Weekend $55M, Est Cume $245M

2. Wrath Of The Titans 3D (Warner Bros) NEW [3,545 Theaters] PG13-Rated
Est Friday $12.4M, Est Weekend $37M

3. Mirror Mirror (Relativity) NEW [3,603 Theaters] PG-Rated
Est Friday $5.8M, Est Weekend $21.0M

4. 21 Jump Street (Sony) Week 3 [3,148 Theaters] R-rated
Est Friday $4.6M, Est Weekend $14.5M, Est Cume $93.5M

5. Dr Seuss’ The Lorax 3D (Universal) Week 5 [3,264 Theaters] PG-rated
Est Friday $2.0M, Est Weekend $8.5M, Est Cume $190M

6. John Carter 3D (Disney) Week 4 [2,397 Theaters] PG13-rated
Est Friday $530K, Est Weekend $2.0M, Est Cume $66.2M

7. Salmon Fishing In Yemen (CBS) Week 4 [483 Theaters] PG13-Rated
Est Friday $450K, Est Weekend $1.7M, Est Cume $3.6M

8. Act Of Valor 3D (Relativity) Week 6 [1,239 Theaters] R-Rated
Est Friday $350K, Est Weekend $1.3M, Est Cume $68M

9. A Thousand Words (Dworks/Par) Week 4 [1,007 Theaters] PG13-rated
Est Friday $275K, Est Weekend $1.0M, Est Cume $16.5M

10. Project X (Warner Bros) Week 5 [903 Theaters] R-rated
Est Friday $255K, Est Weekend $950K, Est Cume $53.5M

Tarantino

Dark Knight Rises will break all of these records.

TheMovieman

That's quite a drop from the initial estimates...

By comparison, Clash of the Titans made $61.2m in its opening weekend ($163m domestic total), although it did huge numbers overseas ($330m).

RichC2

Disregarding the midnight gross, it actually did gain traction last weekend day-to-day. Having the midnights kind of screws it up, there's no way you can compete with having a theater showing 1 movie on 10 screens at the same time.

Snow White and the Huntsman actually has some hype behind it, I'm shocked Mirror Mirror made $22m as I expected it to bomb.

Matthew Chmiel

Clash was released at the right place, right time. 3D was still new to most moviegoers and people thought it actually looked like it could be good.

If it ends up doing close to $40 million, it's a win for Warner considering they made a sequel to a film that got mixed-to-negative reviews by audiences and critics alike. What I'd like to see is how many saw the film in 3D compared to 2D alongside the same number for the original film. I wouldn't be surprised if the majority saw Wrath in 2D based upon how the 3D experience sucked for the first film.

It'll be interesting to see next weekend's numbers; especially If American Reunion will be a hit as its the first true sequel to the franchise in nine years and how well the Titanic re-issue does.

godzilla rules

I can see American Reunion doing about $40 million and Titanic doing about $30 million. Of course Titanic could beat out Reunion, but I doubt it.

resinrats

The downside for Titanic is that American Reunion can almost run twice compared to once for Titanic

Wazootyman

With Hunger Games probably also notching somewhere around 35+, that's gonna be a pretty insane weekend

Michael Corvin

Won't there be a significant drop for March Madness tonight? I wonder if that has been factored in.

Dr. DVD

FWIW, a huge drop for Hunger Games was inevitable , as I think with Spring Break for a lot of schools it did stronger than average numbers during the week. It will most likely end its domestic run north of $300 million, which is more than anyone was expecting for it.

EDIT: Also, while not too significant, Games lost all of its IMAX screens this weekend to Clash, hence higher ticket prices per viewer.

Dr. DVD

Go Cats!!!

mdc3000

The Avengers is going to shatter them first.

My Other Self

I went to see 21 Jump Street today and it was packed to the gills. There was only a couple of empty seats. There was also long lines to get in to Mirror, Mirror -- a lot of families were there. We have real crappy weather this weekend though so I'm guessing that factored in to it.

Wazootyman

... the drop was probably less than expected. When you open big, your expected to drop big. To go down just north of 50 percent is NOT bad. New Moon opened large but then dropped 70 in its second frame.

There shouldn't be a "most likely" in where it will end up. It's pulled in almost 250m in 10 days, it's definitely passing 300 and will probably go to the upper 300s.

Matthew Chmiel

Yup.

American Reunion runs 113 minutes compared to Titanic's 197 minutes. If both films were on two screens, American Reunion can have anywhere from eight to ten showings a day whereas Titanic will have a maximum of six.

Universal is also throwing American Reunion into 3,200 plus theaters whereas Paramount is throwing Titanic into at least 2,500 locations. However, while 2D showings will exist, a majority will be higher priced 3D or IMAX shows.

Either way, The Hunger Games will most likely be number three next weekend.

Mondo Kane

Yeah it's been like 30 Days of Night for us Northern Californians lately. Nothing else to do but to go to the movies.

Matthew Chmiel

RichC2

Yeah, Hunger Games held up well, it will fly past the $300m mark, likely ending somewhere between $350m and $400m.

The Dark Knight had a 52.5% drop second weekend, from $158m to $75m ($533m domestic)
Breaking Dawn had a 69.8% drop from $138m to $41.6m (ended with $281m)
New Moon had a 70% drop from $142.8m to $42.8m (ended with $298m)
Harry Potter 7 Part 2 had a 72% drop from $169.2m to $47.4m (and ended with $381m domestic.)

davidh777

Saw Hunger Games yesterday afternoon (3:30 Pacific) and was sort of hoping that basketball would thin the crowds a bit. We were able to get four seats together pretty close to center, slightly closer than I like but still plenty good, at 10 minutes before scheduled start time. This multiplex was showing it about every 40 minutes so perhaps hard to judge, but this was on a fairly large screen with ETX (enhanced theater experience, which I didn't really notice for my extra $4 per ticket , but it was either that or wait another 40 minutes for the next standard showing), perhaps the biggest at that complex other than the digital IMAX that was showing Wrath.

Dr. DVD

I'm actually wondering if Hunger Games can do respectable $$ next weekend as well, given that Titanic is a re-issue. Furthermore, I am surprised they are releasing American Reunion on Easter Weekend, as history has proven that is the one weekend you do NOT want to release a hard-R movie. I also expect games to have another strong week as more schools are on Spring Break.

Matthew Chmiel

Universal is releasing American Reunion on the first weekend of April based upon past success with relaunching what most considered to be a dead franchise on the first weekend of April three years ago.

Granted, Fast and Furious was PG-13. However, the audiences do cross over. For example, I was a teenager when both the original American Pie and The Fast and Furious films came out over a decade ago. Where will I be next weekend? Obviously, American Reunion (and I'm a Jew, so Easter is a fake holiday in my eyes).

Edit: Accidentally typed a film that came out a decade ago.

Dr. DVD

So you're going back in time to summer of 2003?


I expect American Reunion to be #1 and do huge numbers on Friday itself, but not sustain throughout the weekend.