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Old 01-13-12, 07:56 PM   #1
Matthew Chmiel
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Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

Quote:
FRIDAY*5 PM: Very early numbers are starting to come in. One studio’s*estimates are much higher, but I’m sticking with the*middle*for this*Martin Luther King 4-day holiday weekend. The most important news is that there’s no sign of a 2012 box office slump — yet. Hollywood is very encouraged by these North American grosses so far:

Contraband (Universal) NEW – Friday*$7M, 4-Day Holiday $28M
Beauty And The Beast 3D (Disney)*NEW – Friday $5M, 4-Day Holiday $23M
Joyful Noise (Warner Bros) NEW – Friday*$4M, 4-Day Holiday*$16M
I honestly think Beauty and the Beast 3D has a solid shot on being number one based upon the fact this is a holiday weekend and we could see a 100% jump tomorrow, but as mentioned earlier on Deadline...

Quote:
EXCLUSIVE: Rival studios tell me that exhibitors are quietly furious that Disney*has begun*selling the Beauty And The Beast 3D Blu-Ray DVD at Target and Walmart and other retailers without fanfare at the same time the film goes into theaters today. (Walmart lists the release date as October 2011 of this ‘Diamond Edition’ and has already discounted it from $49.99 to $34.96.) As one*rival studio exec tells me, “They think what Disney did is very underhanded by sneaking it into stores.” By contrast, last year’s Disney’s The Lion King 3D Blu-ray DVD didn’t go on sale until two weeks after the threatrical release.*”Is Beauty And The Beast 3D Blu-Ray going to be the experiment that closes the windows for sure?” one rival studio exec asks me. “If so the exhibitors have truly lost a major battle.”

Disney in its defense points out that the vast majority of families don’t have 3D televisions yet so the DVD won’t affect theatrical gross. “We’ve talked to all of our partners in exhibition about this and have made no secret about the Beauty And The Beast 3D Blu-Ray DVD being available. In fact there are multiple exhibition partners that are tying promotions into the 3D Blu-ray being available, like AMC and Regal.”

I’m surprised that exhibitors aren’t kicking up a public fuss. But they don’t want to call attention to the Beauty And The Beast 3D Blu-Ray DVD and hurt their own business. Guess they only go public if it’s about the VOD window. Remember all the publicity about Universal’s trial balloon for the*Tower Heist same-day VOD premiere for $59.99?*(Universal Halts ‘Tower Heist’ VOD Plan As Exhibitors Agree To Further Talks.) Meanwhile, Warner Bros is now trying to put the genie back into the bottle by negotiating longer windows. (Warner Bros Doubles Netflix Wait Period For Discs To 56 Days.)
TL;DR: Movie theaters are butthurt that Disney released the film in 3D on Blu-ray three months before its theatrical release.

The bigger question this weekend will be, how much will The Devil Inside drop from last weekend? My guess is more than 70%.
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Old 01-13-12, 08:00 PM   #2
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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I’m surprised that exhibitors aren’t kicking up a public fuss.
Really? Who in the public would be sympathetic to that sort of whining?
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Old 01-14-12, 12:34 AM   #3
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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FRIDAY*10 PM: Better numbers are starting to come in*for this*Martin Luther King 4-day holiday weekend. The most important news is that there’s no sign of a 2012 box office slump — yet. Hollywood is very encouraged by these North American grosses so far. One note for your snarksters: Paramount’s The Devil Inside, which took big top honors last weekend, fell -84% from last Friday to this Friday and maybe -78% week to week because of word-of-mouth related to that*’F’ CinemaScore. As one rival studio exec snarked tonight: “The drop could better depending on the late night moron crowd.”

1. Contraband (Universal) NEW [2,863 Theaters]
Friday*$7.7M, 3-Day Weekend $22.9M, 4-Day Holiday $28M

2. Beauty And The Beast 3D (Disney)*NEW [2,625 Theaters]
Friday $5.5M, 3-Day Weekend $18.5M, 4-Day Holiday $25.6M

3. Joyful Noise (Warner Bros) NEW [2,863 Theaters]
Friday*$3.7M, 3-Day Weekend $12.3M, 4-Day Holiday*$14.8M

4. Mission: Impossible 4 (Paramount) Week 5 [3,346 Theaters]
Friday $3.5M,*3-Day Weekend $12.1M,*4-Day Holiday $14.6M, Est Cume $189.9M

5) Sherlock Holmes 2 (Warner Bros) Week 5 [3,155 Theater]
Friday*$2.5M,*3-Day Weekend $8.8M,*4-Day Holiday $10.6M,*Est Cume $172.2M

6) The Devil Inside (Paramount) Week 2 [2,551 Theaters]
Friday $2.1M,*3-Day Weekend $7.5M (-78%),*4-Day Holiday $8.7M
I still think Finke and the estimates are wrong and that Beauty and the Beast 3D will take the weekend.

... and an 80% drop for The Devil Inside? God, may in fact, exist.
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Old 01-14-12, 11:01 AM   #4
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

Love the thread title!
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Old 01-14-12, 01:32 PM   #5
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

I figured Devil Inside would drop 79%, so that looks about right.

Contraband is doing well? It looked like another generic heist flick to me.
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Old 01-14-12, 02:29 PM   #6
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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Originally Posted by KillerCannibal View Post
Contraband is doing well? It looked like another generic heist flick to me.
It has an advantage as nothing else "new" opened this weekend. The only competition it has is Beauty and the Beast 3D as it appeals to all four quadrants despite being the flick's second theatrical re-release.

I didn't post this last night as it wasn't updated until late night/early morning, but here's the second half of the top ten:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Deadline Hollywood
6. Sherlock Holmes 2 (Warner Bros) Week 5 [3,155 Theater]
Friday $2.5M, 3-Day Weekend $8.8M, 4-Day Holiday $10.6M, Est Cume $172.2M

7. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (Sony) Week 4 [2,674 Theaters]
Friday $2.1M, 3-Day Weekend $7.3M, 4-Day Holiday $8.8M, Est Cume $90M

8. The Iron Lady (Weinstein Co) Week 3 [802 Theaters]
Friday $1.5M, 3-Day Weekend $5.3M, 4-Day Holiday $6.3M, Est Cume $6.9M

9. War Horse (DreamWorks/Disney) Week 4 [2,856 Theaters]
Friday $1.5M, 3-Day Weekend $5.5M, $6.696 4-Day Holiday $6.7M, Est Cume $66.9M

10. We Bought A Zoo (Fox) Week 4 [2,585 Theaters]
Friday $1.3M, 3-Day Weekend $5.6M, 4-Day Holiday $7.3M, Est Cume $65.8M
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Old 01-14-12, 04:11 PM   #7
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

MI4 should pass $200 million next weekend. And Sherlock 2 is showing some great legs.
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Old 01-15-12, 01:00 PM   #8
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

For those wondering - The Devil Inside dropped 77% this weekend. (3-day vs 3-day)

Current estimates (Deadline.com)

1. Contraband (Universal) NEW [2,863 Theaters]
Friday $8.7M, Saturday $8.6M, 3-Day Weekend $24.1M, 4-Day Holiday $28.5M

2. Beauty And The Beast 3D (Disney) NEW [2,625 Theaters]
Friday $5.6M, Saturday $6.7M, 3-Day Weekend $18.5M, 4-Day Holiday $24.7M

3. Mission: Impossible 4 (Paramount) Week 5 [3,346 Theaters]
Friday $3.2M, Saturday $4.7M, 3-Day Weekend $11.5M, 4-Day Holiday $14M, Est Cume $189.2M

4. Joyful Noise (Warner Bros) NEW [2,863 Theaters]
Friday $3.8M, Saturday $4.5M, 1-Day Weekend $11.3M, 4-Day Holiday $13.8M

5. Sherlock Holmes 2 (Warner Bros) Week 5 [3,155 Theater]
Friday $2.5M, Saturday $3.5M, 3-Day Weekend $8.4M, 4-Day Holiday $10.6M, Est Cume $172.2M

6. The Devil Inside (Paramount) Week 2 [2,551 Theaters]
Friday $2.7M, Saturday $3.1M, 3-Day Weekend $7.9M (-77%), 4-Day Holiday $9M, Est Cume $47.3M

7. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (Sony) Week 4 [2,674 Theaters]
Friday $2.1M, Saturday $2.6M, 3-Day Weekend $6.8M, 4-Day Holiday $8.3M, Est Cume $90M

8. Alvin & The Chipmunks 3 (Fox) Week 5 [2,849 Theaters]
Friday $1.1M, Saturday $2.6M, 3-Day Weekend $5.8M, 4-Day Holiday $7.3M, Est Cume $118.7M

9. War Horse (DreamWorks/Disney) Week 4 [2,856 Theaters]
Friday $1.6M, Saturday $2.3M, 3-Day Weekend $5.6M, 4-Day Holiday $6.8M, Est Cume $67M

10. The Iron Lady (Weinstein Co) Week 3 [802 Theaters]
Friday $1.5M, Saturday $2.2M, 3-Day Weekend $5.3M, 4-Day Holiday $6.4M, Est Cume $7M

Cinemascores:
Contraband: A-
Beauty and the Beast 3D: A+
Mission Impossible Ghost Protocol: A-
Joyful Noise: A-
Sherlock Holmes A Game of Shadows: A-
The Devil Inside: F
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo: A
Alvin and the Chipmunks Chipwrecked: B+
War Horse: A-
The Iron Lady: Unknown


--outside of Top 10--
We Bought a Zoo: A
The Darkest Hour: C+

Last edited by RichC2; 01-15-12 at 01:09 PM.
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Old 01-16-12, 05:35 PM   #9
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Matthew Chmiel View Post
... and an 80% drop for The Devil Inside? God, may in fact, exist.

Would have been very interesting to see how much this woulda dropped if it didnt increase it's theater count by about 10% this weekend.
And no way n hell did Contraband cost only $25 million to make.

Oh and really pissed people are still giving money to 3d Re-releases. Seriously!?
I mean it just isn't right at all that Lion King 3d and Beauty and Beast 3d are gonna outgross HUGO.
What a freakin' world we live in when people wanna see 15-20 year old reheated titles that don't need to be re-relased instead of new interesting films.

Last edited by crazychris88; 01-16-12 at 05:41 PM.
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Old 01-16-12, 06:00 PM   #10
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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Originally Posted by crazychris88 View Post
What a freakin' world we live in when people wanna see 15-20 year old reheated titles that don't need to be re-relased instead of new interesting films.
I don't see an issue with people happy to get another chance to see a movie they loved on the big screen again, let alone take their kids who weren't born yet at the time of the original release.

In the case of Hugo, it didn't help that the marketing was terrible.
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Old 01-16-12, 06:20 PM   #11
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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Originally Posted by fumanstan View Post
I don't see an issue with people happy to get another chance to see a movie they loved on the big screen again, let alone take their kids who weren't born yet at the time of the original release.

In the case of Hugo, it didn't help that the marketing was terrible.
I dont have a problem with people wanting to see this on Blu-ray or DVD but I have a major problem this is re-released theatrically.
Very few movies deserve to be re-released theatrically and this is certainly not one.
Obviously there are people who will pay quite a bit of money to see this again with their kids who may be seeing it for the first time but I just find that concept so obscene. Just would seem terribly depressing to me to think about being in the theater where this is showing knowing I had spent money to see this when I can literally go watch it on at home on Blu. Meanwhile something new and fresh is playing across the hall.
just my opinion, but I really gotta criticize Disney due to exploiting their back catalog. I mean how far is this gonna go? Is there gonna be a day when there is like 3 or 4 re-releases in theaters at the same time?
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Old 01-16-12, 06:54 PM   #12
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

^Because, all things being equal, for many the theatrical experience >>> the home video experience.

Plus Disney has routinely rereleased their animated movies to theaters since 1938. Less so in the DVD+ era, but it's long been a tradition. Relax bro.
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Old 01-16-12, 07:03 PM   #13
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

Dragon Tattoo's updated worldwide total: $138.9 million
Sherlock Holmes: $394 million
MI4: $509 million
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Old 01-16-12, 07:11 PM   #14
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

"Won't even make $90 million worldwide..."
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Old 01-16-12, 07:24 PM   #15
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

Quote:
Originally Posted by crazychris88 View Post
Very few movies deserve to be re-released theatrically and this is certainly not this one.
First animated film to be nominated for Best Picture? Seems a likely candidate to me.
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Old 01-16-12, 10:42 PM   #16
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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Originally Posted by crazychris88 View Post
What a freakin' world we live in when people wanna see 15-20 year old reheated titles that don't need to be re-relased instead of new interesting films.
So there isn't ANY film you won't want to see in a theater that is availible on DVD? No Raiders, no Jaws, no whatever is your favorite film?

The problem isn't classic movies getting $$, it is Hugo's producers sucking at marketing it so people want to go see it. I know there was nothing in the ads that made me want to see it.
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Old 01-16-12, 10:46 PM   #17
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

Yeah, I find it baffling that there is a problem with Disney re-releases. Then again, I've grown up with them. Like people said, they haven't been that common the last 10-15 years, but as a kid I saw many of the older movies in theaters and remember the experience.
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Old 01-16-12, 11:00 PM   #18
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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"Won't even make $90 million worldwide..."
Bwah! I love that it'll be grossing 100M plus in the U.S. alone.
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Old 01-17-12, 01:11 AM   #19
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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Originally Posted by crazychris88 View Post
What a freakin' world we live in when people wanna see 15-20 year old reheated titles that don't need to be re-relased instead of new interesting films.
Can you site some numbers? How do you know the same people that are going to see the re-releases aren't also seeing the newer films?

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Old 01-17-12, 07:46 AM   #20
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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If you love movies, you love movies.
I do but I hate 3d RE-releases and I HATE 3d
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Old 01-17-12, 08:05 AM   #21
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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Bwah! I love that it'll be grossing 100M plus in the U.S. alone.
The problem is though you couldn't hide from this movie if you tried; it was talked about in magazines, newspapers, TV shows, you had the books, TV adds etc... And to only make a mild profit has to be a disappointment for them considering the over exposure this got.
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Old 01-17-12, 08:42 AM   #22
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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I do but I hate 3d RE-releases and I HATE 3d
Yet you used Hugo as an example.

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Old 01-17-12, 08:50 AM   #23
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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Yet you used Hugo as an example.

ANd we wont be seeing it in 3d. Both me and my girl agree its very fucking annoying and entirely worthless.
Sorry but we dont like 3D in this household.Maybe it's cause we both wear eyeglasses. I dunno. But its much more of a bother (Even if it costed LESS to see it in 3D we would pay extra to see it in 2D that's how much we can't stand it.)
Every time my girlfriend sees a trailer for a movie she wants to see that happens to say its coming in 3D she says "I wanna go see that. BUT NOT in 3D!"
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Old 01-17-12, 08:55 AM   #24
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

^There's no such word as 'costed'. Unless it's rated R and over 2 hours long...
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Old 01-17-12, 09:55 AM   #25
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Re: Say Hi To Your Mother For Me: Weekend Box Office (1/13 - 1/16)

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^There's no such word as 'costed'. Unless it's rated R and over 2 hours long...


We are all wondering if it is him under a new name.
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