chris_sc77

So there are a A LOT of movie releasing today and quite a few more coming out on Thursday.
Today (Fri. Dec. 19th):
Seven Pounds
The Tale of Desperaux
Yes Man

Thurs. Dec. 25th
Benjamin Button
The Spirit
Marley and Me
Valkyrie
Bedtime Stories


What do you guys think will be big and what do you think will bomb? Some of these are very pricey films but I doubt all of these will he hits and I think at least 3 will bomb very badly.

My predictions: (all predictions are final Us grosses)
Seven Pounds ($95 million...I know its almost stupid to underestimate Smith but I dont think this will be one of his biggest hits.)
The Tale of Desperaux (17 million...I think this will be a HUGE bomb.)
Yes Man (86 MIllion...Dont think this will get to $100 million.)

Benjamin Button (This is hard. Depends on Awards I guess but I'll say $148 million.)
The Spirit (28 million..If only cause its been heavily advertised.)
Marley and Me (102 Million..I think people will buy this stupid shit up.)
Valkyrie (22 million. Looks good but I think its the wrong time for this.)
Bedtime Stories (158 Million.)

Rypro 525

wow, i don't think Benjamin Button will come even close to that. i checked wikipedia, and the runtime is 165 min.

Gizmo

Holy crap! That can't be right....right?

Daytripper

I really hope "Seven Pounds" bombs. I'm just so sick of Will Smith and the reviews are terrible.

And "Marley & Me" will do big business. Only because of the book. I won't see it because it stars THEM.

fumanstan

Agreed, no way Benjamin Button will make that much.

Shannon Nutt

The Spirit is going to bomb.

Valkyrie won't bomb, but it won't make back it's estimated $95 million budget.

Marley & Me will BE a bomb, but it WON'T bomb. The movie is reportedly horrible. But it's still probably going to make $100 million or more.

I'm hoping Yes Man and Bedtime Stories bomb, but I'm guessing they'll both do respectable business.

Benjamin Button will be a big hit, but not necessarily right out of the gate...one of those gradual earners - expect more box office AFTER awards season ends. It still probably has enough "buzz" to finish second Christmas weekend (probably right behind Marley & Me).

GoldenJCJ

I see The Spirit and Valkyrie bombing hard.

Marley and Me looks cute but I don't see it pulling in a whole lot of money.

From what I've heard (I'm out of the loop on this topic) is that A Tale of Despereaux is based on one of the most beloved children's books of its time. I'm not sure if kids are begging their parents to take them but this could be a surprise hit.

I see Benjamin Button and Seven Pounds doing well, although, IMO, Seven Pounds hasn't been marketed very well.

Groucho

Button will probably under-perform. I just don't see Joe Six-Pack getting excited for it, especially when they can go to the theater next door and watch Tom Cruise kill Hitler.

GoldenJCJ

Spoilers Groucho! I haven't seen Valkyrie yet!

ConVerse

I don't think Benjamin Button will break $100 million. Maybe $50 million.

chris_sc77

here is what the Weekend Warrior predicts from comingsoon.net:

(All the following are for the four-day weekend from Dec. 25 to 28)

1. Bedtime Stories (Disney) – $46.8 million N/A

2. Marley & Me (20th Century Fox) - $27.4 million N/A

3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount) - $21.3 million N/A

4. Valkyrie (MGM/United Artists) - $17.6 million N/A

5. Yes Man (Warner Bros.) - $15.5 million -15%

6. The Tale of Despereaux (Universal) - $14.4 million +42%

7. The Spirit (Lionsgate) - $14.3 million N/A

8. Seven Pounds (Sony) – $13.5 million -16%

9. Four Christmases (New Line/WB) – $7.2 million -7%

10. Bolt (Disney) - $5.9 million +40%

11. Doubt (Miramax) - $5.5 million

I'd say it looks about right. Well not right considering the top 2 movies but I imagine it'll go down similar to these numbers except I dont thing Desperaux, The Spirit, Or Seven Pi=ounds will do around 3 to 4 million less each than what they predict.

My Other Self

That looks right to me. I'm going to see The Spirit, but I don't see it doing well. I want to see Benjamin Button and Valkyrie, too.

chris_sc77

http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.co...-valkyrie-22m/

So it looks like Marley and Me will have at least a $45 million weekend
Benjamin Button and Bedtime Stories will have at least a $35-$40 million 4-day weekend and Valkyrie will do much better than expected with close to $30 million
Spirit will most likey do less than $15million for the 4-days.

Anubis2005X

Is it just me, or are none of these movies unappealing? I was hoping there'd be at least ONE movie I wanted to see around the holidays this year, but eh well...

rexinnih

Damn, that's alot of movies coming out at the same time.

Rypro 525

im surprised about buttons. For some reason, i didn't see it doing that well since it does look a bit arty for a lot of people.

Brack

I think you stated this incorrectly.

tofu

I think that they spent so much on advertising for this film, that there was no way that it wouldn't do well at least during the first week. I swear that every time I turn around, I see a web ad or poster for this movie.

Brack

I think the premise of Buttons alone is intriguing. I always thought it would do well.