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Old 06-28-07, 12:57 PM   #1
Mr. Cinema
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Box Office Chatter 6/27-7/1 (McClane vs Rats)

WEDNESDAY:

1. LIVE FREE OR DIE HARD 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,175 8,865,000 2,792 n/a 8,865,000
2. EVAN ALMIGHTY UNIVERSAL 3,602 3,375,000 937 n/a 42,192,125
3. 1408 MGM 2,678 1,990,000 743 n/a 27,801,034
4. FANTASTIC FOUR: RISE OF THE SILVER SURFER 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,963 1,900,000 479 -57% 103,992,632
5. KNOCKED UP UNIVERSAL 2,972 1,345,000 453 -33% 113,690,335
6. OCEAN'S THIRTEEN WARNER BROS. 3,450 1,110,000 322 -51% 94,976,028
7. SURF'S UP SONY 3,309 1,075,000 325 -34% 50,370,679
8. PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: AT WORLD'S END BVI 2,802 925,000 330 -34% 289,886,588
9. NANCY DREW WARNER BROS. 2,612 850,000 325 -33% 18,488,406
10. SHREK THE THIRD DREAMWORK 2,822 815,000 289 -37% 310,271,439
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Old 06-28-07, 01:11 PM   #2
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Die Hard is gonna get it's ass kicked by the rat movie.
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Old 06-28-07, 01:13 PM   #3
Dan1boy
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oooh, Fantastic Four is fading fast...

surprised to see Ocean's 13 doing so well...
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Old 06-28-07, 01:30 PM   #4
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Pixar > John McClaine via 1st weekend TKO.
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Old 06-28-07, 02:04 PM   #5
spammied
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I gotta agree with PopcornTreeCt. Ratatouille will definitely beat McClane, especially because its PIXAR first and foremost, and most parents will let their kids see a movie by that company.
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Old 06-28-07, 02:13 PM   #6
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Die Hard will definitely be number one

I predict about 50 million for Die Hard (Wed-Sun) and about 35-40 million for Ratty
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Old 06-28-07, 02:17 PM   #7
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It's doesn't work like that. For the weekend, it'll just be the box office take from Friday-Sunday for the weekly BO crown. Just because LFoDH opened on Wednesday doesn't mean you get to lump it in when comparing BO totals for the weekend. Anyway, it doesn't really mean all that much in the long run either way.
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Old 06-28-07, 02:22 PM   #8
JPRaup
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I know. I was just predicting my totals. I still believe Die Hard will be number one, even though Ratatouille is much better :/
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Old 06-28-07, 02:23 PM   #9
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I'll see Ratatouille in the theatres, but I'll just wait for the R-rated cut of Die Hard 4 on DVD.
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Old 06-28-07, 02:29 PM   #10
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rata movie doesnt look so good...my nieces think its going to be boring
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Old 06-28-07, 02:30 PM   #11
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Ratatouille should have a massive opening, and probably looong legs too. Transformers needs to make a ton next week since Mr. Potter follows after that.
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Old 06-28-07, 02:30 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JPRaup
I know. I was just predicting my totals. I still believe Die Hard will be number one, even though Ratatouille is much better :/
I think so too. Die Hard already have a popularity out there and so does Bruce Willis. Business wise, a little cute Parisian rat won't hold up against anything like that.
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Old 06-28-07, 02:33 PM   #13
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I'm going to wait for the R-rated cut of Ratatouille before seeing an edited and censored version.
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Old 06-28-07, 02:34 PM   #14
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I think it will be a close race with Ratatouille coming out on top.
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Old 06-28-07, 02:37 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eedoon
I think so too. Die Hard already have a popularity out there and so does Bruce Willis. Business wise, a little cute Parisian rat won't hold up against anything like that.
But Die Hard has also blown a bit of its weekend load on Wed and Thurs. Will there be enough repeat viewers of those to offset the shift?

Ratatouille dominates F-Su. DH will have a higher to-date through Sunday, however.
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Old 06-28-07, 02:41 PM   #16
JPRaup
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Quote:
Originally Posted by raven56706
rata movie doesnt look so good...my nieces think its going to be boring
it's great, don't worry
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Old 06-28-07, 02:55 PM   #17
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50 mill for Rat, 30 for DH4.
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Old 06-28-07, 02:58 PM   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eedoon
I think so too. Die Hard already have a popularity out there and so does Bruce Willis.
No, not really

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/people/...rucewillis.htm
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Old 06-28-07, 02:59 PM   #19
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I thought for awhile Ratatouille wasn't going to do well, but everything seems to have fallen in place for it of late. The campaign really came together. I think it has the 3 day weekend easy.
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Old 06-28-07, 03:03 PM   #20
eedoon
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pinata242
But Die Hard has also blown a bit of its weekend load on Wed and Thurs. Will there be enough repeat viewers of those to offset the shift?
Probably not, but 3000-4000 screen for two days lead can only take so many audiences which is probably only a fraction compared to the number of potential customer of the movie.
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Old 06-28-07, 03:05 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eedoon
Probably not, but 3000-4000 screen for two days lead can only take so many audiences which is probably only a fraction compared to the number of potential customer of the movie.
But the people that went to go see it on weekdays are the, um, die-hard Die Hard fans. They were guaranteed sales on the weekend already.
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Old 06-28-07, 03:06 PM   #22
eedoon
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Daytripper
Hmm. OK. Let me rephrase then. Die Hard have popularity, and everyone knows Bruce Willis. That's enough to draw people's attention even if it's only a little bit.
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Old 06-28-07, 03:14 PM   #23
eedoon
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pinata242
But the people that went to go see it on weekdays are the, um, die-hard Die Hard fans. They were guaranteed sales on the weekend already.
Well you got your point. But we don't know how many fans of those kind compared to mainstream moviegoers.
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Old 06-28-07, 03:28 PM   #24
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Per screen average wise I am sure Sicko will kick some ass.
Rat will not make more than 35 million this weekend.
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Old 06-28-07, 03:36 PM   #25
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Pixar opening weekends, to compare to the lowball numbers being thrown around.

THE INCREDIBLES
$70,467,623

FINDING NEMO
$70,251,710

MONSTERS, INC.
$62,577,067

CARS
$60,119,509

TOY STORY 2
$57,388,839

A BUG'S LIFE
$33,258,052

TOY STORY
$29,140,617
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