Originally posted by troystiffler
Always nice to see Geoff penetrating the news.
I agree. I bought VHS' here and there. But, for me, DVD's are here to stay. By my own standards, I have a very well rounded collection, and maybe it'll turn into a library someday.
Geoff is right. A progressive scan DVD player and a nice TV will get you right next to what a film looks like on the big screen. I just don't see a reason to ever upgrade.
I don't see DVD's being sufficently topped in the next ten years.
To say that a progressive scan player comes close to the big screen is a stretch. You are just losing way too much resolution. On a 32 inch TV you might not be able to tell the difference but on screens that are 50 inches and larger the quality starts to drop fast.
There are three deciding factors (that I can think of right now) that will be important to the success of a new format(s)
3. The studios have to give full support in a switchover from dvd to whatever new format. They will because they want better copyright protection on their software. I wouldn't be surprised if we start seeing the first generation HD-dvds packaged with regular dvds just to spark interest in the format. If they really want to push a new format all they have to do is price the hardware evenly with regular dvd players. Most people will buy the one with the new buzz. You also have to remember that most of the name titles have already recieved High Definition mastering and will not take as long to be released.
2. The sales growth of HDTVs. Having seen a lot of High Definition programming and D-VHS I can say that many people will want their $20 dvd to have better quality than their local news station. I'm on that list myself. The question is how many sets will be out there in the next three years?
1. The impact of possibly having two formats once again is somewhat unpredictable. CDs stayed around over superior formats for a multitude of reasons other than just being "decent enough". I believe it's pure economics as to how long dvd has left.
"Fear. Fear affects the fearful, the strong, the weak, the innocent, the corrupt, Fear is my ally."