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Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

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Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

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Old 12-17-10, 01:30 PM
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Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)



Originally Posted by Deadline Hollywood
FRIDAY AM: These are not Disney's official numbers yet. But not only did Tron Legacy 3D do about $3.5 million from midnight screenings but also over $1 million from 228 IMAX theaters. I'm told that's by far the biggest percentage -- 25+% -- done of any movie's midnight box office, and more than the percentage of midnight take by IMAX for Iron Man 2, Inception, Avatar. But note that's not the highest IMAX gross.
For clarification, the highest midnight opening in IMAX history is Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 with $1.4 million from four weeks ago.

For further clarification, let's take a look back last year this weekend. Avatar was released making only $3 million at midnight and everyone screamed failure.
Old 12-17-10, 01:40 PM
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re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

I predict Tron will have a boffo weekend and then drop like a stone next week.
Old 12-17-10, 01:45 PM
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re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

You're no medical doctor, so I can't take your prediction seriously.
Old 12-17-10, 01:46 PM
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re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

I dropped that pretense so I could continue this one. Come on man, keep up!
Old 12-17-10, 02:35 PM
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re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

So this is a box office thread for next November?
Old 12-18-10, 01:51 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Friday's estimates are in.

Originally Posted by Deadline Hollywood
1. Tron: Legacy 3D (Disney) NEW [3,451 Theaters]
Friday $18M, Estimated Weekend $47M

2. Yogi Bear 3D (Warner Bros) NEW [3,515 Theaters]
Friday $4.7M, Estimated Weekend $17M

3. The Fighter (Relativity/Paramount) Week 2 [2,503 Theaters]
Friday $3.8M, Estimated Weekend $11.8M.

4. Narnia/Dawn Treader 3D (Walden/Fox) Week 2 [3,555 Theaters]
Friday $3.7M (-55%), Estimated Weekend $12.8M, Estimated Cume $43M

5. How Do You Know (Sony) NEW [2,483 Theaters]
Friday $2.9M, Estimated Weekend $8.7M

6. Black Swan (Fox Searchlight) Week 3 [959 Theaters]
Friday $2.7M, Estimated Weekend $9M

7. The Tourist (GK Films/Sony) Week 2 [2,756 Theaters]
Friday $2.6M (-56%), Estimated Weekend $8.5M, Estimated Cume $30.6M

8. Tangled (Disney) Week 4 [3,201 Theaters]
Friday $2.5M, Estimated Weekend $10M, Estimated Cume $129.7M

9. Harry Potter/Deathly Hallows, Pt 1 (Warner Bros) Week 5 [2,860 Theaters]
Friday $1.5M, Estimated weekend $5.3M, Estimated Cume $266M

10. Unstoppable (Fox) Week 6 [1,876 Theaters]
Friday $675K, Estimated Weekend $2M, Estimated Cume $77.6M
I didn't even think of this until just now, but is this the first weekend where we've had two major releases come out in 3D?

I love seeing this week's estimates compared to what some sites were predicting. While most had Tron pegged at $45-50 million, other websites had Yogi Bear at $20+ million () and Chronicles of Narnia having a small (30%) drop ().

I wonder how Sony is reacting to the weak box office opening of How Do You Know especially with its $120 million (!!!) budget. Doesn't help them that The Tourist underperformed last weekend and is now taking an almost 60% drop this weekend.

It's nice to see The Wrestler The Fighter and Black Swan hold their own in a crowded weekend.
Old 12-18-10, 02:17 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Who the fuck is seeing Yogi Bear?
Old 12-18-10, 02:44 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by anomynous
Who the fuck is seeing Yogi Bear?
Those who watched Garfield.
Old 12-18-10, 02:46 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by anomynous
Who the fuck is seeing Yogi Bear?
Yogi Bear is actually in more locations (3,515) than Tron Legacy (3,451). There's also the (unwanted) advantage that WB allows their films to be shown in Technicolor 3D whereas Disney will not.

There's a theater in Vegas that just set-up Technicolor 3D this weekend and I'm curious to see how it looks, but I'd also rather put my dick in a WetVac than see Yogi Bear at all.

I'll just wait for the dollar theater here to install it (which is actually happening).
Old 12-18-10, 03:22 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

I personally don't believe Tron will hit $47 million, that's a number that assumes there will be a big bump on Saturday, with a small fall off on Sunday. Assuming the $18 million includes the midnights, I would expect the film to drop to about $14 million on Saturday, and down to about $9 million on Sunday.

Word of mouth will kill this film quickly. People we're laughing at the dialog throughout the film...

And if anyone thinks Dawn Trader's 55% fall off was impressive, wait for Tron next weekend. Friday will be a disaster (Christmas Eve), Saturday will be OK since it is Chrsitmas, and Sunday will suffer from many people traveling. I honestly expect a minimum 63% fall off for Tron during Christmas...

fitprod
Old 12-18-10, 03:31 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

How the fuck is Yogi bear in more theaters than Tron?

...and fitprod's a communist.
Old 12-18-10, 09:10 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by anomynous
Who the fuck is seeing Yogi Bear?
Originally Posted by mikelowry
Those who watched Garfield.
You'd think those people would learn. Sheesh.
Old 12-18-10, 10:05 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

I know Disney wanted a bigger # for Tron, so they can't be happy with what'll probably wind up being $43m.

Looks like HP7.1 won't hit the mark set by the last film. I'll bet WB is pissed they couldn't finish their crap conversion to squeeze out a few more bucks from 3D.
Old 12-18-10, 10:40 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by anomynous
Who the fuck is seeing Yogi Bear?
Who is going to see a live-action/animated hybrid film about a popular children's cartoon character.

Gee, I don't know.

I just don't know.
Old 12-18-10, 10:56 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by fitprod
I personally don't believe Tron will hit $47 million, that's a number that assumes there will be a big bump on Saturday, with a small fall off on Sunday. Assuming the $18 million includes the midnights, I would expect the film to drop to about $14 million on Saturday, and down to about $9 million on Sunday.

Word of mouth will kill this film quickly. People we're laughing at the dialog throughout the film...

And if anyone thinks Dawn Trader's 55% fall off was impressive, wait for Tron next weekend. Friday will be a disaster (Christmas Eve), Saturday will be OK since it is Chrsitmas, and Sunday will suffer from many people traveling. I honestly expect a minimum 63% fall off for Tron during Christmas...

fitprod
Schools out and many people have vacation, the weekends don't mean as much this time of year, the next two weeks are a non-stop weekend for theaters. For example, Avatar opened on the 18th last year to $26m/$25m/$24m over the weekend then $16m on Mon/Tues/Weds (then the holidays kicked in). In otherwords, I'm more curious to see how it does during the week than the weekend.
Old 12-18-10, 11:18 AM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by anomynous
Who the fuck is seeing Yogi Bear?
We did twice as much for Yogi on Friday than we did for Tron, on half as many screens and no 3D.
Old 12-18-10, 12:22 PM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by KillerCannibal
Looks like HP7.1 won't hit the mark set by the last film. I'll bet WB is pissed they couldn't finish their crap conversion to squeeze out a few more bucks from 3D.
I'm surprised they didn't just keep working on it, then release the 3d version around Christmas to bump up the box office.
Old 12-18-10, 12:23 PM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by RichC2
Schools out and many people have vacation, the weekends don't mean as much this time of year, the next two weeks are a non-stop weekend for theaters. For example, Avatar opened on the 18th last year to $26m/$25m/$24m over the weekend then $16m on Mon/Tues/Weds (then the holidays kicked in). In otherwords, I'm more curious to see how it does during the week than the weekend.
You have to remember... When Avatar was playing last year, Christmas Eve and New Year's Eve hit on Thursday, so the the film had the advantage of the Christmas Day afternoon & evening viewings, and a full Saturday, before people started traveling again on Sunday.

With Christmas Eve on a Friday, all movies will get killed, because most people will be doing last minute shopping or staying home preparing for Christmas morning.

fitprod
Old 12-18-10, 12:33 PM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

That doesn't change the fact that schools are closed and a lot of people are on vacation off-and-on during the 2 week period. The weekends are important, but the weekdays will be just as important.
Old 12-18-10, 12:54 PM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by Matthew Chmiel
I wonder how Sony is reacting to the weak box office opening of How Do You Know especially with its $120 million (!!!) budget. Doesn't help them that The Tourist underperformed last weekend and is now taking an almost 60% drop this weekend.
Maybe if Sony released good movies, people would spend money to see them. But I heard so-so reactions to The Tourist, and How Do You Know has been getting trashed left, right, and center.

Originally Posted by KillerCannibal
I know Disney wanted a bigger # for Tron, so they can't be happy with what'll probably wind up being $43m.
I remember reading somewhere that Disney wanted to turn Tron into a full-fledged franchise, and Legacy would just be the first film in a series. I sincerely hope the movie doesn't make enough money to continue.
Old 12-18-10, 01:35 PM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by RichC2
That doesn't change the fact that schools are closed and a lot of people are on vacation off-and-on during the 2 week period. The weekends are important, but the weekdays will be just as important.
There's no way in hell Tron performs like Avatar during the weekdays. 5-7 million tops each day.

fitprod
Old 12-18-10, 01:52 PM
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Originally Posted by Suprmallet
...I remember reading somewhere that Disney wanted to turn Tron into a full-fledged franchise, and Legacy would just be the first film in a series. I sincerely hope the movie doesn't make enough money to continue.
Why? I know zip about Tron and never saw the original, but I wasn't aware this new one was so disliked. Is there a reason?
Old 12-18-10, 01:58 PM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Check out the Tron thread. It seems to be love it or hate it. I'm more in the middle, but definitely lean towards the dislike it side more than the like it side.
Old 12-18-10, 02:07 PM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

I'm hoping it pulls in enough to warrant a 2nd. Now that Kosinski has established the look (which everyone seems to agree is very cool), it'd be nice to see them pump out a 2nd with much better action and a smoother story.

That said, they should take the Saw 3D route and go for broke if they do another, combining whatever they had for a second and third chapter into one movie rather than dragging it out.
Old 12-18-10, 02:12 PM
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Re: Virgins, Your Sequel Has Come! Weekend Box Office (12/17 - 12/19)

Originally Posted by fitprod
There's no way in hell Tron performs like Avatar during the weekdays. 5-7 million tops each day.

fitprod
Wasn't expecting it to do Avatar-like numbers by any stretch (hell, it's opening $30m lower), was just a comparison to say the mid-week is strong during this time of year.

$5 - $7m would be very respectable.


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