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View Full Version : Panel says NASA should skip moon, fly elsewhere


Ranger
10-24-09, 08:38 PM
By SETH BORENSTEIN, AP Science Writer Seth Borenstein, Ap Science Writer – Fri Oct 23, 2:28 am ET

WASHINGTON – NASA needs to make a major detour on its grand plans to return astronauts to the moon, a special independent panel told the White House Thursday.

Under current plans, NASA has picked the wrong destination with the wrong rocket, the panel's chairman said. A test-flight version of the rocket, the new Ares I, is on a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, awaiting liftoff later this month for its first experimental flight.

Instead, NASA should be concentrating on bigger rockets and new places to explore, the panel members said, as they issued their final 155-page report. The committee, created by the White House in May to look at NASA's troubled exploration, shuttle and space station programs, issued a summary of their findings last month, mostly urging more spending on space.

On Thursday in a news conference, panel Chairman Norman Augustine focused on fresh destinations for NASA, saying that it makes more sense to put astronauts on a nearby asteroid or one of the moons of Mars. He said that could be done sooner than returning to the moon in 15 years as NASA has outlined.

The exploration plans now under fire were pushed by then-President George W. Bush after the 2003 Columbia space shuttle disaster. The moon-Mars plan lacks enough money, thanks to budget diversions, the panel said in a 155-page report. Starting in 2014, NASA needs an extra $3 billion a year if astronauts are going to travel beyond Earth's orbit, the panel said.

The Augustine commission wants NASA to extend the life of the space shuttle program and the International Space Station. Space shuttles are due to retire Oct. 1, 2010, but should keep flying until sometime in 2011 because they won't get all their flights to the space station done by that date. And the space station itself — only now nearing completion — should operate until at least 2020, allowing for more scientific experiments, part of its reason for existence. NASA's timetable calls for plunging it into the ocean in 2015.

However, the overall focus of the panel's report is on where U.S. space exploration should be headed.

The White House will review the panel's analysis "and then ultimately the president will be making the final decision," White House spokesman Nick Shapiro said in an e-mail comment.

The committee outlines eight options. Three of those involve a "flexible path" to explore someplace other than the moon, eventually heading to a Mars landing far in the future. The flexible path suggests no-landing flights around the moon and Mars.

Landing on the moon and then launching back to Earth would require a lot of fuel because of the moon's gravity. Hauling fuel from Earth to the moon and then back costs money.

It would take less fuel to land and return from asteroids or comets that swing by Earth or even the Martian moons, Phobos and Deimos, Augustine said.

Eventually, Augustine said NASA could return to the moon, but as a training stepping stone, not a major destination, as the Bush plan envisioned.

Panel member Ed Crawley, a professor at MIT, said NASA should explore the inner solar system "to interest the American public in new destinations."

He noted that so many new asteroids and comets are being discovered each year that the potential first landing spot "is probably one we don't know about yet."

Augustine said landing astronauts on such a near-Earth object could occur in the early 2020s.

In a news conference to discuss their report, Crawley and Augustine said the current NASA plans were well conceived at the time, in 2005. But when money got diverted and launch dates delayed, NASA's new Ares I rocket began to look like it lost one of its major purposes: ferrying astronauts to the space station.

Crawley said the panel liked the idea of a commercially operated, more basic rocket-taxi to get astronauts into the low-Earth orbit of the space station. If NASA spent about $5 billion to help kick-start the embryonic commercial space business to do the people-carrying, then the space agency could concentrate on heavier rockets that do the real far-off exploring, he said.

Those commercial rockets should be ready in about six years, Crawley said.

NASA is slowly delaying some parts of the old moon program. It's rethinking its future annual $10 million spending on a still-unbuilt lunar lander as it awaits Obama's decision on the Augustine panel recommendations, said NASA spokesman Grey Hautaluoma.

George Washington University space scholar John Logsdon praised the report as "more comprehensive" than NASA's current program.

Syracuse University public policy professor Henry Lambright said he worries about changes that will cause a loss in momentum in NASA's exploration plans. "You've got to make a decision and you've got to stick to it if you are ever going to get to Mars."

Senator Richard Shelby, R-Ala., criticized the idea of using unproven commercial carriers instead of the Ares, which was designed in his state. He said the report was "unsatisfactory and disappointing."
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20091023/ap_on_sc/us_sci_nasa_future
Yeah, I realize NASA's not too popular, but I think the part about working with commercial companies for development will be a step foward as well as giving up on Ares.

At first, I was disappointed that the moon and mars landings weren't likely, but after thinking about it, landing on something like an asteroid or small martian moon would be good practice for global defense (think Armageddon and Deep Impact :)) and wouldn't require as much heavy equipment to haul for setting up a base etc.

X
10-24-09, 09:08 PM
I disagree with that decision.

I would like to see if we could manufacture fuel on the moon first. The moon would be a fairly accessible location to acquire experience. If you get into trouble on an asteroid it might be a long time before you can get help or get back.

Baron Of Hell
10-24-09, 09:28 PM
I would like NASA to do both. I doubt anything major will happen. America has lost it drive for advancement that doesn't advance our ability to kill. Not that the new gunships aren't a thing a beauty. I just rather have moonbase or colonies on Mars.

wmansir
10-24-09, 10:38 PM
I don't see much point in recreating the Apollo missions, but a more permanent, productive moon project could be worth wild. Maybe it could be a moon based death ray, BoH. ;)

Personally for collecting scientific data from other planets I think probes are a much better use of money. I can see the appeal of sending men, but I don't know if the experience is worth the cost at this point.

Ranger
10-24-09, 11:48 PM
I disagree with that decision.

I would like to see if we could manufacture fuel on the moon first. The moon would be a fairly accessible location to acquire experience. If you get into trouble on an asteroid it might be a long time before you can get help or get back.Maybe. I think a fuel depot in moon orbit would be better. I think the future of the ISS is to eventually break some of it up and expand them into deep space stations, at least that seems to be the ESA and Russia's plan. Those stations could be used as docking points for backup ships that probably have to come out there to service those stations anyway. Long way off, but fun to think about.

nemein
10-25-09, 12:49 AM
I would just be happy if NASA stayed focused on space instead of becoming the Climate Change Agency ;)

Rockmjd23
10-25-09, 01:54 AM
http://forum.dvdtalk.com/other-talk/525370-why-were-there-no-manned-moon-mission-after-1973-a-post8507814.html?highlight=moon#post8507814

Ha!

kvrdave
10-25-09, 01:57 AM
I would just be happy if NASA stayed focused on space instead of becoming the Climate Change Agency ;)

No shit. I'm about to the point of thinking we should just shitcan NASA.

classicman2
10-25-09, 09:23 AM
I have a suggestion - skip the moon & just fly off into the sunset.

Jason
10-25-09, 09:39 AM
I have a suggestion - skip the moon & just fly off into the sunset.

don't worry, that's exactly what's going to happen.

BKenn01
10-25-09, 10:51 AM
I would like NASA to do both. I doubt anything major will happen. America has lost it drive for advancement that doesn't advance our ability to kill. Not that the new gunships aren't a thing a beauty. I just rather have moonbase or colonies on Mars.

It would be nice to see phasers added to those ships;).......

Dr Mabuse
10-25-09, 11:22 AM
We'll give more free money for advertising to the pharmaceutical companies this year than it would cost for a manned mission to the moon.

classicman2
10-25-09, 01:03 PM
NASA is a relic of The Cold War.

Let it die - a peaceful death.

OldDude
10-25-09, 01:14 PM
Rather than just looking for nifty places to fly, shouldn't we have an articulated mission plan that states what we expect to gain from a manned mission there (vs unmanned mission or no mission at all)?

Nausicaa
10-25-09, 01:57 PM
I agree that there isn't much benefit to manned space missions. Especially when you consider the greatly increased complexity and cost of making spacecraft capable of sustaining life. It's a give-and-take similar to military aircraft where drones are significantly cheaper to manufacture in large part because there doesn't need to be any safety/life support systems. Especially as we get more and more advanced robotics and communications technologies, the cost and risk of manned space missions will no longer be justifiable. At least until we know a lot more about where we're going and exactly why.

naitram
10-25-09, 04:43 PM
Can't we sell NASA to the Chinese? We be needing some trillions over the next few years

sracer
10-25-09, 10:16 PM
We'll give more free money for advertising to the pharmaceutical companies this year than it would cost for a manned mission to the moon.
Unfortunately that is probably true.

The Bus
10-26-09, 10:37 AM
I'd like NASA's budget to be doubled or tripled.

Tommy Ceez
10-26-09, 02:43 PM
NASA is a relic of The Cold War.

Let it die - a peaceful death.

Do you realize exactly how much hard science NASA does?

Anywho, some guy on SCIENCE FRIDAY was talking about how we should plan for ONE WAY missions to Mars. Outfit them with the ability to survive long term and then work on the ability to possibly get them back over the course of years.

In the end the ultimate goal is Terraforming, so LONG HAUL settlements have to be practiced

VinVega
10-26-09, 03:41 PM
I agree that there isn't much benefit to manned space missions. Especially when you consider the greatly increased complexity and cost of making spacecraft capable of sustaining life. It's a give-and-take similar to military aircraft where drones are significantly cheaper to manufacture in large part because there doesn't need to be any safety/life support systems. Especially as we get more and more advanced robotics and communications technologies, the cost and risk of manned space missions will no longer be justifiable. At least until we know a lot more about where we're going and exactly why.
Humanity's future is in space. We have to start looking to move off planet eventually. If you accept this, then the sooner we get started the better. The next generation of scientists and explorers need something for inspiration and manned missions will do that.
I'd like NASA's budget to be doubled or tripled.
:up:

classicman2
10-26-09, 03:51 PM
Humanity's future is in space. We have to start looking to move off planet eventually. If you accept this, then the sooner we get started the better. The next generation of scientists and explorers need something for inspiration and manned missions will do that.

:up:


You probably believe that he heatlh care plan(s) being considered will actually save money.

:lol:

Dr Mabuse
10-26-09, 04:14 PM
Unfortunately that is probably true.

Oh it's true about 4 times over, with money to spare.

Tracer Bullet
10-26-09, 04:31 PM
I think c-man is a great argument for letting an asteroid destroy all human life, personally.

classicman2
10-26-09, 04:35 PM
Folks - if we can't make it here - we ain't gonna make it.

Resign yourselves to that.

As The Good Book says - 'beware of him (those) that will fly you away.'

btw: That has absolutely to do with what we're talking about, but I thought I'd just throw it in. ;)

Mabuse
10-26-09, 04:39 PM
Duh, NASA won't return to the moon because we've never really been there. This just proves that the Apollo missions never happened.

VinVega
10-26-09, 04:47 PM
You probably believe that he heatlh care plan(s) being considered will actually save money.

:lol:
Nice attempt to change the subject.

Just because your life is almost over doesn't mean you need to spoil it for future generations. :p

spainlinx0
10-26-09, 04:48 PM
Do you realize exactly how much hard science NASA does?

Anywho, some guy on SCIENCE FRIDAY was talking about how we should plan for ONE WAY missions to Mars. Outfit them with the ability to survive long term and then work on the ability to possibly get them back over the course of years.

In the end the ultimate goal is Terraforming, so LONG HAUL settlements have to be practiced

I can't imagine the kind of psychopath who would accept a one-way mission. I'll go if I get a harem. No, probably not even then.

wishbone
10-26-09, 05:13 PM
I can't imagine the kind of psychopath who would accept a one-way mission. I'll go if I get a harem. No, probably not even then.http://i34.tinypic.com/11ka8e9.jpg

Pistol Pete
10-26-09, 05:29 PM
I can't imagine the kind of psychopath who would accept a one-way mission. I'll go if I get a harem. No, probably not even then.
I know a couple of recently divorced dads who would go in a heartbeat if it will put them beyond the reach of their respective ex-wives.

Tommy Ceez
10-26-09, 09:44 PM
I can't imagine the kind of psychopath who would accept a one-way mission. I'll go if I get a harem. No, probably not even then.

Is this any different than a French fur trapper in early Canada?

OldDude
10-27-09, 07:48 AM
Is this any different than a French fur trapper in early Canada?

Two important differences:
*Indian women
*Those furs have to get back to France somehow. If you make enough money, you could buy passage on the boat. It is not guarenteed to be a one-way ticket.

One of these things bears no resemblance to the other.

nemein
10-27-09, 08:19 AM
I think a better comparison would be Columbus' initial voyage when they really didn't know what was out there. Granted there's the added "bonus" that in this case you know you are going to a lifeless/airless rock, but I'm sure if you had a solid/reasonable plan (even if one way) you'd still find people willing to go.

starman9000
10-27-09, 08:36 AM
Is the Ares launch today going to be streamed online anywhere?

nemein
10-27-09, 09:47 AM
Try http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/nasatv/index.html It's not labeled so I'm not entirely sure what it is, but if it is the launch the count down is less than 4mins (which in NASA time means it's probably at least 2 hours ;))

starman9000
10-27-09, 09:50 AM
Thanks Nemein!

starman9000
10-27-09, 10:00 AM
It's on CNN.com now too, a little better picture.

OldDude
10-27-09, 10:07 AM
I think a better comparison would be Columbus' initial voyage when they really didn't know what was out there. Granted there's the added "bonus" that in this case you know you are going to a lifeless/airless rock, but I'm sure if you had a solid/reasonable plan (even if one way) you'd still find people willing to go.

Not at all. Columbus' voyage had plenty of risk and uncertainty, and they could have been stranded. However, they went in the belief they would find a better trade route to the East Indies and Orient. The operative word there is trade which implies coming and going, quite different from a one-way ticket. If they found the route, they had the technology to come and go (barring mishap).

Columbus and other educated people knew the world was round, but not it's size (or that passage via Cape Horn is a sucky way to get to the Orient.)

nemein
10-27-09, 10:38 AM
I didn't mean to understate the danger Columbus faced, it certainly was risky. However you have to admit it is still a little more risky to go to a place that fundamentally can't support life as we know it ;) The main thing I was trying to point out is despite the risk, both in Columbus' time and now, you'll find people who are interested in doing these sorts of things.

OldDude
10-27-09, 11:07 AM
I didn't mean to understate the danger Columbus faced, it certainly was risky. However you have to admit it is still a little more risky to go to a place that fundamentally can't support life as we know it ;) The main thing I was trying to point out is despite the risk, both in Columbus' time and now, you'll find people who are interested in doing these sorts of things.

Ahh, my point was that a one-way ticket to Mars is way worse than Columbus' voyage or being a French-Canadian fur trader. Only an idiot would sign up to that (although there are a surprising number of idiots, so it might not be impossible).

Risk taking is based on a chance of success (and adequate return). When dying on Mars is the upside, not the downside, NO DEAL, at least for me. (I also have trouble understanding suicide bombers)

covenant
10-27-09, 11:22 AM
It's on CNN.com now too, a little better picture.

scrubbed....

starman9000
10-27-09, 11:22 AM
The Ares launch is a no-go today due to weather.

classicman2
10-27-09, 11:25 AM
8 billion dollars, and you scrub the launch because of a couple of clouds.

starman9000
10-27-09, 11:33 AM
Clouds aren't conducive to the money shot for posters.

spainlinx0
10-27-09, 04:37 PM
I didn't mean to understate the danger Columbus faced, it certainly was risky. However you have to admit it is still a little more risky to go to a place that fundamentally can't support life as we know it ;) The main thing I was trying to point out is despite the risk, both in Columbus' time and now, you'll find people who are interested in doing these sorts of things.

Yes, you will find people interested in doing those things. Like I said, psychopaths.

starman9000
10-28-09, 10:41 AM
This bad daddy is finally getting ready to go.

classicman2
10-28-09, 11:33 AM
They got it up.

starman9000
10-28-09, 12:07 PM
I loved the speeches after. Like there were really a bunch of naysayers out there that didn't believe they could do it.

Ranger
10-28-09, 10:18 PM
Glad it went well.

And about being nuts to go on a one-way trip... I'd rather do that than go undercover in some gang or terrorist group.

Ranger
10-30-09, 12:23 AM
From Yahoo News:
Russia hopes nuclear ship will fly humans to Mars (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20091029/ap_on_sc/eu_russia_nuclear_spaceship)
So the race begins.

spainlinx0
10-30-09, 08:00 AM
Glad it went well.

And about being nuts to go on a one-way trip... I'd rather do that than go undercover in some gang or terrorist group.

Don't worry, no one is forcing you to.

PopcornTreeCt
11-01-09, 10:34 AM
Duh, NASA won't return to the moon because we've never really been there. This just proves that the Apollo missions never happened.

:) This was my initial thoughts as well. If they're making it like it's near impossible to get back to the moon... and we were there 40 years ago... WTF?

I agree with the panel. If Obama decides to shut down NASA or just not give anymore money to it... then it'll be one thing he does that I agree with.

Birrman54
11-01-09, 12:54 PM
http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/files/2009/10/lro_apollo17flag.jpg

You can see the flag

arminius
11-01-09, 02:08 PM
From Yahoo News:
Russia hopes nuclear ship will fly humans to Mars (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20091029/ap_on_sc/eu_russia_nuclear_spaceship)
So the race begins.
I wonder if the USA will be a participant this time. I think this may be between the Chinese and the Russians.