View Poll Results: Biggest Summer Movie & Gross (2006 Edition)?
M:I:3 (May 5)
5
3.70%
Poseidon (May 12)
0
0%
The Da Vinci Code (May 19)
19
14.07%
Over The Hedge (May 19)
1
0.74%
X-Men: The Last Stand (May 26)
7
5.19%
Cars (June 9)
21
15.56%
Superman Returns (June 30)
29
21.48%
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (July 7)
47
34.81%
Snakes on a Plane (the very dark horse) (July 18)
5
3.70%
other...please specify
1
0.74%
Voters: 135. You may not vote on this poll
Biggest Summer Movie & Gross (2006 Edition)?
#1
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Biggest Summer Movie & Gross (2006 Edition)?
So what will be the highest grossing, summer movie for 2006?
I'll give it to "Superman Returns" at roughly $300 mil. even though I don't think it will be the best summer movie and from what I saw doesn't look that great imho. "PotC: DMC" roughly $175 mil. I think will be entertaining, but won't pull its predecessors #'s simply because the first was fresh and new and this and JD's performance will be a little worn.
I'd like to see an upset, but don't know yet what that will be...
I'll give it to "Superman Returns" at roughly $300 mil. even though I don't think it will be the best summer movie and from what I saw doesn't look that great imho. "PotC: DMC" roughly $175 mil. I think will be entertaining, but won't pull its predecessors #'s simply because the first was fresh and new and this and JD's performance will be a little worn.
I'd like to see an upset, but don't know yet what that will be...
Last edited by OldBoy; 05-02-06 at 07:44 PM.
#3
DVD Talk Godfather
I think Over the Hedge will do well. In a year filled with "witty" talking CGI animals having adventures with Man as their adversary, this is the only one that stands out. I don't see Superman Returns breaking $250MM domestically. It's no Spider-man.
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I went with SUPERMAN RETURNS...something about it says that its heart is in the right place and it will work hard to recapture the magic and spirit of the original 1978 classic...I hope to hell I'm even half right.
#5
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^ that may be, but I still think there are too many people hung up on Christopher Reeve to give this one a shot.
I took the safe bet with Cars. Millions of Pixar fans + Millions of Nascar fans = $$$. Even if the trailer hasn't sold the film yet, word of mouth is a godsend especially for Pixar.
I took the safe bet with Cars. Millions of Pixar fans + Millions of Nascar fans = $$$. Even if the trailer hasn't sold the film yet, word of mouth is a godsend especially for Pixar.
#6
If there's no major film opening between June 9 (Cars) and Superman (June 30) then Cars will make the most.... that's my guess. In those 3 weeks, it'll probably make 175-200million.
#8
DVD Talk Limited Edition
I would have said Superman earlier this afternoon, then I saw the Superman and POTC2 trailers back to back, now I'm going to say POTC2.
Plus Superman has to go up against POTC for its second week grosses, while POTC could play strongly against weaker competition for the month of July (like the original). Not saying Superman won't be there for week 3 and 4, but unless you're sitting at the top of the heap, you're not in people's faces as much.
Plus Superman has to go up against POTC for its second week grosses, while POTC could play strongly against weaker competition for the month of July (like the original). Not saying Superman won't be there for week 3 and 4, but unless you're sitting at the top of the heap, you're not in people's faces as much.
#11
DVD Talk Legend
Cars and POTC 2 will make more than $300 million each. There's no fucking doubt about that. These will be the biggest two films of the summer and Disney will be running to the bank.
A lot of people still have a sore taste of M:I-II left in their mouth along with a poor taste of Cruise from his antics for M:I-III to pass $300 million. While the third outing is fantastic (I've already seen it), I think it'll top out around $225 million. It's going to have a great opening weekend (I predict around $75 million) and a strong second weekend, but when The Da Vinci Code releases, it's going to drop like a motherfucker.
Posiedon will have a strong opening weekend of $45 million, but I don't see the film making more than $135 million. It could do better, but not opening in between M:I-III and The Da Vinci Code.
The Da Vinci Code is the one I am looking at to see how it'll preform. It the schmucks who made the snuff fil... errr... Passion of the Christ... a huge success come out to see it, I can see it breaking $250 million no problem. However, compared to Howard's other flicks, there's the chance it could top out around $160 million.
X3 will probably have one of the best opening weekend this summer, but it's going to drop hard shortly thereafter.
Superman Returns, I don't know at this point. It has a chance making more than $300 million, but I can't see it. I can see it easily pass $200 million, but I don't know how much after that.
Over the Hedge, I have no clue about. The trailers are superb, but Shark Tale and Madagascar didn't set the world on fire like Shrek and it's sequel.
A lot of people still have a sore taste of M:I-II left in their mouth along with a poor taste of Cruise from his antics for M:I-III to pass $300 million. While the third outing is fantastic (I've already seen it), I think it'll top out around $225 million. It's going to have a great opening weekend (I predict around $75 million) and a strong second weekend, but when The Da Vinci Code releases, it's going to drop like a motherfucker.
Posiedon will have a strong opening weekend of $45 million, but I don't see the film making more than $135 million. It could do better, but not opening in between M:I-III and The Da Vinci Code.
The Da Vinci Code is the one I am looking at to see how it'll preform. It the schmucks who made the snuff fil... errr... Passion of the Christ... a huge success come out to see it, I can see it breaking $250 million no problem. However, compared to Howard's other flicks, there's the chance it could top out around $160 million.
X3 will probably have one of the best opening weekend this summer, but it's going to drop hard shortly thereafter.
Superman Returns, I don't know at this point. It has a chance making more than $300 million, but I can't see it. I can see it easily pass $200 million, but I don't know how much after that.
Over the Hedge, I have no clue about. The trailers are superb, but Shark Tale and Madagascar didn't set the world on fire like Shrek and it's sequel.
#12
I used to say it would be Superman Returns, but I think The Da Vinci code will be the biggest Summer movie. The tracking for Poseidon right now has it opening at only $15 million. Not looking good.
1. The Da Vinci Code - $250 million
2. Superman Returns - $230 million
3. Pirates 2 - $225 million
4. Mission: Impossible III - $220 million
5. Cars - $175 million
1. The Da Vinci Code - $250 million
2. Superman Returns - $230 million
3. Pirates 2 - $225 million
4. Mission: Impossible III - $220 million
5. Cars - $175 million
Last edited by Mr. Cinema; 05-03-06 at 09:31 AM.
#13
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like Clemente, if you had asked me yesterday, I would have said Superman...but having seen the new trailer, I don't know. I wasn't blown away by the trailer...certainly not the way I was by M:i-III or Pirates most recent trailers, so for now I'll give it to Pirates. It really looks like they've nailed it. I personally think Mission is going to be the movie to beat for the summer (other than SOAP) as far as quality, but I think Pirates will take the prize.
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Originally Posted by Joe Molotov
I'm going with Pirates of the Carribean 2.
My answer. This one will be the top dog when all is said and done.
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Originally Posted by Quake1028
Worldwide it's going to be Da Vinci Code, and it won't be close.
Last edited by BellsOfWar; 05-03-06 at 04:34 AM.
#20
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I'm calling Cars the first Pixar stumble, at least critically. Of course this might mean a 60% Tomatometer rating. But for Pixar, that would be a stumble.
From seeing the trailer I just don't see anything likeable about it. At all.
From seeing the trailer I just don't see anything likeable about it. At all.
#21
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Strictly domestic who knows what you foreigners will like
Superman with somewhere around 300 million. Us single people forget about the power of kids and families. Superman appeals to both kids and adults. If the movie is good and directed by singer it should be then about 300 million.
animated films will also do well because of this. pirates 2 i'm not sure how well this will do. generally when they shoot 2 movies at once it can be result in disappointing film, with exceptions ala lord of rings, 175 million. MI3 looks very good but how much has tom killed his appeal, not sure, 200 million, war of the worlds did 230 or so and it wasn't that good. Poiseden to me looks like fun but doesn't seem to be generating much excitement, is it this years stealth and island, crushed in between mi3 and x-men 3 and then divinci code, 140 million i guess but it could only do 50 million. x-men 3 160million plus, divinci code 180 million, depends on its quality.
Superman with somewhere around 300 million. Us single people forget about the power of kids and families. Superman appeals to both kids and adults. If the movie is good and directed by singer it should be then about 300 million.
animated films will also do well because of this. pirates 2 i'm not sure how well this will do. generally when they shoot 2 movies at once it can be result in disappointing film, with exceptions ala lord of rings, 175 million. MI3 looks very good but how much has tom killed his appeal, not sure, 200 million, war of the worlds did 230 or so and it wasn't that good. Poiseden to me looks like fun but doesn't seem to be generating much excitement, is it this years stealth and island, crushed in between mi3 and x-men 3 and then divinci code, 140 million i guess but it could only do 50 million. x-men 3 160million plus, divinci code 180 million, depends on its quality.
Last edited by sabre; 05-03-06 at 07:33 AM.
#22
DVD Talk Legend
I think Cars by a landslide and maybe Da Vinci code for all the controversy. I thought the trailer and previews for Nemo were much worse than Cars, and look how that one turned out. Cant bet against Pixar until they lose. I think Superman may struggle a little like Batman Begins did (not that it was a flop, but I don’t think its going to be as huge as expected).
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I gave my vote to Snakes on a Plane. There is so much buzz around this movie it's unbelievable.
That being said, I think Pirates or MI3 are probably more logical choices. I'm planning to see MI3, Superman, and Da Vinci myself.
So my list is:
1) MI3
2) Pirates 2
3) Snakes on a Plane
4) Da Vinci - I think this movie is going to do well, but get mediocre reviews
5) Cars
6) Superman - I think a lot of people are going to avoid it if they haven't seen the other films.
7) X-Men - ehh
8) Over the Hedge
9) Posiedon - Stupid.
That being said, I think Pirates or MI3 are probably more logical choices. I'm planning to see MI3, Superman, and Da Vinci myself.
So my list is:
1) MI3
2) Pirates 2
3) Snakes on a Plane
4) Da Vinci - I think this movie is going to do well, but get mediocre reviews
5) Cars
6) Superman - I think a lot of people are going to avoid it if they haven't seen the other films.
7) X-Men - ehh
8) Over the Hedge
9) Posiedon - Stupid.