The Nature Boy

I mean, the damn thing is just outrageously good, has truly something for everyone, and the romance will draw the teen girls in all day long. I think it will make 200 million for the 5 day weekend, and should easily make 500 million overall. Collateral and I Robot are the only competition, and people were laughing AT the trailers to those movies tonight, not with them. Nothing will stop Spidey, I think it's got a hell of a chance to catch Titanic. At my midnight multiplex screening, six soldout shows, a line around the building an hour before doors opened and a completely amped, jazzed and mesmurized crowd. This is going to be a monster.

Michael T Hudson

I think Titanic will be number one for a long long time.

Kal-El

What he said.

Supermallet

It probably won't beat Titanic, but it will do some major, major business. Of course, it's not like I'm making a risky prediction when I say that.

Michael Corvin

1.)No matter how good it is, it is still a sequel. There will be people that aren't interested. Believe it or not not everyone of that $400 million last time around enjoyed the movie.

2.) The first one was original and something new when comic book movies weren't real big at the time. Since then we have had DareDevil, Hulk, Hellboy, LXG, & Punisher. The genre is already watered down with mediocre films, and people that paid to see these movies my be a little leary at future superhero movies.

based on these two things, I think Spidey 2 will do just under what the first did. Very respectable but not as good.

Trigger

spidey 2 will make a billion dollars this weekend.

drjay

Why am I so tempted to make an awful Dr. Evil joke? *grimace*

Groucho

You're forgetting the home video market:

Lots of people didn't see the first one until it came out on DVD, and several of those will go see the sequel. They will far outweigh the people who saw the first one but didn't like it. The net result is that more people will see this one in the theaters. It's becoming a common trend.

That, combined with ticket inflation and good reviews (including raves from critics who didn't like the original) means this movie is guaranteed to make more than the first.

Michael Corvin

True. That is how Austin Powers 2 did so well. But I still say it won't make as much.

DRG

I dunno. I think the whole "sleeper" concept that worked for sequels like Austin Powers 2 is kind of thrown out the window when the first one makes $115 mil opening weekend and $403 mil overall. Not to say that it won't top the original's opening weekend (it likely will). But with established properties like this, there is greater potential for reduced returns on the sequel. I guess I'm thinking of Star Wars Episode I/II and Harry Potter 1/2/3.

The b.o. numbers, followed by the Rotten Tomatoes scores.

Episode II was generally better liked than Episode I yet
Episode I $431,088,297 (62% RT)
Episode II $302,181,125 (64% RT)

Azkaban is considered my many to be the best film of the series, and still it lags behind Chamber, and really lags behind Sorcerer.
Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone $317,557,891 (78% RT)
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets $261,987,880 (82% RT)
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban $213,114,000* (89% RT)

* $230-240 mil final total is likely

Not saying Spidey can't beat his old total, but it's far from a guarantee.

Regurgitator

I've already covered this topic. Please do a search next time!

http://www.dvdtalk.com/forum/showthr...hreadid=371986

AgtFox

You guys are forgetting another comparison: X-Men to X2: X-Men United:

X-Men: $157,299,717
X2: X-Men United: $214,949,694

I expect Spider-Man 2 to beat the original's take and possibly break the original's 5-day record (or however many days the record is).

warcp

Shrek 2, Mission Impossible 2, Rush Hour 2, Matrix Reloaded, Terminator 2, Toy Story 2 all made more than the first.

thephantom

Lets not forget the LOTR movies that all made more than the last one for that same reason. My parents don't go to the movies very often but they're going to see Spiderman 2 cause they loved the first one and this one has been hyped to unbelieveable levels. It also has an incredibly good word of mouth going on, the best I've ever seen. Everyone seems to like this movie.

The Nature Boy

I included what it will make in total. Please start a better and more comprehensive thread next time!

fumanstan

Note to Self: Remake this thread asking for DVD Sales figures as well

raven56706

I think.... and quote me on this...... it will break $160 million....

squi23

It will make more than than I could count in a lifetime.

But I think you all are correct, it will make...

1 million

Charlie Goose

I think it will beat the first movie's first weekend and overall.

REL77

I think around $350 mill total, which is an awsome amount, and Just Fri-Sun around $100Mill

Drexl

It won't catch Titanic because that film opened near the end of the year and didn't have much competition for a while. SM-2 will have plenty of competition from other films as the summer isn't half over yet.

matome

Maybe if ticket prices were $20 a pop now.

AgtFox

The summer is over pretty much after this. I expect Spider-Man 2 to outgain King Arthur next week in its opening weekend and I expect I, Robot to flop. What else is there that will open up on a ton of screens by the end of August?

I'm not saying it doesn't have competition, but the competition is pretty weak honestly.

Artman

Summer being over meaning for the big-blockbuster films? Yeah I guess that's a fair statement. Still some films i'm looking forward to though (moreso than the may/june releases)

The Village
Manchurian Candidate
Collateral
AVP

jaeufraser

It won't beat Titanic. And no, Titanic didn't make so much money cause of lack of competition.

Nonetheless, I think Spidey will smash it's way through 400 milion, and very well could see north of 500 million. 600 I don't see happening, and there's no way in hell it'll beat Titanic worldwide (Spiderman 1 overseas gross was good, but not even up to the domestic gross).

I predict 500 mil domestic for Spidey 2, maybe 900 mil total worldwide.